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Ryan Sharon R.: insider trades

Officer at International Paper. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from May 29, 2012 to December 8, 2020.

What happened after Ryan Sharon R.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −10.7% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 75% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 +0.8% +1.9% 42% 8 −0.44 0.67 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 12 −10.7% −14.9% 75% 8 −2.45 0.044 Some evidence: seller right
Sales, 12 months after the trade 12 −10.0% −12.8% 75% 8 −2.29 0.056 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
International Paper IP SVP, GC and Corp Secretary012May 29, 2012December 8, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
December 8, 2020December 7, 2020 IP Sale $1,449,000 +2.3%−26.8%−23.7%
July 26, 2019July 26, 2019 IP Sale $1,012,140 −3.8%−24.1%−23.5%
August 7, 2018August 6, 2018 IP Sale $793,050 −7.9%−25.7%−23.9%
December 12, 2016December 9, 2016 IP Sale $260,452 −7.9%−9.7%−9.6%
March 15, 2016March 14, 2016 IP Sale $1,035,890 +1.4%+12.7%+12.2%
February 23, 2015February 23, 2015 IP Sale $1,147,400 −6.7%−29.5%−31.0%
November 19, 2014November 18, 2014 IP Sale $551,000 +2.8%−24.5%−26.4%
September 12, 2014September 12, 2014 IP Sale $148,860 +6.1%−16.6%−14.4%
August 27, 2014August 26, 2014 IP Sale $95,480 +7.2%−8.1%−8.4%
February 28, 2013February 28, 2013 IP Sale $809,022 −3.1%−13.1%−11.1%
December 17, 2012December 17, 2012 IP Sale $171,045 +8.6%+2.9%+3.3%
May 29, 2012May 25, 2012 IP Sale $114,379 +10.4%+34.2%+36.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Ryan Sharon R. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.