undamentalytics Newsletter

Kunde Grace: insider trades

Officer at Extra Space Storage. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from June 11, 2012 to May 17, 2021.

What happened after Kunde Grace’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +2.2% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 25% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Kunde Grace: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 −2.4% −4.6% 58% 9 −0.76 0.47 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 12 +2.2% +5.8% 25% 9 0.48 0.64 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 12 +2.6% +5.5% 33% 9 0.61 0.56 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Extra Space Storage EXR SVP Accounting and Finance012June 11, 2012May 17, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
May 17, 2021May 14, 2021 EXR Sale $47,942 +14.1%+26.0%+29.4%
August 19, 2019August 15, 2019 EXR Sale $209,342 −19.3%−31.0%−31.3%
May 24, 2019May 22, 2019 EXR Sale $66,181 +13.1%−17.8%−20.7%
May 7, 2018May 7, 2018 EXR Sale $331,617 −6.4%+5.6%+4.9%
November 21, 2017November 21, 2017 EXR Sale $30,678 −7.5%+7.2%+6.1%
May 5, 2016May 4, 2016 EXR Sale $152,099 −16.6%−36.5%−34.5%
August 5, 2015July 31, 2015 EXR Sale $109,298 +4.4%+5.9%+16.2%
May 29, 2014May 27, 2014 EXR Sale $81,008 −2.8%+26.9%+25.9%
September 16, 2013September 16, 2013 EXR Sale $75,395 −12.1%+1.7%−0.1%
May 2, 2013April 30, 2013 EXR Sale $45,955 −8.7%+2.5%+4.2%
August 2, 2012August 1, 2012 EXR Sale $77,828 +2.5%+8.7%+9.2%
June 11, 2012June 8, 2012 EXR Sale $29,116 +11.1%+27.5%+22.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Kunde Grace traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.