undamentalytics Newsletter

Francese James E: insider trades

Officer at Staar Surgical Co. No open-market purchases and 12 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 17, 2014 to September 29, 2022.

What happened after Francese James E’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −2.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 75% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Francese James E: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 12 +9.8% +9.2% 42% 4 0.76 0.51 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 12 −2.6% −34.1% 75% 4 −0.12 0.91 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 12 −0.5% −33.8% 75% 4 −0.07 0.95 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Staar Surgical Co STAA Sr. VP, Comm. Ops., NA, APAC012March 17, 2014September 29, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 29, 2022September 27, 2022 STAA Sale $2,656,875 −38.8%−64.1%−65.0%
March 23, 2022March 21, 2022 STAA Sale $68,800 +12.8%−4.8%−5.7%
March 16, 2022March 14, 2022 STAA Sale $18,548 +5.7%−2.1%+10.8%
August 18, 2021August 18, 2021 STAA Sale $2,203,650 −25.0%−28.0%−28.9%
May 25, 2021May 21, 2021 STAA Sale $3,826,643 −8.3%−52.3%−48.3%
May 12, 2021May 10, 2021 STAA Sale $1,456,215 +19.4%−45.9%−47.1%
March 22, 2021March 22, 2021 STAA Sale $88,853 +42.3%−40.3%−38.7%
November 25, 2020November 23, 2020 STAA Sale $1,519,185 +35.2%+1.5%−2.3%
May 13, 2020May 11, 2020 STAA Sale $736,515 +15.6%+163.2%+145.6%
March 24, 2020March 23, 2020 STAA Sale $60,232 +73.1%+185.5%+211.5%
March 19, 2014March 19, 2014 STAA Sale $286,989 −4.6%−71.5%−71.9%
March 17, 2014March 13, 2014 STAA Sale $67,646 −9.9%−72.5%−66.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Francese James E traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.