undamentalytics Newsletter

Myers Kevin L: insider trades

Officer at Hormel Foods. No open-market purchases and 11 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from September 21, 2017 to September 19, 2024.

What happened after Myers Kevin L’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −17.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 73% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Myers Kevin L: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 11 −2.0% −0.2% 55% 6 0.18 0.86 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 11 −17.5% −22.7% 73% 6 −1.60 0.17 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 11 −17.5% −17.3% 64% 6 −1.37 0.23 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Hormel Foods HRL SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT011September 21, 2017September 19, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 19, 2024September 18, 2024 HRL Sale $327,000 −2.8%−37.0%−42.7%
April 1, 2024March 28, 2024 HRL Sale $349,500 −18.8%−12.3%−17.3%
December 22, 2023December 21, 2023 HRL Sale $185,421 +0.2%−24.9%−24.2%
October 16, 2023October 13, 2023 HRL Sale $160,836 −13.0%−34.5%−35.4%
June 12, 2023June 8, 2023 HRL Sale $210,652 −10.0%−48.5%−48.9%
September 13, 2022September 9, 2022 HRL Sale $236,000 −0.2%−29.2%−29.6%
June 9, 2022June 7, 2022 HRL Sale $225,350 −2.6%−22.7%−13.8%
September 12, 2019September 11, 2019 HRL Sale $95,524 +0.2%+4.7%+0.5%
September 4, 2019August 30, 2019 HRL Sale $87,526 +1.8%+4.0%+0.3%
October 9, 2018October 5, 2018 HRL Sale $109,087 +13.6%−3.8%+8.4%
September 21, 2017September 20, 2017 HRL Sale $99,337 +9.3%+11.4%+10.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Myers Kevin L traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.