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Hatten Terry P.: insider trades

Officer at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 6 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 21, 2016 to March 1, 2022.

What happened after Hatten Terry P.’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +22.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 50% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 6 +3.1% +0.5% 50% 4 0.40 0.71 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 6 +22.8% +22.5% 50% 4 0.92 0.42 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 6 +25.2% +18.0% 50% 4 0.96 0.41 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Murphy USA Inc. MUSA SVP, Human Resources04September 22, 2020March 1, 2022
Commercial Metals Co CMC VP & CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCE02April 21, 2016November 14, 2016

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 1, 2022February 25, 2022 MUSA Sale $523,887 +42.3%+50.1%+49.4%
November 12, 2021November 9, 2021 MUSA Sale $119,560 +4.0%+72.1%+90.5%
May 6, 2021May 4, 2021 MUSA Sale $103,305 +1.5%+70.0%+67.5%
September 22, 2020September 18, 2020 MUSA Sale $87,507 −18.5%−16.9%−13.3%
November 14, 2016November 9, 2016 CMC Sale $86,260 −0.5%−33.2%−28.4%
April 21, 2016April 19, 2016 CMC Sale $102,752 −10.4%−5.1%−14.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Hatten Terry P. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.