undamentalytics Newsletter

Kristin Maja: insider trades

10% owner at Veeva Systems Inc. No open-market purchases and 13 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 17, 2014 to August 18, 2014.

What happened after Kristin Maja’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +0.4% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 15% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Kristin Maja: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 13 +10.4% +16.3% 15% 1 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 13 +0.4% +4.2% 15% 1 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 13 −1.0% +4.2% 23% 2 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV —013March 17, 2014August 18, 2014

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 18, 2014August 15, 2014 VEEV Sale $557,500 +21.1%+7.3%+5.8%
August 14, 2014August 13, 2014 VEEV Sale $570,750 +23.8%+5.8%+0.9%
August 8, 2014August 6, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,129,750 +18.3%+1.3%+1.8%
August 1, 2014July 30, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,169,157 +23.7%+2.1%+1.7%
July 25, 2014July 23, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,194,000 +19.1%+7.1%+8.9%
July 18, 2014July 16, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,202,000 +17.6%+1.8%+10.7%
July 11, 2014July 9, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,208,250 +6.1%+8.8%+10.6%
July 7, 2014July 2, 2014 VEEV Sale $638,392 +8.0%+8.3%+4.2%
July 1, 2014June 27, 2014 VEEV Sale $619,250 +9.7%+4.2%+5.8%
June 27, 2014June 25, 2014 VEEV Sale $609,059 +12.1%+2.9%+6.4%
June 20, 2014June 18, 2014 VEEV Sale $1,231,250 +16.3%+5.2%−0.9%
April 1, 2014March 31, 2014 VEEV Sale $6,340,000 −9.3%−16.1%−16.9%
March 17, 2014October 21, 2013 VEEV Sale $6,500,000 −31.7%−33.0%−51.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Kristin Maja traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.