undamentalytics Newsletter

Handelsman Lior: insider trades

Officer at Solaredge Technologies, Inc. No open-market purchases and 14 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 10, 2015 to June 4, 2020.

What happened after Handelsman Lior’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +31.6% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 50% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Handelsman Lior: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 14 +13.2% −5.0% 57% 6 1.61 0.17 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 14 +31.6% +3.9% 50% 6 1.66 0.16 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 14 +35.4% +1.3% 50% 6 2.05 0.096 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Solaredge Technologies, Inc. SEDG VP, Marketing&Product Strategy014November 10, 2015June 4, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
June 4, 2020June 1, 2020 SEDG Sale $20,915 +23.2%+23.0%+25.3%
December 4, 2019December 2, 2019 SEDG Sale $18,743 +46.4%+207.3%+215.7%
June 5, 2019June 3, 2019 SEDG Sale $16,346 +35.3%+150.3%+165.2%
December 6, 2018December 3, 2018 SEDG Sale $11,454 −3.3%+96.4%+103.2%
June 4, 2018June 1, 2018 SEDG Sale $18,734 −15.9%−0.4%−4.6%
December 5, 2017December 1, 2017 SEDG Sale $22,537 +45.3%+8.1%+7.1%
June 5, 2017June 1, 2017 SEDG Sale $18,792 +41.7%+173.7%+181.9%
December 5, 2016December 1, 2016 SEDG Sale $11,387 −6.7%+130.1%+155.5%
December 31, 2015December 30, 2015 SEDG Sale $1,310,564 −13.7%−67.3%−68.5%
December 28, 2015December 24, 2015 SEDG Sale $139,300 −8.3%−64.4%−66.8%
December 24, 2015December 22, 2015 SEDG Sale $84,000 −9.7%−64.4%−67.6%
December 22, 2015December 18, 2015 SEDG Sale $180,157 −12.2%−66.4%−63.6%
December 18, 2015December 16, 2015 SEDG Sale $1,521,098 −14.8%−66.2%−61.7%
November 10, 2015November 9, 2015 SEDG Sale $1,571,660 +77.9%−16.8%−25.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Handelsman Lior traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.