undamentalytics Newsletter

Adest Meir: insider trades

Officer at Solaredge Technologies, Inc. No open-market purchases and 32 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from December 28, 2015 to December 5, 2022.

What happened after Adest Meir’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −21.0% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 78% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Adest Meir: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 32 −9.9% −16.5% 75% 8 0.72 0.50 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 32 −21.0% −57.2% 78% 8 0.61 0.56 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 28 −13.4% −56.1% 71% 8 0.64 0.54 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Solaredge Technologies, Inc. SEDG VP, Core Technologies032December 28, 2015December 5, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
December 5, 2022December 1, 2022 SEDG Sale $18,647 +5.0%−91.4%−85.6%
June 6, 2022June 1, 2022 SEDG Sale $16,690 +5.5%−11.8%+0.6%
December 2, 2021December 1, 2021 SEDG Sale $15,956 +4.2%+12.8%+2.1%
December 4, 2020December 1, 2020 SEDG Sale $22,503 −5.5%−11.6%−9.9%
June 4, 2020June 1, 2020 SEDG Sale $20,915 +23.2%+23.0%+25.3%
June 5, 2019June 3, 2019 SEDG Sale $16,346 +35.3%+150.3%+165.2%
June 4, 2018June 1, 2018 SEDG Sale $18,734 −15.9%−0.4%−4.6%
July 6, 2017July 3, 2017 SEDG Sale $60,000 +31.9%+142.9%+134.6%
June 27, 2017June 21, 2017 SEDG Sale $660,000 +40.5%+129.9%+138.2%
June 5, 2017June 1, 2017 SEDG Sale $18,792 +41.7%+173.7%+181.9%
December 5, 2016December 1, 2016 SEDG Sale $11,387 −6.7%+130.1%+155.5%
May 17, 2016May 5, 2016 SEDG Sale $71,347 −17.5%−28.6%−47.1%
May 3, 2016April 28, 2016 SEDG Sale $72,528 −35.4%−54.5%−56.6%
April 25, 2016April 21, 2016 SEDG Sale $75,842 −36.2%−57.8%−57.7%
April 19, 2016April 14, 2016 SEDG Sale $75,204 −34.0%−56.5%−51.0%
April 11, 2016April 7, 2016 SEDG Sale $74,605 −23.9%−51.6%−55.6%
April 4, 2016March 31, 2016 SEDG Sale $75,488 −26.9%−55.1%−55.7%
March 28, 2016March 24, 2016 SEDG Sale $74,661 −25.6%−56.3%−61.0%
March 21, 2016March 17, 2016 SEDG Sale $78,064 −21.1%−61.4%−67.4%
March 14, 2016March 13, 2016 SEDG Sale $75,020 −23.6%−67.4%−69.4%
March 8, 2016March 1, 2016 SEDG Sale $1,006,200 −22.8%−69.6%−69.3%
March 7, 2016March 3, 2016 SEDG Sale $74,207 −25.6%−69.4%−69.7%
March 1, 2016February 25, 2016 SEDG Sale $74,220 −31.4%−70.8%−64.7%
February 25, 2016February 18, 2016 SEDG Sale $368,169 −21.1%−63.4%−68.1%
February 16, 2016February 11, 2016 SEDG Sale $73,787 −37.3%−67.8%−72.1%
February 8, 2016February 4, 2016 SEDG Sale $80,076 −38.5%−75.8%−79.4%
February 1, 2016January 28, 2015 SEDG Sale $75,372 −13.9%−74.9%not yet
January 25, 2016January 21, 2015 SEDG Sale $78,188 −8.0%−73.2%not yet
January 19, 2016January 14, 2015 SEDG Sale $73,042 −0.4%−69.7%not yet
January 11, 2016January 7, 2015 SEDG Sale $71,877 −7.7%−66.1%not yet
January 4, 2016December 31, 2015 SEDG Sale $73,777 −17.0%−66.1%−68.0%
December 28, 2015December 24, 2015 SEDG Sale $74,698 −8.3%−64.4%−66.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Adest Meir traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.