undamentalytics Newsletter

Kelly Nima: insider trades

Officer at Godaddy Inc. No open-market purchases and 38 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from April 13, 2016 to March 10, 2021.

What happened after Kelly Nima’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −10.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 74% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Kelly Nima: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 38 +1.6% +0.3% 47% 6 0.41 0.70 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 38 −10.1% −10.9% 74% 6 −0.11 0.92 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 38 −10.8% −12.4% 71% 6 −0.13 0.90 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Godaddy Inc. GDDY Chief Legal Officer038April 13, 2016March 10, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
March 10, 2021March 9, 2021 GDDY Sale $214,818 +0.6%−5.3%−5.4%
March 4, 2021March 2, 2021 GDDY Sale $654,344 −3.7%−7.8%−11.2%
February 26, 2021February 24, 2021 GDDY Sale $18,477 −12.7%−15.2%−10.4%
February 23, 2021February 22, 2021 GDDY Sale $47,874 −8.7%−10.4%−12.0%
January 6, 2021January 4, 2021 GDDY Sale $283,260 −4.2%−30.3%−27.9%
November 27, 2020November 24, 2020 GDDY Sale $27,086 −7.0%−39.4%−42.8%
October 5, 2020October 1, 2020 GDDY Sale $279,528 −4.8%−38.7%−38.0%
September 10, 2020September 9, 2020 GDDY Sale $51,287 +2.0%−35.7%−36.3%
September 4, 2020September 2, 2020 GDDY Sale $17,115 0.0%−38.9%−40.4%
August 27, 2020August 25, 2020 GDDY Sale $28,656 −8.9%−43.0%−44.0%
July 2, 2020July 1, 2020 GDDY Sale $265,786 +0.8%−13.0%−20.9%
June 10, 2020June 10, 2020 GDDY Sale $53,151 −10.6%−33.4%−32.1%
May 28, 2020May 27, 2020 GDDY Sale $70,641 −7.1%−35.4%−37.3%
April 2, 2020April 1, 2020 GDDY Sale $206,045 +7.2%−6.8%−13.6%
March 12, 2020March 10, 2020 GDDY Sale $40,486 +25.2%−13.7%−19.1%
March 3, 2020February 28, 2020 GDDY Sale $74,922 +18.5%−11.4%−12.8%
February 26, 2020February 25, 2020 GDDY Sale $174,617 +6.6%−14.6%−15.2%
December 16, 2019December 13, 2019 GDDY Sale $78,022 −4.7%+12.3%+8.7%
December 12, 2019December 10, 2019 GDDY Sale $44,142 −13.5%+8.7%+7.7%
December 2, 2019November 29, 2019 GDDY Sale $38,488 +3.1%+2.7%+2.4%
November 27, 2019November 26, 2019 GDDY Sale $24,238 +5.7%+2.4%−3.7%
November 18, 2019November 14, 2019 GDDY Sale $181,463 +5.9%−5.9%−9.1%
September 17, 2019September 13, 2019 GDDY Sale $76,003 −4.9%−4.4%−1.7%
September 12, 2019September 10, 2019 GDDY Sale $43,342 −3.7%−1.7%+1.6%
August 28, 2019August 26, 2019 GDDY Sale $58,744 −3.7%+9.0%+9.2%
March 14, 2019March 13, 2019 GDDY Sale $86,635 −9.9%−27.6%−21.2%
February 27, 2019February 26, 2019 GDDY Sale $815,720 −1.7%−14.6%−18.3%
December 17, 2018December 13, 2018 GDDY Sale $76,057 +12.2%−18.9%−16.2%
December 12, 2018December 10, 2018 GDDY Sale $41,974 +9.9%−16.2%−19.1%
November 29, 2018November 28, 2018 GDDY Sale $35,372 +11.7%−13.5%−16.3%
September 11, 2018September 10, 2018 GDDY Sale $53,151 −13.6%−26.4%−25.3%
June 11, 2018June 8, 2018 GDDY Sale $47,698 +9.3%−8.7%−6.3%
May 30, 2018May 30, 2018 GDDY Sale $41,057 +4.7%−5.1%+0.2%
March 8, 2018March 8, 2018 GDDY Sale $41,359 +13.4%+15.1%+13.9%
March 1, 2018February 28, 2018 GDDY Sale $519,700 +19.2%+16.6%+20.1%
December 12, 2017December 8, 2017 GDDY Sale $33,888 +25.2%+29.9%+28.6%
March 1, 2017March 1, 2017 GDDY Sale $113,669 +12.7%+53.2%+48.5%
April 13, 2016April 12, 2016 GDDY Sale $756,250 −10.1%+2.2%+5.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Kelly Nima traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.