undamentalytics Newsletter

Myers Marie: insider trades

Chief financial officer, Officer, Director at 2 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 14 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 31, 2016 to December 6, 2022.

What happened after Myers Marie’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +0.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 43% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Myers Marie: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 14 +0.9% +2.5% 29% 5 −0.12 0.91 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 14 +0.8% +4.2% 43% 5 −0.09 0.93 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 14 +1.4% +3.5% 36% 5 −0.16 0.88 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
HP Inc. HPQ Chief Financial Officer013August 31, 2016December 6, 2022
F5, Inc. FFIV —01June 4, 2021June 4, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
December 6, 2022December 5, 2022 HPQ Sale $175,920 +1.9%−9.2%−14.5%
June 9, 2022June 8, 2022 HPQ Sale $242,230 −25.1%−23.2%−25.6%
June 4, 2021June 2, 2021 FFIV Sale $352,115 +1.0%−9.9%−9.6%
July 2, 2018June 29, 2018 HPQ Sale $193,540 +8.0%−15.9%−15.9%
June 8, 2018June 6, 2018 HPQ Sale $471,175 −0.6%−19.6%−19.6%
February 28, 2018February 26, 2018 HPQ Sale $279,704 −6.7%−20.6%+1.8%
January 2, 2018December 29, 2017 HPQ Sale $212,000 +2.8%+4.3%+5.1%
December 21, 2017December 20, 2017 HPQ Sale $215,500 +5.2%+4.2%+2.0%
September 22, 2017September 21, 2017 HPQ Sale $197,994 −0.2%+12.9%+14.6%
September 18, 2017September 15, 2017 HPQ Sale $195,488 +2.1%+14.6%+13.9%
September 7, 2017September 5, 2017 HPQ Sale $226,226 +2.8%+13.2%+11.9%
June 30, 2017June 28, 2017 HPQ Sale $218,990 +10.7%+18.0%+15.6%
February 27, 2017February 24, 2017 HPQ Sale $651,270 +7.3%+21.5%+17.1%
August 31, 2016August 29, 2016 HPQ Sale $149,414 +3.3%+21.6%+23.1%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Myers Marie traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.