undamentalytics Newsletter

Park Tessia: insider trades

Officer at Idacorp Inc. No open-market purchases and 7 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from February 29, 2016 to August 26, 2019.

What happened after Park Tessia’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −8.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 71% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Park Tessia: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 7 +0.3% +2.0% 29% 4 0.93 0.42 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 7 −8.1% −2.4% 71% 4 −0.50 0.65 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 7 −9.3% −7.8% 71% 4 −0.82 0.47 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Idacorp Inc IDA VP of Power Supply07February 29, 2016August 26, 2019

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
August 26, 2019August 23, 2019 IDA Sale $20,041 −13.4%−40.4%−37.5%
May 24, 2019May 23, 2019 IDA Sale $28,921 +4.1%−19.8%−20.0%
March 14, 2019March 12, 2019 IDA Sale $116,725 +1.9%−2.4%−3.0%
March 20, 2018March 16, 2018 IDA Sale $25,620 +3.2%+14.4%+11.8%
March 17, 2017March 15, 2017 IDA Sale $18,084 +6.3%−8.2%−11.8%
June 17, 2016June 16, 2016 IDA Sale $41,244 +2.0%+2.1%+3.1%
February 29, 2016February 25, 2016 IDA Sale $20,155 −1.9%−2.4%−7.8%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Park Tessia traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.