undamentalytics Newsletter

Logerwell Kellie J: insider trades

Officer at H&R Block Inc. No open-market purchases and 6 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from July 17, 2017 to September 17, 2024.

What happened after Logerwell Kellie J’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −23.9% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 83% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Logerwell Kellie J: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 6 −10.6% −17.2% 83% 5 −1.29 0.27 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 6 −23.9% −33.3% 83% 5 −1.35 0.25 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 6 −24.2% −34.3% 83% 5 −1.37 0.24 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
H&R Block Inc HRB VP & Chief Acct Officer06July 17, 2017September 17, 2024

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 17, 2024September 16, 2024 HRB Sale $515,280 −20.3%−38.4%−38.6%
August 20, 2024August 19, 2024 HRB Sale $639,990 −19.3%−33.6%−34.4%
September 12, 2023September 11, 2023 HRB Sale $316,880 +15.5%+38.3%+37.5%
August 19, 2022August 18, 2022 HRB Sale $317,005 −3.8%−21.3%−20.0%
July 3, 2019July 2, 2019 HRB Sale $86,040 −15.2%−55.6%−55.5%
July 17, 2017July 14, 2017 HRB Sale $24,568 −20.2%−33.0%−34.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Logerwell Kellie J traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.