undamentalytics Newsletter

Lowrie Allison: insider trades

Officer at Angi Inc. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 26, 2018 to February 24, 2021.

What happened after Lowrie Allison’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −64.5% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 100% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Lowrie Allison: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 10 −17.0% −15.6% 90% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −64.5% −64.6% 100% 3 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −64.6% −63.4% 100% 3 — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Angi Inc. ANGI CMO010November 26, 2018February 24, 2021

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
February 24, 2021February 19, 2021 ANGI Sale $679,191 −14.4%−68.6%−71.2%
February 18, 2021February 16, 2021 ANGI Sale $695,095 −16.8%−71.2%−58.9%
February 11, 2021February 9, 2021 ANGI Sale $120,888 −22.1%−58.1%−64.8%
February 9, 2021February 5, 2021 ANGI Sale $1,363,892 −29.4%−63.9%−66.8%
January 28, 2021January 26, 2021 ANGI Sale $2,390,826 +1.4%−65.2%−58.6%
September 3, 2020September 2, 2020 ANGI Sale $1,538,997 −13.1%−49.9%−56.8%
August 21, 2020August 19, 2020 ANGI Sale $1,749,951 −25.1%−59.7%−62.1%
August 18, 2020August 14, 2020 ANGI Sale $3,491,410 −32.1%−62.1%−58.1%
December 3, 2018November 29, 2018 ANGI Sale $485,186 −8.0%−71.3%−72.1%
November 26, 2018November 21, 2018 ANGI Sale $908,000 −10.4%−74.8%−77.0%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Lowrie Allison traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.