undamentalytics Newsletter

Bay Resource Partners Offshore Master Fund, L.P.: insider trades

10% owner at 2 companies we cover. 2 open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 13, 2019 to January 6, 2026.

Would copying Bay Resource Partners Offshore Master Fund, L.P.’s purchases have beaten the S&P 500?

Too few purchases to judge. None of their purchases has 12 months of prices after the report; we judge insiders once they have 20. The figures below can swing a long way on a handful of trades. None of their purchases could be priced, so there is no copy portfolio.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Bay Resource Partners Offshore Master Fund, L.P.: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 2 +7.6% +7.6% 0% 2 — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. GTE —28November 13, 2019May 3, 2021
Cracker Barrel OLD Country Store, Inc CBRL —02December 18, 2025January 6, 2026

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
January 6, 2026January 5, 2026 CBRL Sale $1,149,040 +6.8%not yetnot yet
December 18, 2025December 16, 2025 CBRL Sale $2,246,352 +8.4%not yetnot yet
May 3, 2021April 29, 2021 GTE Sale $170,500 not yetnot yetnot yet
April 26, 2021April 22, 2021 GTE Sale $121,923 not yetnot yetnot yet
April 5, 2021March 31, 2021 GTE Sale $656,495 not yetnot yetnot yet
March 31, 2021March 29, 2021 GTE Sale $290,700 not yetnot yetnot yet
February 12, 2021February 11, 2021 GTE Sale $2,395,220 not yetnot yetnot yet
January 27, 2021January 25, 2021 GTE Sale $166,950 not yetnot yetnot yet
January 14, 2021January 12, 2021 GTE Sale $479,085 not yetnot yetnot yet
October 15, 2020October 13, 2020 GTE Sale $245,513 not yetnot yetnot yet
March 16, 2020March 13, 2020 GTE Purchase $781,675 not yetnot yetnot yet
November 13, 2019October 23, 2019 GTE Purchase $3,218,498 not yetnot yetnot yet

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Bay Resource Partners Offshore Master Fund, L.P. traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.