undamentalytics Newsletter

Sinha Amit: insider trades

Officer at Zscaler, Inc. No open-market purchases and 32 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 14, 2019 to September 16, 2022.

What happened after Sinha Amit’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved +55.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 41% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Sinha Amit: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 32 +9.3% +7.1% 44% 4 0.54 0.63 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 32 +55.1% +28.6% 41% 4 0.99 0.39 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 32 +54.8% +29.0% 41% 4 0.99 0.40 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Zscaler, Inc. ZS President032March 14, 2019September 16, 2022

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 16, 2022September 16, 2022 ZS Sale $3,187,063 −33.7%−26.3%−25.1%
June 17, 2022June 16, 2022 ZS Sale $1,363,283 +12.1%−21.9%−12.4%
April 6, 2022April 4, 2022 ZS Sale $1,505,340 −16.0%−47.2%−50.6%
March 17, 2022March 16, 2022 ZS Sale $1,494,336 −17.9%−40.5%−40.4%
January 10, 2022January 6, 2022 ZS Sale $1,574,100 −13.2%−48.2%−44.0%
December 22, 2021December 21, 2021 ZS Sale $6,178,800 −25.2%−49.0%−49.5%
December 20, 2021December 16, 2021 ZS Sale $2,461,282 −23.1%−49.5%−45.1%
September 22, 2021September 22, 2021 ZS Sale $5,489,800 +9.1%−27.6%−28.2%
June 17, 2021June 16, 2021 ZS Sale $1,731,801 +19.4%−23.5%−21.2%
March 16, 2021March 16, 2021 ZS Sale $1,487,194 +7.9%+0.6%−1.2%
March 15, 2021March 11, 2021 ZS Sale $748,000 +6.3%−1.2%+0.8%
January 8, 2021January 7, 2021 ZS Sale $1,338,381 −10.4%+14.2%+9.7%
December 22, 2020December 21, 2020 ZS Sale $4,032,000 −26.2%+25.9%+32.5%
December 17, 2020December 17, 2020 ZS Sale $1,306,000 −12.4%+31.3%+36.7%
December 16, 2020December 14, 2020 ZS Sale $5,588,081 −9.0%+36.7%+26.1%
September 30, 2020September 29, 2020 ZS Sale $2,826,000 +27.0%+51.7%+51.7%
September 23, 2020September 21, 2020 ZS Sale $4,086,060 +40.1%+68.9%+67.3%
September 16, 2020September 15, 2020 ZS Sale $2,905,035 +34.0%+82.9%+72.5%
June 18, 2020June 16, 2020 ZS Sale $202,563 +11.3%+60.9%+69.4%
April 3, 2020April 1, 2020 ZS Sale $318,000 +60.8%+128.4%+118.2%
March 24, 2020March 24, 2020 ZS Sale $624,050 +59.3%+131.9%+119.9%
March 18, 2020March 17, 2020 ZS Sale $81,004 +87.8%+185.0%+235.4%
January 2, 2020December 30, 2019 ZS Sale $370,400 +56.4%+297.3%+307.6%
December 27, 2019December 26, 2019 ZS Sale $96,000 +50.1%+307.6%+309.8%
December 20, 2019December 20, 2019 ZS Sale $340,200 +45.5%+312.8%+289.5%
December 18, 2019December 16, 2019 ZS Sale $157,442 +50.9%+291.1%+268.0%
June 28, 2019June 27, 2019 ZS Sale $156,000 −39.1%+36.6%+31.8%
June 24, 2019June 21, 2019 ZS Sale $154,140 −35.5%+40.0%+34.2%
June 21, 2019June 19, 2019 ZS Sale $1,454,000 −35.3%+37.8%+33.0%
March 28, 2019March 26, 2019 ZS Sale $1,426,067 +3.8%−11.6%−6.3%
March 25, 2019March 21, 2019 ZS Sale $92,120 0.0%−6.3%−5.3%
March 14, 2019March 12, 2019 ZS Sale $3,237,362 +12.8%−24.3%−32.7%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Sinha Amit traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.