undamentalytics Newsletter

Stenger Thomas: insider trades

Officer at Hope Bancorp Inc. No open-market purchases and 14 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from August 26, 2021 to September 9, 2026.

What happened after Stenger Thomas’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −5.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 50% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Stenger Thomas: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 13 +2.0% +3.3% 31% 5 0.78 0.48 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 10 −5.1% −5.0% 50% 4 −0.03 0.98 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 10 −5.8% −7.7% 60% 4 −0.13 0.90 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Hope Bancorp Inc HOPE SEVP, Chief Risk Officer014August 26, 2021September 9, 2026

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
September 9, 2026September 1, 2026 HOPE Sale $22,770 not yetnot yetnot yet
June 9, 2026June 8, 2026 HOPE Sale $19,020 +4.6%not yetnot yet
December 8, 2025December 8, 2025 HOPE Sale $20,537 +1.7%not yetnot yet
November 19, 2025November 19, 2025 HOPE Sale $21,000 +12.3%not yetnot yet
September 15, 2025August 6, 2025 HOPE Sale $37,498 +5.0%+18.9%+22.7%
January 31, 2025January 30, 2025 HOPE Sale $49,509 −3.9%+1.0%−6.8%
December 5, 2024December 5, 2024 HOPE Sale $16,975 −14.2%−24.0%−28.3%
November 7, 2024November 6, 2024 HOPE Sale $15,625 −16.3%−34.4%−39.3%
August 19, 2024August 16, 2024 HOPE Sale $39,680 +5.8%−21.4%−27.5%
December 18, 2023December 14, 2023 HOPE Sale $18,285 −14.6%−19.1%−13.6%
September 11, 2023September 8, 2023 HOPE Sale $28,020 +16.6%+9.4%+11.8%
June 7, 2023June 6, 2023 HOPE Sale $31,446 0.0%−10.9%−8.6%
May 4, 2023May 2, 2023 HOPE Sale $40,597 +26.2%+11.9%+14.7%
August 26, 2021August 24, 2021 HOPE Sale $51,457 +3.3%+17.7%+17.0%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Stenger Thomas traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.