undamentalytics Newsletter

Westphal Jeffrey: insider trades

10% owner, Other at Vertex, Inc. 1 open-market purchase and 25 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from January 13, 2022 to February 18, 2026.

Would copying Westphal Jeffrey’s purchases have beaten the S&P 500?

Too few purchases to judge. None of their purchases has 12 months of prices after the report; we judge insiders once they have 20. The figures below can swing a long way on a handful of trades. Buying each purchase the day after it was reported, an equal amount each, and holding it 12 months or until they reported a sale would have turned $10,000 on February 19, 2026 into $12,358 by November 2, 2026, +35.2% a year. The copy held shares only 100% of the time, so the fair comparison is the S&P 500 on those same days with Treasury bills otherwise: $11,138, +16.6% a year (the S&P 500 held throughout made $11,138, +16.6% a year). Beta against the index was 0.04. After their sales, the shares moved +22.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 28% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

$0$5.0k$10.0k 2026 $12.4k$11.1k$11.1k
Copying Westphal JeffreyS&P 500, same days investedS&P 500, held throughout $10,000 copying Westphal Jeffrey’s open-market purchases from February 19, 2026, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each purchase gets the same starting stake, bought at the close of the first trading day after the report and sold 12 months later or the day after a reported sale of that stock; uninvested money earns the Treasury bill rate. “Same days invested” holds the S&P 500 only on the days the copy held shares, Treasury bills otherwise.
Return a year, copying
+35.2%
S&P 500, same days invested
+16.6% (held throughout +16.6%)
Time in shares
100%
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
0.73 (0.94)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−32% (−9%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
0.04
Purchases copied
1

Trade by trade

Westphal Jeffrey: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 1 −3.1% −3.1% 0% 1 — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 1 −6.0% −6.0% 0% 1 — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 25 +12.5% +12.4% 28% 4 −0.04 0.97 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 25 +22.1% +39.2% 28% 4 −0.17 0.88 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 25 +18.9% +39.4% 28% 4 −0.22 0.84 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Vertex, Inc. VERX —125January 13, 2022February 18, 2026

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
February 18, 2026February 13, 2026 VERX Purchase $5,119,939 −3.1%not yetnot yet
June 11, 2025June 9, 2025 VERX Sale $115,350,000 −43.8%−94.2%−90.9%
December 16, 2024December 12, 2024 VERX Sale $30,480,750 −27.1%−76.9%−76.1%
November 13, 2024November 11, 2024 VERX Sale $121,516,500 −10.4%−72.7%−72.3%
October 7, 2024October 3, 2024 VERX Sale $48,289,500 +25.2%−55.2%−59.7%
July 24, 2024July 23, 2024 VERX Sale $56,715,000 +3.6%−29.9%−31.0%
June 7, 2024June 5, 2024 VERX Sale $49,395,000 +1.8%−6.3%+3.1%
April 9, 2024April 5, 2024 VERX Sale $23,773,547 +5.9%+15.2%+13.6%
March 5, 2024March 1, 2024 VERX Sale $76,507,732 +12.4%−6.3%−16.7%
November 16, 2023November 14, 2023 VERX Sale $49,488,592 −17.7%+61.7%+44.5%
October 4, 2023October 2, 2023 VERX Sale $24,629,562 −1.8%+41.1%+43.7%
July 14, 2023July 12, 2023 VERX Sale $6,126,377 +22.9%+64.9%+69.5%
July 5, 2023June 30, 2023 VERX Sale $11,617,256 +31.9%+70.1%+57.2%
June 30, 2023June 28, 2023 VERX Sale $14,608,000 +24.9%+61.2%+60.4%
March 16, 2023March 14, 2023 VERX Sale $26,897,620 −1.9%+27.9%+28.6%
March 10, 2023March 8, 2023 VERX Sale $1,832,359 +12.2%+27.1%+28.6%
March 2, 2023February 28, 2023 VERX Sale $2,097,414 +37.4%+70.6%+85.4%
November 21, 2022November 17, 2022 VERX Sale $22,725,000 +1.6%+67.2%+43.7%
November 3, 2022November 1, 2022 VERX Sale $647,100 −21.8%+23.9%+19.5%
August 2, 2022July 29, 2022 VERX Sale $36,750,000 +55.2%+54.0%+73.3%
July 13, 2022July 11, 2022 VERX Sale $812,320 +52.8%+78.4%+49.5%
July 12, 2022July 8, 2022 VERX Sale $304,623 +42.8%+58.2%+39.4%
July 8, 2022July 7, 2022 VERX Sale $80,878 +36.5%+49.5%+43.3%
July 5, 2022June 30, 2022 VERX Sale $2,382,116 +31.3%+39.2%+47.6%
May 25, 2022May 23, 2022 VERX Sale $583,446 +22.0%+81.5%+74.5%
January 13, 2022January 11, 2022 VERX Sale $11,680,000 +16.2%+2.1%−6.5%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Westphal Jeffrey traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.