undamentalytics Newsletter

Brian J. Mast: stock trades

Republican, Representative for FL's 21st district. Value ranges as filed, never exact figures.

Activity

Top sectors

Trades in companies we cover, by the company’s sector. Green is purchases, red is sales.

  • Health Care23% of trades 15 trades: 4 purchases, 11 sales
  • Consumer Discretionary19% of trades 12 trades: 7 purchases, 5 sales
  • Industrials19% of trades 12 trades: 6 purchases, 6 sales
  • Communication Services11% of trades 7 trades: 5 purchases, 2 sales
  • Materials9% of trades 6 trades: 4 purchases, 2 sales
  • Consumer Staples9% of trades 6 trades: 3 purchases, 3 sales

Would copying Brian J. Mast’s trades have beaten the S&P 500?

Copying Brian J. Mast’s disclosed holdings (starting from the holdings in each annual disclosure report once it was published, then adding purchases and taking off sales as each trade report became public, sized by the amounts reported, with call options counted as the stock until they expired) would have turned $10,000 on May 16, 2017 into $6,005 by November 2, 2026, against $36,522 in the S&P 500: −5.3% a year against +14.7%, with a beta of 1.19. Selling each purchase after 6 months instead would have made +6.3% a year. Six months after each report, the average share purchase was +1.7% against the S&P 500 (median −3.2%), and 44% beat it, well within what luck alone would produce. Measured from the trade date instead, the member’s own timing, the average was +1.0%. Reports arrived a median of 26 days after the trade. 2 purchases had already been sold in full by the time they were reported, so a follower could not copy them; the averages below still count every purchase.

$0$50.0k$100k 20172019202120232025 $36.5k$6.0k
Copying Brian J. MastS&P 500, buy and hold $10,000 copying Brian J. Mast’s disclosed holdings from May 16, 2017, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each annual report resets the copy to the holdings it lists; each trade report then adds or reduces positions, sized by the middle of the amount band filed (a partial sale takes off its band but never more than half the position). Holdings before the first report in our records are unknown. Money not in a stock earns the Treasury bill rate.
Brian J. Mast: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayt-statisticEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 32 +3.2% −5.1% 44% 0.26 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 6 months after the report 32 +1.7% −3.2% 44% 0.20 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 3 months after the trade 32 +1.3% −1.6% 47% 0.14 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 6 months after the trade 32 +1.0% −7.2% 47% 0.09 No reliable evidence
Sales, 6 months after the report 29 +30.3% −6.6% 52% 1.95 Some evidence: seller wrong
Return a year, copying
−5.3%
S&P 500, same dates
+14.7%
Yearly swing (S&P 500)
57% (18%)
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
0.14 (0.69)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−97% (−34%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
1.19

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic treats each trade as a separate bet; the Evidence label is stricter and uses one average per month of reports, because trades bunch together. Trades in companies we cover only. The averages count share trades; the copy portfolio also counts call options as the stock and sizes positions by the middle of each band filed. No trading costs or taxes. These are the stocks’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Brian J. Mast traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every member compares.

Stocks traded

Every company we cover that appears in the reports. “Since first purchase” is the stock’s move from the close on the member’s first disclosed purchase to the latest close, against the S&P 500; it is not the member’s return.

Brian J. Mast: companies traded
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. 2$30,002–$100,000 8$176,008–$465,000 Jan 18, 2019 Apr 18, 2022 ▼ 99.7%−316.8 pts vs S&P
AMTXAemetis, Inc 4$18,004–$95,000 2$65,002–$150,000 Mar 4, 2021 Apr 12, 2021 ▼ 91.8%−208.0 pts vs S&P
NIONIO Inc. 3$17,003–$80,000 2$65,002–$150,000 Feb 27, 2019 Jul 6, 2020 —
EXPEExpedia Group 2$100,002–$200,000 2$30,002–$100,000 Jun 26, 2018 Feb 28, 2019 ▲ 142.9%−71.5 pts vs S&P
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc 2$30,002–$100,000 2$2,002–$30,000 Jul 19, 2021 Apr 18, 2022 ▼ 99.6%−189.9 pts vs S&P
UBERUber 2$30,002–$100,000 2$16,002–$65,000 Sep 16, 2019 Feb 7, 2020 ▲ 94.3%−84.7 pts vs S&P
PSNLPersonalis, Inc. 1$15,001–$50,000 2$16,002–$65,000 Feb 14, 2020 May 19, 2020 ▲ 51.9%−93.7 pts vs S&P
SNAPSnap Inc 2$2,002–$30,000 1$1,001–$15,000 Feb 7, 2019 Mar 14, 2019 ▼ 35.3%−248.1 pts vs S&P
AMAntero Midstream Corp 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Aug 14, 2019 Jan 8, 2020 ▲ 519.4%+324.5 pts vs S&P
BEEMBeam Global 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Sep 15, 2020 Nov 5, 2020 ▼ 94.4%−235.7 pts vs S&P
BTIBritish American Tobacco P.l.c. 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Jan 31, 2019 Mar 6, 2019 —
CVSCVS Health 1$50,001–$100,000 1$50,001–$100,000 Apr 11, 2019 Aug 12, 2019 ▲ 123.0%−68.9 pts vs S&P
DISThe Walt Disney Company 1$50,001–$100,000 1$50,001–$100,000 Jun 26, 2018 Jan 8, 2019 ▲ 16.1%−198.2 pts vs S&P
IPWRIdeal Power Inc. 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Dec 24, 2020 Feb 16, 2021 ▼ 75.3%−195.9 pts vs S&P
KHCKraft Heinz 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Aug 14, 2019 Sep 11, 2019 ▲ 37.9%−157.0 pts vs S&P
MOAltria 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Jan 24, 2019 Jan 30, 2019 ▲ 219.3%−1.3 pts vs S&P
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc. 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Aug 18, 2020 Sep 1, 2020 ▼ 86.3%−228.7 pts vs S&P
TAT&T 2$396–$396 0 Mar 4, 2024 Mar 4, 2024 ▲ 44.6%−7.4 pts vs S&P
UBSUBS Group AG 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Jan 15, 2019 Jan 25, 2019 —
YETIYeti Holdings, Inc. 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Dec 24, 2018 Jan 2, 2019 ▲ 257.9%−2.7 pts vs S&P
AMZNAmazon 1$351–$351 0 Mar 4, 2024 Mar 4, 2024 ▲ 41.9%−10.1 pts vs S&P

Trades in companies we cover

“Stock since trade” is the share price move from the close on the trade date to the latest close, with the gap to the S&P 500 beneath. It describes the stock, not what the member made. Click a column heading to sort.

Brian J. Mast: trades in companies we cover
Report
AMZNAmazon Purchase$350.78 · Dependent child Mar 26, 2024 Mar 4, 2024 ▲ 41.9%−10.1 pts vs S&P Filing for AMZN on Mar 4, 2024
TAT&T Purchase$172.00 · Dependent child Mar 26, 2024 Mar 4, 2024 ▲ 44.6%−7.4 pts vs S&P Filing for T on Mar 4, 2024
TAT&T Purchase$223.60 · Dependent child Mar 26, 2024 Mar 4, 2024 ▲ 44.6%−7.4 pts vs S&P Filing for T on Mar 4, 2024
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 May 9, 2022 Apr 18, 2022 ▼ 95.4%−178.3 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Apr 18, 2022
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 May 9, 2022 Apr 18, 2022 ▼ 98.5%−181.4 pts vs S&P Filing for SPCE on Apr 18, 2022
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 May 9, 2022 Apr 18, 2022 ▼ 98.5%−181.4 pts vs S&P Filing for SPCE on Apr 18, 2022
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 23, 2021 Jul 19, 2021 ▼ 99.6%−189.9 pts vs S&P Filing for SPCE on Jul 19, 2021
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 23, 2021 Jul 19, 2021 ▼ 99.6%−189.9 pts vs S&P Filing for SPCE on Jul 19, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Exchange$1,001 - $15,000 Oct 5, 2022 May 3, 2021 — Filing for TLRY on May 3, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 May 14, 2021 Apr 12, 2021 ▼ 95.2%−192.4 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Apr 12, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 May 14, 2021 Apr 12, 2021 ▼ 95.2%−192.4 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Apr 12, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Apr 19, 2021 Mar 4, 2021 ▼ 91.8%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Mar 4, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Apr 19, 2021 Mar 4, 2021 ▼ 91.8%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Mar 4, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Apr 19, 2021 Mar 4, 2021 ▼ 91.8%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Mar 4, 2021
AMTXAemetis, Inc Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Apr 19, 2021 Mar 4, 2021 ▼ 91.8%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for AMTX on Mar 4, 2021
IPWRIdeal Power Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 12, 2022 Feb 16, 2021 ▼ 87.6%−195.1 pts vs S&P Filing for IPWR on Feb 16, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Aug 12, 2022 Feb 10, 2021 ▼ 99.6%−208.3 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 10, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Mar 17, 2021 Feb 10, 2021 ▼ 99.6%−208.3 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 10, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 12, 2022 Feb 9, 2021 ▼ 99.4%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 9, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 12, 2022 Feb 9, 2021 ▼ 99.4%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 9, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 17, 2021 Feb 9, 2021 ▼ 99.4%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 9, 2021
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 17, 2021 Feb 9, 2021 ▼ 99.4%−208.0 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 9, 2021
IPWRIdeal Power Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 1, 2021 Dec 24, 2020 ▼ 75.3%−195.9 pts vs S&P Filing for IPWR on Dec 24, 2020
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Dec 1, 2020 Nov 6, 2020 ▼ 97.3%−230.8 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Nov 6, 2020
BEEMBeam Global Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Dec 1, 2020 Nov 5, 2020 ▼ 96.0%−229.4 pts vs S&P Filing for BEEM on Nov 5, 2020
BEEMBeam Global Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Oct 15, 2020 Sep 15, 2020 ▼ 94.4%−235.7 pts vs S&P Filing for BEEM on Sep 15, 2020
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Oct 15, 2020 Sep 1, 2020 ▼ 87.7%−220.5 pts vs S&P Filing for RXT on Sep 1, 2020
RXTRackspace Technology, Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Sep 9, 2020 Aug 18, 2020 ▼ 86.3%−228.7 pts vs S&P Filing for RXT on Aug 18, 2020
NIONIO Inc. Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Aug 14, 2020 Jul 6, 2020 — Filing for NIO on Jul 6, 2020
NIONIO Inc. Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 Aug 14, 2020 Jul 2, 2020 — Filing for NIO on Jul 2, 2020
PSNLPersonalis, Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jun 4, 2020 May 19, 2020 ▲ 37.0%−145.4 pts vs S&P Filing for PSNL on May 19, 2020
PSNLPersonalis, Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 May 4, 2020 Apr 22, 2020 ▲ 67.8%−127.7 pts vs S&P Filing for PSNL on Apr 22, 2020
PSNLPersonalis, Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 4, 2020 Feb 14, 2020 ▲ 51.9%−93.7 pts vs S&P Filing for PSNL on Feb 14, 2020
UBERUber Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 4, 2020 Feb 7, 2020 ▲ 64.6%−85.0 pts vs S&P Filing for UBER on Feb 7, 2020
UBERUber Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Feb 3, 2020 Jan 21, 2020 ▲ 77.9%−72.4 pts vs S&P Filing for UBER on Jan 21, 2020
AMAntero Midstream Corp Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 3, 2020 Jan 8, 2020 ▲ 488.7%+333.1 pts vs S&P Filing for AM on Jan 8, 2020
UBERUber Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Oct 2, 2019 Sep 23, 2019 ▲ 102.7%−76.8 pts vs S&P Filing for UBER on Sep 23, 2019
UBERUber Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Oct 2, 2019 Sep 16, 2019 ▲ 94.3%−84.7 pts vs S&P Filing for UBER on Sep 16, 2019
KHCKraft Heinz Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Oct 2, 2019 Sep 11, 2019 ▲ 18.3%−160.5 pts vs S&P Filing for KHC on Sep 11, 2019
AMAntero Midstream Corp Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Sep 4, 2019 Aug 14, 2019 ▲ 519.4%+324.5 pts vs S&P Filing for AM on Aug 14, 2019
KHCKraft Heinz Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Sep 4, 2019 Aug 14, 2019 ▲ 37.9%−157.0 pts vs S&P Filing for KHC on Aug 14, 2019
CVSCVS Health Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Sep 4, 2019 Aug 12, 2019 ▲ 96.3%−94.3 pts vs S&P Filing for CVS on Aug 12, 2019
CVSCVS Health Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 May 8, 2019 Apr 11, 2019 ▲ 123.0%−68.9 pts vs S&P Filing for CVS on Apr 11, 2019
NIONIO Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Apr 15, 2019 Mar 15, 2019 — Filing for NIO on Mar 15, 2019
SNAPSnap Inc Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Apr 15, 2019 Mar 14, 2019 ▼ 50.8%−251.4 pts vs S&P Filing for SNAP on Mar 14, 2019
BTIBritish American Tobacco P.l.c. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Apr 15, 2019 Mar 6, 2019 — Filing for BTI on Mar 6, 2019
EXPEExpedia Group Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 28, 2019 ▲ 139.1%−64.1 pts vs S&P Filing for EXPE on Feb 28, 2019
NIONIO Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 28, 2019 — Filing for NIO on Feb 28, 2019
NIONIO Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 27, 2019 — Filing for NIO on Feb 27, 2019
SNAPSnap Inc Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 11, 2019 ▼ 38.3%−250.6 pts vs S&P Filing for SNAP on Feb 11, 2019
SNAPSnap Inc Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 7, 2019 ▼ 35.3%−248.1 pts vs S&P Filing for SNAP on Feb 7, 2019
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 12, 2019 Feb 4, 2019 ▼ 99.7%−310.4 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Feb 4, 2019
BTIBritish American Tobacco P.l.c. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 31, 2019 — Filing for BTI on Jan 31, 2019
MOAltria Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 30, 2019 ▲ 189.4%−26.4 pts vs S&P Filing for MO on Jan 30, 2019
EXPEExpedia Group Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 29, 2019 ▲ 151.9%−68.9 pts vs S&P Filing for EXPE on Jan 29, 2019
EXPEExpedia Group Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 25, 2019 ▲ 151.8%−66.1 pts vs S&P Filing for EXPE on Jan 25, 2019
UBSUBS Group AG Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 25, 2019 — Filing for UBS on Jan 25, 2019
MOAltria Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 24, 2019 ▲ 219.3%−1.3 pts vs S&P Filing for MO on Jan 24, 2019
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 18, 2019 ▼ 99.7%−316.8 pts vs S&P Filing for TLRY on Jan 18, 2019
UBSUBS Group AG Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 15, 2019 — Filing for UBS on Jan 15, 2019
DISThe Walt Disney Company Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 8, 2019 ▲ 7.0%−222.1 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Jan 8, 2019
YETIYeti Holdings, Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 5, 2019 Jan 2, 2019 ▲ 176.9%−60.9 pts vs S&P Filing for YETI on Jan 2, 2019
YETIYeti Holdings, Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Jan 7, 2019 Dec 24, 2018 ▲ 257.9%−2.7 pts vs S&P Filing for YETI on Dec 24, 2018
EXPEExpedia Group Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Sep 20, 2018 Jun 26, 2018 ▲ 142.9%−71.5 pts vs S&P Filing for EXPE on Jun 26, 2018
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Sep 20, 2018 Jun 26, 2018 ▲ 16.1%−198.2 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Jun 26, 2018

What happened to the stocks afterwards

Average of the stock’s return minus the S&P 500’s, across this member’s disclosed trade whose window is complete. Nothing here is a member’s profit.

AfterWindowAverage excessTypical (median)Beat the S&P 500TradesFrom the filing date
Purchases 30 days +13.1% +3.1% 59% 27 −3.3% (27)
Purchases 90 days +9.3% +1.0% 52% 27 +11.1% (27)
Sales 30 days −14.6% −8.7% 25% 28 +3.1% (28)
Sales 90 days −12.0% −10.8% 29% 28 +4.0% (28)

Excess return is the stock’s move minus the S&P 500’s over the same dates, measured from the close on the trade date, on closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Value ranges are wide, filings arrive up to 45 days late, trades by one member in one stock are not independent, and a stock’s move says nothing about what a member earned. A small average over a few trades is noise, not evidence. This is not investment advice. For sales, a positive figure means the stock went on to beat the market after the sale.

Filings

Holdings and net worth are not shown: members also file annual financial disclosure reports listing what they own, and those are not included here yet. We show only the trades they report.

Source: periodic transaction reports filed with the Clerk of the House of Representatives under the STOCK Act (Senate reports are not included yet). Members report trades by themselves, their spouses and dependent children. Amounts are the value ranges as filed, not exact figures, and a report can be filed up to 45 days after the trade, so the latest trades may not appear yet. Scanned paper reports are linked but not transcribed. By law (5 U.S.C. §13107) these reports may not be used for any commercial purpose other than by news and communications media for dissemination to the general public; we publish them free, as news.

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