J. French Hill: stock trades
Republican, Representative for AR's 2nd district. Value ranges as filed, never exact figures.
Activity
Show as a table
| Month | Purchases | Sales |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2024 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 2025 | 0 | 1 |
| Feb 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2025 | 4 | 10 |
| Jul 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2025 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 2025 | 0 | 4 |
| Jan 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2026 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2026 | 0 | 0 |
- Trades, 24 months
- 19
- Purchases
- 4
- Sales
- 15
- In 2025
- 19
Top sectors
- Financials48% of trades 19 trades: 11 purchases, 8 sales
- Technology10% of trades 4 trades: 2 purchases, 2 sales
- Health Care10% of trades 4 trades: 0 purchases, 4 sales
- Industrials8% of trades 3 trades: 2 purchases, 1 sales
- Communication Services8% of trades 3 trades: 1 purchases, 2 sales
- Consumer Staples8% of trades 3 trades: 0 purchases, 3 sales
Would copying J. French Hill’s trades have beaten the S&P 500?
Copying J. French Hill’s disclosed holdings (starting from the holdings in each annual disclosure report once it was published, then adding purchases and taking off sales as each trade report became public, sized by the amounts reported, with call options counted as the stock until they expired) would have turned $10,000 on February 4, 2016 into $23,253 by November 2, 2026, against $46,949 in the S&P 500: +8.2% a year against +15.5%, with a beta of 0.94. Selling each purchase after 6 months instead would have made +12.1% a year. Many of J. French Hill’s trades are not share purchases, so only 17 share purchases can be judged trade by trade, too few to rank. Six months after each report, the average share purchase was +1.8% against the S&P 500 (median −0.4%), and 47% beat it. Measured from the trade date instead, the member’s own timing, the average was −0.4%. Reports arrived a median of 30 days after the trade.
| Measured | Trades counted | Average vs S&P 500 | Median | Went the right way | t-statistic | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purchases, 3 months after the report | 17 | −3.0% | −0.8% | 47% | -1.56 | No reliable evidence |
| Purchases, 6 months after the report | 17 | +1.8% | −0.4% | 47% | 0.40 | No reliable evidence |
| Purchases, 3 months after the trade | 17 | −4.9% | −2.8% | 35% | -2.64 | Some evidence: behind |
| Purchases, 6 months after the trade | 17 | −0.4% | +0.5% | 53% | -0.11 | No reliable evidence |
| Sales, 6 months after the report | 22 | +7.6% | −4.5% | 73% | 0.80 | No reliable evidence |
- Return a year, copying
- +8.2%
- S&P 500, same dates
- +15.5%
- Yearly swing (S&P 500)
- 24% (18%)
- Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
- 0.35 (0.77)
- Biggest drop (S&P 500)
- −44% (−34%)
- Market sensitivity (beta)
- 0.94
Stocks traded
| MKLMarkel Group Inc. | 3$115,003–$250,000 | 0 | Nov 22, 2023 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 32.9%−39.0 pts vs S&P |
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | 2$2,002–$30,000 | 0 | Jan 7, 2016 | Nov 30, 2020 | ▲ 330.3%−31.8 pts vs S&P |
| BXBlackstone Inc. | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 1$100,001–$250,000 | May 31, 2016 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| INTCIntel | 1$1,001–$15,000 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Nov 22, 2023 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 40.4%−31.5 pts vs S&P |
| SYFSynchrony Financial | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | May 31, 2016 | Apr 14, 2021 | ▲ 206.2%−118.9 pts vs S&P |
| TAT&T | 0 | 2$2,002–$30,000 | Nov 30, 2020 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| XOMExxonMobil | 0 | 2$16,002–$65,000 | Nov 30, 2020 | Nov 30, 2020 | — |
| CSCOCisco | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 0 | Jun 13, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | ▲ 386.6%+58.6 pts vs S&P |
| CVSCVS Health | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Jan 31, 2025 | Jan 31, 2025 | — |
| EMREmerson Electric | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 0 | Jun 13, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | ▲ 315.4%−12.5 pts vs S&P |
| FISFidelity National Information Services | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 0 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▼ 21.5%−93.3 pts vs S&P |
| FTREFortrea Holdings Inc. | 0 | 1$1,001–$15,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) | 1$1,001–$15,000 | 0 | Jun 2, 2016 | Jun 2, 2016 | ▲ 657.1%+334.1 pts vs S&P |
| KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc. | 0 | 1$1,001–$15,000 | Dec 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| LLoews Corporation | 1$50,001–$100,000 | 0 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 21.7%−5.7 pts vs S&P |
| LAZLazard, Inc. | 0 | 1$50,001–$100,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| MMM3M | 1$15,001–$50,000 | 0 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 136.8%+65.0 pts vs S&P |
| MOAltria | 0 | 1$50,001–$100,000 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | — |
| PFEPfizer | 0 | 1$100,001–$250,000 | Dec 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| PMPhilip Morris International | 0 | 1$100,001–$250,000 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | — |
| PYPLPayPal | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Dec 29, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | — |
| RFRegions Financial Corporation | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation | 0 | 1$50,001–$100,000 | Dec 29, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | — |
| SFLSFL Corp Ltd. | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Dec 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| SFNCSimmons First National Corp | 0 | 1$100,001–$250,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| SOLVSolventum | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Dec 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | — |
| SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. | 0 | 1$1,001–$15,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| TSLATesla, Inc. | 1$1,001–$15,000 | 0 | Apr 8, 2021 | Apr 8, 2021 | ▲ 74.3%−24.3 pts vs S&P |
| VVisa Inc. | 1$50,001–$100,000 | 0 | Nov 22, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 69.3%−2.5 pts vs S&P |
| VTSVitesse Energy, Inc. | 0 | 1$1,001–$15,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| WFCWells Fargo | 0 | 1$15,001–$50,000 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — |
| WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group LTD | 1$50,001–$100,000 | 0 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 29.3%+1.9 pts vs S&P |
Trades in companies we cover
| Report | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc. | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 | Jan 23, 2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | ▼ 50.6%−62.1 pts vs S&P | Filing for KD on Dec 31, 2025 |
| PFEPfizer | Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 | Jan 23, 2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | ▲ 26.4%+15.0 pts vs S&P | Filing for PFE on Dec 31, 2025 |
| SFLSFL Corp Ltd. | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jan 23, 2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | ▲ 67.5%+56.1 pts vs S&P | Filing for SFL on Dec 31, 2025 |
| SOLVSolventum | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jan 23, 2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | ▲ 6.8%−4.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for SOLV on Dec 31, 2025 |
| TAT&T | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▼ 19.4%−46.8 pts vs S&P | Filing for T on Jun 23, 2025 |
| BXBlackstone Inc. | Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — | Filing for BX on Jun 23, 2025 |
| FTREFortrea Holdings Inc. | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 308.8%+281.5 pts vs S&P | Filing for FTRE on Jun 23, 2025 |
| INTCIntel | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 185.4%+158.1 pts vs S&P | Filing for INTC on Jun 23, 2025 |
| LAZLazard, Inc. | Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | — | Filing for LAZ on Jun 23, 2025 |
| LLoews Corporation | Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 21.7%−5.7 pts vs S&P | Filing for L on Jun 23, 2025 |
| MKLMarkel Group Inc. | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▼ 4.3%−31.7 pts vs S&P | Filing for MKL on Jun 23, 2025 |
| MKLMarkel Group Inc. | Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▼ 4.3%−31.7 pts vs S&P | Filing for MKL on Jun 23, 2025 |
| RFRegions Financial Corporation | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 32.6%+5.2 pts vs S&P | Filing for RF on Jun 23, 2025 |
| SFNCSimmons First National Corp | Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 33.4%+6.0 pts vs S&P | Filing for SFNC on Jun 23, 2025 |
| SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 68.3%+41.0 pts vs S&P | Filing for SPB on Jun 23, 2025 |
| VTSVitesse Energy, Inc. | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▼ 21.6%−48.9 pts vs S&P | Filing for VTS on Jun 23, 2025 |
| WFCWells Fargo | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 13.9%−13.4 pts vs S&P | Filing for WFC on Jun 23, 2025 |
| WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group LTD | Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 | Jul 24, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | ▲ 29.3%+1.9 pts vs S&P | Filing for WTM on Jun 23, 2025 |
| CVSCVS Health | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Feb 4, 2025 | Jan 31, 2025 | ▲ 72.0%+44.3 pts vs S&P | Filing for CVS on Jan 31, 2025 |
| SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation | Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 | Jan 10, 2024 | Dec 29, 2023 | ▲ 34.2%−29.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for SCHW on Dec 29, 2023 |
| PYPLPayPal | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Jan 10, 2024 | Dec 29, 2023 | ▼ 3.8%−67.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for PYPL on Dec 29, 2023 |
| MMM3M | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 136.8%+65.0 pts vs S&P | Filing for MMM on Nov 22, 2023 |
| MOAltria | Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 132.3%+60.4 pts vs S&P | Filing for MO on Nov 22, 2023 |
| FISFidelity National Information Services | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▼ 21.5%−93.3 pts vs S&P | Filing for FIS on Nov 22, 2023 |
| INTCIntel | Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 40.4%−31.5 pts vs S&P | Filing for INTC on Nov 22, 2023 |
| MKLMarkel Group Inc. | Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 32.9%−39.0 pts vs S&P | Filing for MKL on Nov 22, 2023 |
| PMPhilip Morris International | Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 150.8%+78.9 pts vs S&P | Filing for PM on Nov 22, 2023 |
| VVisa Inc. | Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 | Dec 13, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | ▲ 69.3%−2.5 pts vs S&P | Filing for V on Nov 22, 2023 |
| SYFSynchrony Financial | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 | Apr 27, 2021 | Apr 14, 2021 | ▲ 104.7%+7.5 pts vs S&P | Filing for SYF on Apr 14, 2021 |
| TSLATesla, Inc. | Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child | Apr 27, 2021 | Apr 8, 2021 | ▲ 74.3%−24.3 pts vs S&P | Filing for TSLA on Apr 8, 2021 |
| TAT&T | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child | Dec 30, 2020 | Nov 30, 2020 | ▲ 43.5%−82.3 pts vs S&P | Filing for T on Nov 30, 2020 |
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child | Dec 30, 2020 | Nov 30, 2020 | ▲ 143.4%+17.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for BRK.B on Nov 30, 2020 |
| XOMExxonMobil | Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse | Dec 30, 2020 | Nov 30, 2020 | ▲ 481.4%+355.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for XOM on Nov 30, 2020 |
| XOMExxonMobil | Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse | Dec 30, 2020 | Nov 30, 2020 | ▲ 481.4%+355.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for XOM on Nov 30, 2020 |
| CSCOCisco | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse | Jul 12, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | ▲ 386.6%+58.6 pts vs S&P | Filing for CSCO on Jun 13, 2016 |
| EMREmerson Electric | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse | Jul 12, 2016 | Jun 13, 2016 | ▲ 315.4%−12.5 pts vs S&P | Filing for EMR on Jun 13, 2016 |
| GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) | Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child | Jul 12, 2016 | Jun 2, 2016 | ▲ 657.1%+334.1 pts vs S&P | Filing for GOOGL on Jun 2, 2016 |
| SYFSynchrony Financial | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 | Jul 12, 2016 | May 31, 2016 | ▲ 206.2%−118.9 pts vs S&P | Filing for SYF on May 31, 2016 |
| BXBlackstone Inc. | Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 | Jul 12, 2016 | May 31, 2016 | — | Filing for BX on May 31, 2016 |
| BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway | Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 | Feb 3, 2016 | Jan 7, 2016 | ▲ 330.3%−31.8 pts vs S&P | Filing for BRK.B on Jan 7, 2016 |
What happened to the stocks afterwards
| After | Window | Average excess | Typical (median) | Beat the S&P 500 | Trades | From the filing date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purchases | 30 days | −2.2%few trades | −3.3% | 38% | 16 | +0.6% (16) |
| Purchases | 90 days | −5.4%few trades | −5.8% | 25% | 16 | −2.0% (16) |
| Sales | 30 days | +2.9% | +3.0% | 62% | 21 | +2.4% (21) |
| Sales | 90 days | +9.2% | −1.3% | 43% | 21 | +4.7% (21) |
Filings
- Report filed Jan 23, 2026 4 stock or option trades · KD, PFE, SFL, SOLV
- Report filed Jul 24, 2025 14 stock or option trades · T, BX, FTRE, INTC, LAZ, L, MKL, RF, SFNC, SPB, VTS, WFC
- Report filed Feb 4, 2025 1 stock or option trade · CVS
- Report filed Jan 10, 2024 2 stock or option trades · SCHW, PYPL
- Report filed Dec 13, 2023 11 stock or option trades · MMM, MO, FIS, INTC, MKL, PM, V
- Report filed Mar 23, 2023 0 stock or option trades
- Report filed Mar 16, 2023 0 stock or option trades
- Report filed Mar 14, 2023 0 stock or option trades
- Report filed Apr 27, 2021 2 stock or option trades · SYF, TSLA
- Report filed Dec 30, 2020 6 stock or option trades · T, BRK.B, XOM
- Report filed Jan 15, 2020 1 stock or option trade
- Report filed Sep 6, 2016 4 stock or option trades
- Report filed Jul 12, 2016 15 stock or option trades · GOOGL, CSCO, EMR, SYF, BX
- Report filed Feb 3, 2016 2 stock or option trades · BRK.B