undamentalytics Newsletter

J. French Hill: stock trades

Republican, Representative for AR's 2nd district. Value ranges as filed, never exact figures.

Activity

Stock and option trades by trade date, last 24 months, any company.

J. French Hill: purchases and sales per month
0 5 10 Dec 2024: 0 purchases Dec 2024: 0 sales Dec Jan 2025: 0 purchases Jan 2025: 1 sales Feb 2025: 0 purchases Feb 2025: 0 sales Mar 2025: 0 purchases Mar 2025: 0 sales Mar Apr 2025: 0 purchases Apr 2025: 0 sales May 2025: 0 purchases May 2025: 0 sales Jun 2025: 4 purchases Jun 2025: 10 sales Jun Jul 2025: 0 purchases Jul 2025: 0 sales Aug 2025: 0 purchases Aug 2025: 0 sales Sep 2025: 0 purchases Sep 2025: 0 sales Sep Oct 2025: 0 purchases Oct 2025: 0 sales Nov 2025: 0 purchases Nov 2025: 0 sales Dec 2025: 0 purchases Dec 2025: 4 sales Dec Jan 2026: 0 purchases Jan 2026: 0 sales Feb 2026: 0 purchases Feb 2026: 0 sales Mar 2026: 0 purchases Mar 2026: 0 sales Mar Apr 2026: 0 purchases Apr 2026: 0 sales May 2026: 0 purchases May 2026: 0 sales Jun 2026: 0 purchases Jun 2026: 0 sales Jun Jul 2026: 0 purchases Jul 2026: 0 sales Aug 2026: 0 purchases Aug 2026: 0 sales Sep 2026: 0 purchases Sep 2026: 0 sales Sep Oct 2026: 0 purchases Oct 2026: 0 sales Nov 2026: 0 purchases Nov 2026: 0 sales
Show as a table
MonthPurchasesSales
Dec 202400
Jan 202501
Feb 202500
Mar 202500
Apr 202500
May 202500
Jun 2025410
Jul 202500
Aug 202500
Sep 202500
Oct 202500
Nov 202500
Dec 202504
Jan 202600
Feb 202600
Mar 202600
Apr 202600
May 202600
Jun 202600
Jul 202600
Aug 202600
Sep 202600
Oct 202600
Nov 202600
Trades, 24 months
19
Purchases
4
Sales
15
In 2025
19

Top sectors

Trades in companies we cover, by the company’s sector. Green is purchases, red is sales.

  • Financials48% of trades 19 trades: 11 purchases, 8 sales
  • Technology10% of trades 4 trades: 2 purchases, 2 sales
  • Health Care10% of trades 4 trades: 0 purchases, 4 sales
  • Industrials8% of trades 3 trades: 2 purchases, 1 sales
  • Communication Services8% of trades 3 trades: 1 purchases, 2 sales
  • Consumer Staples8% of trades 3 trades: 0 purchases, 3 sales

Would copying J. French Hill’s trades have beaten the S&P 500?

Copying J. French Hill’s disclosed holdings (starting from the holdings in each annual disclosure report once it was published, then adding purchases and taking off sales as each trade report became public, sized by the amounts reported, with call options counted as the stock until they expired) would have turned $10,000 on February 4, 2016 into $23,253 by November 2, 2026, against $46,949 in the S&P 500: +8.2% a year against +15.5%, with a beta of 0.94. Selling each purchase after 6 months instead would have made +12.1% a year. Many of J. French Hill’s trades are not share purchases, so only 17 share purchases can be judged trade by trade, too few to rank. Six months after each report, the average share purchase was +1.8% against the S&P 500 (median −0.4%), and 47% beat it. Measured from the trade date instead, the member’s own timing, the average was −0.4%. Reports arrived a median of 30 days after the trade.

$0$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $46.9k$23.3k
Copying J. French HillS&P 500, buy and hold $10,000 copying J. French Hill’s disclosed holdings from February 4, 2016, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each annual report resets the copy to the holdings it lists; each trade report then adds or reduces positions, sized by the middle of the amount band filed (a partial sale takes off its band but never more than half the position). Holdings before the first report in our records are unknown. Money not in a stock earns the Treasury bill rate.
J. French Hill: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayt-statisticEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 17 −3.0% −0.8% 47% -1.56 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 6 months after the report 17 +1.8% −0.4% 47% 0.40 No reliable evidence
Purchases, 3 months after the trade 17 −4.9% −2.8% 35% -2.64 Some evidence: behind
Purchases, 6 months after the trade 17 −0.4% +0.5% 53% -0.11 No reliable evidence
Sales, 6 months after the report 22 +7.6% −4.5% 73% 0.80 No reliable evidence
Return a year, copying
+8.2%
S&P 500, same dates
+15.5%
Yearly swing (S&P 500)
24% (18%)
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
0.35 (0.77)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−44% (−34%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
0.94

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic treats each trade as a separate bet; the Evidence label is stricter and uses one average per month of reports, because trades bunch together. Trades in companies we cover only. The averages count share trades; the copy portfolio also counts call options as the stock and sizes positions by the middle of each band filed. No trading costs or taxes. These are the stocks’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why J. French Hill traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every member compares.

Stocks traded

Every company we cover that appears in the reports. “Since first purchase” is the stock’s move from the close on the member’s first disclosed purchase to the latest close, against the S&P 500; it is not the member’s return.

J. French Hill: companies traded
MKLMarkel Group Inc. 3$115,003–$250,000 0 Nov 22, 2023 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 32.9%−39.0 pts vs S&P
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway 2$2,002–$30,000 0 Jan 7, 2016 Nov 30, 2020 ▲ 330.3%−31.8 pts vs S&P
BXBlackstone Inc. 1$15,001–$50,000 1$100,001–$250,000 May 31, 2016 Jun 23, 2025 —
INTCIntel 1$1,001–$15,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Nov 22, 2023 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 40.4%−31.5 pts vs S&P
SYFSynchrony Financial 1$15,001–$50,000 1$15,001–$50,000 May 31, 2016 Apr 14, 2021 ▲ 206.2%−118.9 pts vs S&P
TAT&T 0 2$2,002–$30,000 Nov 30, 2020 Jun 23, 2025 —
XOMExxonMobil 0 2$16,002–$65,000 Nov 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2020 —
CSCOCisco 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Jun 13, 2016 Jun 13, 2016 ▲ 386.6%+58.6 pts vs S&P
CVSCVS Health 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Jan 31, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 —
EMREmerson Electric 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Jun 13, 2016 Jun 13, 2016 ▲ 315.4%−12.5 pts vs S&P
FISFidelity National Information Services 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Nov 22, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▼ 21.5%−93.3 pts vs S&P
FTREFortrea Holdings Inc. 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) 1$1,001–$15,000 0 Jun 2, 2016 Jun 2, 2016 ▲ 657.1%+334.1 pts vs S&P
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc. 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2025 —
LLoews Corporation 1$50,001–$100,000 0 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 21.7%−5.7 pts vs S&P
LAZLazard, Inc. 0 1$50,001–$100,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
MMM3M 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Nov 22, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 136.8%+65.0 pts vs S&P
MOAltria 0 1$50,001–$100,000 Nov 22, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 —
PFEPfizer 0 1$100,001–$250,000 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2025 —
PMPhilip Morris International 0 1$100,001–$250,000 Nov 22, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 —
PYPLPayPal 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Dec 29, 2023 Dec 29, 2023 —
RFRegions Financial Corporation 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation 0 1$50,001–$100,000 Dec 29, 2023 Dec 29, 2023 —
SFLSFL Corp Ltd. 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2025 —
SFNCSimmons First National Corp 0 1$100,001–$250,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
SOLVSolventum 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2025 —
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
TSLATesla, Inc. 1$1,001–$15,000 0 Apr 8, 2021 Apr 8, 2021 ▲ 74.3%−24.3 pts vs S&P
VVisa Inc. 1$50,001–$100,000 0 Nov 22, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 69.3%−2.5 pts vs S&P
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc. 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
WFCWells Fargo 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 —
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group LTD 1$50,001–$100,000 0 Jun 23, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 29.3%+1.9 pts vs S&P

Trades in companies we cover

“Stock since trade” is the share price move from the close on the trade date to the latest close, with the gap to the S&P 500 beneath. It describes the stock, not what the member made. Click a column heading to sort.

J. French Hill: trades in companies we cover
Report
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 23, 2026 Dec 31, 2025 ▼ 50.6%−62.1 pts vs S&P Filing for KD on Dec 31, 2025
PFEPfizer Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 Jan 23, 2026 Dec 31, 2025 ▲ 26.4%+15.0 pts vs S&P Filing for PFE on Dec 31, 2025
SFLSFL Corp Ltd. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jan 23, 2026 Dec 31, 2025 ▲ 67.5%+56.1 pts vs S&P Filing for SFL on Dec 31, 2025
SOLVSolventum Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jan 23, 2026 Dec 31, 2025 ▲ 6.8%−4.6 pts vs S&P Filing for SOLV on Dec 31, 2025
TAT&T Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▼ 19.4%−46.8 pts vs S&P Filing for T on Jun 23, 2025
BXBlackstone Inc. Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 — Filing for BX on Jun 23, 2025
FTREFortrea Holdings Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 308.8%+281.5 pts vs S&P Filing for FTRE on Jun 23, 2025
INTCIntel Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 185.4%+158.1 pts vs S&P Filing for INTC on Jun 23, 2025
LAZLazard, Inc. Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 — Filing for LAZ on Jun 23, 2025
LLoews Corporation Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 21.7%−5.7 pts vs S&P Filing for L on Jun 23, 2025
MKLMarkel Group Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▼ 4.3%−31.7 pts vs S&P Filing for MKL on Jun 23, 2025
MKLMarkel Group Inc. Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▼ 4.3%−31.7 pts vs S&P Filing for MKL on Jun 23, 2025
RFRegions Financial Corporation Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 32.6%+5.2 pts vs S&P Filing for RF on Jun 23, 2025
SFNCSimmons First National Corp Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 33.4%+6.0 pts vs S&P Filing for SFNC on Jun 23, 2025
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 68.3%+41.0 pts vs S&P Filing for SPB on Jun 23, 2025
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc. Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▼ 21.6%−48.9 pts vs S&P Filing for VTS on Jun 23, 2025
WFCWells Fargo Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 13.9%−13.4 pts vs S&P Filing for WFC on Jun 23, 2025
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group LTD Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Jul 24, 2025 Jun 23, 2025 ▲ 29.3%+1.9 pts vs S&P Filing for WTM on Jun 23, 2025
CVSCVS Health Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 4, 2025 Jan 31, 2025 ▲ 72.0%+44.3 pts vs S&P Filing for CVS on Jan 31, 2025
SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Jan 10, 2024 Dec 29, 2023 ▲ 34.2%−29.6 pts vs S&P Filing for SCHW on Dec 29, 2023
PYPLPayPal Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Jan 10, 2024 Dec 29, 2023 ▼ 3.8%−67.6 pts vs S&P Filing for PYPL on Dec 29, 2023
MMM3M Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 136.8%+65.0 pts vs S&P Filing for MMM on Nov 22, 2023
MOAltria Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 132.3%+60.4 pts vs S&P Filing for MO on Nov 22, 2023
FISFidelity National Information Services Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▼ 21.5%−93.3 pts vs S&P Filing for FIS on Nov 22, 2023
INTCIntel Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 40.4%−31.5 pts vs S&P Filing for INTC on Nov 22, 2023
MKLMarkel Group Inc. Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 32.9%−39.0 pts vs S&P Filing for MKL on Nov 22, 2023
PMPhilip Morris International Sale (full)$100,001 - $250,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 150.8%+78.9 pts vs S&P Filing for PM on Nov 22, 2023
VVisa Inc. Purchase$50,001 - $100,000 Dec 13, 2023 Nov 22, 2023 ▲ 69.3%−2.5 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Nov 22, 2023
SYFSynchrony Financial Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Apr 27, 2021 Apr 14, 2021 ▲ 104.7%+7.5 pts vs S&P Filing for SYF on Apr 14, 2021
TSLATesla, Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Apr 27, 2021 Apr 8, 2021 ▲ 74.3%−24.3 pts vs S&P Filing for TSLA on Apr 8, 2021
TAT&T Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Dec 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2020 ▲ 43.5%−82.3 pts vs S&P Filing for T on Nov 30, 2020
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Dec 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2020 ▲ 143.4%+17.6 pts vs S&P Filing for BRK.B on Nov 30, 2020
XOMExxonMobil Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Dec 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2020 ▲ 481.4%+355.6 pts vs S&P Filing for XOM on Nov 30, 2020
XOMExxonMobil Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Dec 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2020 ▲ 481.4%+355.6 pts vs S&P Filing for XOM on Nov 30, 2020
CSCOCisco Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Jul 12, 2016 Jun 13, 2016 ▲ 386.6%+58.6 pts vs S&P Filing for CSCO on Jun 13, 2016
EMREmerson Electric Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Jul 12, 2016 Jun 13, 2016 ▲ 315.4%−12.5 pts vs S&P Filing for EMR on Jun 13, 2016
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Jul 12, 2016 Jun 2, 2016 ▲ 657.1%+334.1 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Jun 2, 2016
SYFSynchrony Financial Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 12, 2016 May 31, 2016 ▲ 206.2%−118.9 pts vs S&P Filing for SYF on May 31, 2016
BXBlackstone Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 12, 2016 May 31, 2016 — Filing for BX on May 31, 2016
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 Feb 3, 2016 Jan 7, 2016 ▲ 330.3%−31.8 pts vs S&P Filing for BRK.B on Jan 7, 2016

What happened to the stocks afterwards

Average of the stock’s return minus the S&P 500’s, across this member’s disclosed trade whose window is complete. Nothing here is a member’s profit.

AfterWindowAverage excessTypical (median)Beat the S&P 500TradesFrom the filing date
Purchases 30 days −2.2%few trades −3.3% 38% 16 +0.6% (16)
Purchases 90 days −5.4%few trades −5.8% 25% 16 −2.0% (16)
Sales 30 days +2.9% +3.0% 62% 21 +2.4% (21)
Sales 90 days +9.2% −1.3% 43% 21 +4.7% (21)

Excess return is the stock’s move minus the S&P 500’s over the same dates, measured from the close on the trade date, on closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Value ranges are wide, filings arrive up to 45 days late, trades by one member in one stock are not independent, and a stock’s move says nothing about what a member earned. A small average over a few trades is noise, not evidence. This is not investment advice. For sales, a positive figure means the stock went on to beat the market after the sale.

Filings

Holdings and net worth are not shown: members also file annual financial disclosure reports listing what they own, and those are not included here yet. We show only the trades they report.

Source: periodic transaction reports filed with the Clerk of the House of Representatives under the STOCK Act (Senate reports are not included yet). Members report trades by themselves, their spouses and dependent children. Amounts are the value ranges as filed, not exact figures, and a report can be filed up to 45 days after the trade, so the latest trades may not appear yet. Scanned paper reports are linked but not transcribed. By law (5 U.S.C. §13107) these reports may not be used for any commercial purpose other than by news and communications media for dissemination to the general public; we publish them free, as news.

← All trades by members of Congress