undamentalytics Newsletter

John A. Boehner: stock trades

Representative for OH (at large). Value ranges as filed, never exact figures.

Activity

Top sectors

Trades in companies we cover, by the company’s sector. Green is purchases, red is sales.

  • Health Care46% of trades 6 trades: 2 purchases, 4 sales
  • Consumer Discretionary15% of trades 2 trades: 0 purchases, 2 sales
  • Consumer Staples8% of trades 1 trades: 1 purchases, 0 sales
  • Materials8% of trades 1 trades: 0 purchases, 1 sales
  • Industrials8% of trades 1 trades: 0 purchases, 1 sales
  • Technology8% of trades 1 trades: 0 purchases, 1 sales

Would copying John A. Boehner’s trades have beaten the S&P 500?

Too few trades to judge. Only 3 purchases have six months of prices after the report; we rank members once they have 20. The figures below are shown for completeness and can swing a long way on a handful of trades. Copying John A. Boehner’s disclosed holdings (starting from the holdings in each annual disclosure report once it was published, then adding purchases and taking off sales as each trade report became public, sized by the amounts reported, with call options counted as the stock until they expired) would have turned $10,000 on March 27, 2015 into $47,727 by November 2, 2026, against $44,426 in the S&P 500: +14.5% a year against +13.8%, with a beta of 0.67. Selling each purchase after 6 months instead would have made +1.9% a year. Six months after each report, the average share purchase was −4.7% against the S&P 500 (median −6.0%), and 33% beat it. Measured from the trade date instead, the member’s own timing, the average was −0.3%. Reports arrived a median of 14 days after the trade.

$0$20.0k$40.0k 201520172019202120232025 $47.7k$44.4k
Copying John A. BoehnerS&P 500, buy and hold $10,000 copying John A. Boehner’s disclosed holdings from March 27, 2015, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each annual report resets the copy to the holdings it lists; each trade report then adds or reduces positions, sized by the middle of the amount band filed (a partial sale takes off its band but never more than half the position). Holdings before the first report in our records are unknown. Money not in a stock earns the Treasury bill rate.
John A. Boehner: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayt-statisticEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 3 +4.2% −1.1% 33% — Not enough data
Purchases, 6 months after the report 3 −4.7% −6.0% 33% — Not enough data
Purchases, 3 months after the trade 3 +8.1% +7.1% 67% — Not enough data
Purchases, 6 months after the trade 3 −0.3% −1.8% 33% — Not enough data
Sales, 6 months after the report 10 −7.2% −2.8% 60% -1.01 Not enough data
Return a year, copying
+14.5%
S&P 500, same dates
+13.8%
Yearly swing (S&P 500)
21% (18%)
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
0.64 (0.70)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−27% (−34%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
0.67

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic treats each trade as a separate bet; the Evidence label is stricter and uses one average per month of reports, because trades bunch together. Trades in companies we cover only. The averages count share trades; the copy portfolio also counts call options as the stock and sizes positions by the middle of each band filed. No trading costs or taxes. These are the stocks’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why John A. Boehner traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every member compares.

Stocks traded

Every company we cover that appears in the reports. “Since first purchase” is the stock’s move from the close on the member’s first disclosed purchase to the latest close, against the S&P 500; it is not the member’s return.

John A. Boehner: companies traded
UNHUnitedHealth Group 0 2$2,002–$30,000 Dec 26, 2014 Jun 30, 2015 —
ABBVAbbVie 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Mar 11, 2015 Mar 11, 2015 —
ELVElevance Health 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jul 1, 2015 Jul 1, 2015 —
FCXFreeport-McMoRan 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 17, 2015 Jun 17, 2015 —
GDGeneral Dynamics 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 26, 2014 Dec 26, 2014 —
GILDGilead Sciences 1$15,001–$50,000 0 May 15, 2015 May 15, 2015 —
HDThe Home Depot 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 26, 2014 Dec 26, 2014 —
INTCIntel 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 26, 2014 Dec 26, 2014 —
LNCLincoln National Corp 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 26, 2014 Dec 26, 2014 —
MDTMedtronic 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Mar 27, 2015 Mar 27, 2015 —
TGTTarget Corporation 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Jun 18, 2015 Jun 18, 2015 —
VFCVF Corporation 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 26, 2014 Dec 26, 2014 —

Trades in companies we cover

“Stock since trade” is the share price move from the close on the trade date to the latest close, with the gap to the S&P 500 beneath. It describes the stock, not what the member made. Click a column heading to sort.

John A. Boehner: trades in companies we cover
Report
ELVElevance Health Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jul 14, 2015 Jul 1, 2015 — Filing for ELV on Jul 1, 2015
UNHUnitedHealth Group Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jul 14, 2015 Jun 30, 2015 — Filing for UNH on Jun 30, 2015
TGTTarget Corporation Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Jul 14, 2015 Jun 18, 2015 — Filing for TGT on Jun 18, 2015
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jul 14, 2015 Jun 17, 2015 — Filing for FCX on Jun 17, 2015
GILDGilead Sciences Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Jun 10, 2015 May 15, 2015 — Filing for GILD on May 15, 2015
MDTMedtronic Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 Apr 23, 2015 Mar 27, 2015 — Filing for MDT on Mar 27, 2015
ABBVAbbVie Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 Mar 26, 2015 Mar 11, 2015 — Filing for ABBV on Mar 11, 2015
MDTMedtronic Exchange$15,001 - $50,000 Feb 25, 2015 Jan 27, 2015 — Filing for MDT on Jan 27, 2015
GDGeneral Dynamics Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for GD on Dec 26, 2014
HDThe Home Depot Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for HD on Dec 26, 2014
INTCIntel Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for INTC on Dec 26, 2014
LNCLincoln National Corp Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for LNC on Dec 26, 2014
UNHUnitedHealth Group Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for UNH on Dec 26, 2014
VFCVF Corporation Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 Jan 9, 2015 Dec 26, 2014 — Filing for VFC on Dec 26, 2014

What happened to the stocks afterwards

John A. Boehner has too few trades with a full 30 or 90 day window behind them to say anything (we need at least 20 on a side). The totals are not shown rather than shown on a handful of trades.

Excess return is the stock’s move minus the S&P 500’s over the same dates, measured from the close on the trade date, on closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Value ranges are wide, filings arrive up to 45 days late, trades by one member in one stock are not independent, and a stock’s move says nothing about what a member earned. A small average over a few trades is noise, not evidence. This is not investment advice. For sales, a positive figure means the stock went on to beat the market after the sale.

Filings

Holdings and net worth are not shown: members also file annual financial disclosure reports listing what they own, and those are not included here yet. We show only the trades they report.

Source: periodic transaction reports filed with the Clerk of the House of Representatives under the STOCK Act (Senate reports are not included yet). Members report trades by themselves, their spouses and dependent children. Amounts are the value ranges as filed, not exact figures, and a report can be filed up to 45 days after the trade, so the latest trades may not appear yet. Scanned paper reports are linked but not transcribed. By law (5 U.S.C. §13107) these reports may not be used for any commercial purpose other than by news and communications media for dissemination to the general public; we publish them free, as news.

← All trades by members of Congress