undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

John James

Backtest from 3 Sept 2024 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+17.7%
S&P 500 +17.1%
Last 12 months
+11.4%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.96
S&P 500 0.85
Biggest drop
−14.3%
S&P 500 −16.9%
$10.0k 202420252026 $14.2k$14.1k
John JamesS&P 500 $10,000 in John James from 3 Sept 2024 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. John James (Republican, MI) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

John James's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+17.7%+17.1%
Total return+42%+41%
Last 12 months+11.4%+12.1%
Last 3 months−4.1%—
Last month+0.9%—
This year so far+6.5%—
Volatility a year13.4%14.8%
Sharpe ratio0.960.85
Biggest drop−14.3%−16.9%
Beta to the S&P 5000.641.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+4.9% (0.74)—
Share of weeks up58%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 248 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
MNST12.3%3 Sept 2024+99.7%
CAT11.5%3 Sept 2024+86.3%
DG10.6%3 Sept 2024+70.8%
LH9.7%3 Sept 2024+57.7%
VOYA9.1%3 Sept 2024+47.7%
ALLE8.9%3 Sept 2024+44.1%
ETN8.0%3 Sept 2024+30.2%
TJX7.6%9 Sept 2024+23.5%
VZ7.5%3 Sept 2024+21.6%
LVS6.4%3 Sept 2024+2.9%
UBER5.9%9 Sept 2024−4.4%
ROST2.4%3 Sept 2024+54.8%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest3 Sept 2024 to 2 Nov 2026+17.7%+17.1%0.960.85−14.3%0.64+4.9% (0.74)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+10.7%+14.2%0.600.84−9.4%0.46+2.2% (0.22)
DateCompanyAction
9 Sept 2024UBERBought
9 Sept 2024TJXBought
3 Sept 2024ZBRABought
3 Sept 2024XOMBought
3 Sept 2024WMTBought
3 Sept 2024WMBought
3 Sept 2024WFCBought
3 Sept 2024WABBought
3 Sept 2024VZBought
3 Sept 2024VOYABought
3 Sept 2024VLOBought
3 Sept 2024VBought
3 Sept 2024UPSBought
3 Sept 2024UNPBought
3 Sept 2024UNHBought
3 Sept 2024TXNBought
3 Sept 2024TTBought
3 Sept 2024TMOBought
3 Sept 2024TKOBought
3 Sept 2024THCBought
3 Sept 2024TBought
3 Sept 2024SOBought
3 Sept 2024SHELBought
3 Sept 2024ROSTBought
3 Sept 2024RGABought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
9 Sept 2024ZBRASold
9 Sept 2024XOMSold
9 Sept 2024WMTSold
9 Sept 2024WMSold
9 Sept 2024WFCSold
9 Sept 2024WABSold
9 Sept 2024VLOSold
9 Sept 2024VSold
9 Sept 2024UPSSold
9 Sept 2024UNPSold
9 Sept 2024UNHSold
9 Sept 2024TXNSold
9 Sept 2024TTSold
9 Sept 2024TMOSold
9 Sept 2024TKOSold
9 Sept 2024THCSold
9 Sept 2024TSold
9 Sept 2024SOSold
9 Sept 2024SHELSold
9 Sept 2024RGASold
9 Sept 2024PPGSold
9 Sept 2024PNCSold
9 Sept 2024PHSold
9 Sept 2024PGSold
9 Sept 2024PEPSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest