undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Lizzie Fletcher

Backtest from 24 Apr 2019 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
−3.0%
S&P 500 +15.1%
Last 12 months
−7.5%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
−0.06
S&P 500 0.70
Biggest drop
−53.5%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k 20192020202120222023202420252026 $28.9k$8.0k
Lizzie FletcherS&P 500 $10,000 in Lizzie Fletcher from 24 Apr 2019 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (Democrat, TX) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Lizzie Fletcher's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)−3.0%+15.1%
Total return−20%+189%
Last 12 months−7.5%+12.1%
Last 3 months+12.1%—
Last month+37.9%—
This year so far−12.3%—
Volatility a year28.6%18.2%
Sharpe ratio−0.060.70
Biggest drop−53.5%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.691.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−10.6% (−1.13)—
Share of weeks up49%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 101 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
EFX100.0%16 Aug 2021−22.9%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest24 Apr 2019 to 2 Nov 2026−3.0%+15.1%−0.060.70−53.5%0.69−10.6% (−1.13)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+2.9%+21.8%0.121.16−53.5%1.11−13.6% (−0.75)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026−6.0%+14.2%−0.050.84−37.8%0.46−6.7% (−0.17)
DateCompanyAction
16 Aug 2021EFXBought
24 Apr 2019WMBought
24 Apr 2019TSCOBought
24 Apr 2019SYYBought
24 Apr 2019ROPBought
24 Apr 2019NTAPBought
24 Apr 2019MSFTBought
24 Apr 2019INTUBought
24 Apr 2019FDXBought
24 Apr 2019ELVBought
24 Apr 2019ECLBought
24 Apr 2019DRIBought
24 Apr 2019COSTBought
24 Apr 2019CCLBought
24 Apr 2019CACIBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
26 Jul 2019SYYSold
26 Jul 2019NTAPSold
26 Jul 2019FDXSold
26 Jul 2019ELVSold
26 Jul 2019CCLSold
17 Jun 2019WMSold
17 Jun 2019TSCOSold
17 Jun 2019ROPSold
17 Jun 2019MSFTSold
17 Jun 2019INTUSold
17 Jun 2019ECLSold
17 Jun 2019DRISold
17 Jun 2019COSTSold
17 Jun 2019CACISold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest