undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Rubén Hinojosa

Backtest from 9 Feb 2015 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+10.9%
S&P 500 +13.7%
Last 12 months
−16.3%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.46
S&P 500 0.72
Biggest drop
−46.4%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201520172019202120232025 $44.9k$33.7k
Rubén HinojosaS&P 500 $10,000 in Rubén Hinojosa from 9 Feb 2015 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Rubén Hinojosa (Independent, TX) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Rubén Hinojosa's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+10.9%+13.7%
Total return+237%+349%
Last 12 months−16.3%+12.1%
Last 3 months−6.0%—
Last month−2.8%—
This year so far−8.7%—
Volatility a year24.3%16.5%
Sharpe ratio0.460.72
Biggest drop−46.4%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.031.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−1.2% (−0.24)—
Share of weeks up53%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 81 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
NFLX41.2%1 Sept 2015+493.3%
JPM17.8%30 Jan 2017+411.9%
V10.8%4 Mar 2016+520.4%
CVX10.7%30 Jan 2017+208.7%
SIMO8.5%26 Sept 2016+389.9%
TSN5.7%12 Jul 2016+8.4%
MMM2.9%30 Jan 2017+67.8%
BA2.0%30 Jan 2017+14.2%
HELE0.5%12 Jul 2016−70.5%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest9 Feb 2015 to 2 Nov 2026+10.9%+13.7%0.460.72−46.4%1.03−1.2% (−0.24)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+10.7%+13.9%0.420.66−46.4%1.00−1.5% (−0.28)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+19.2%+21.8%0.701.16−23.3%0.92+0.5% (0.05)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026−15.6%+14.2%−0.910.84−15.4%0.60−24.5% (−1.27)
DateCompanyAction
30 Jan 2017MMMBought
30 Jan 2017JPMBought
30 Jan 2017CVXBought
30 Jan 2017BABought
26 Sept 2016SIMOBought
26 Sept 2016DLXBought
12 Jul 2016TSNBought
12 Jul 2016PEPBought
12 Jul 2016HELEBought
16 Jun 2016YRDBought
4 Mar 2016VBought
4 Mar 2016TSEMBought
4 Mar 2016SBUXBought
4 Mar 2016LLYBought
4 Mar 2016GOOGLBought
4 Mar 2016GEBought
4 Mar 2016DISBought
1 Sept 2015NFLXBought
1 Sept 2015GOOGLBought
25 Jun 2015SYKBought
9 Feb 2015REXBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
30 Jan 2017SBUXSold
30 Jan 2017PEPSold
30 Jan 2017LLYSold
30 Jan 2017GOOGLSold
30 Jan 2017GESold
30 Jan 2017DLXSold
30 Jan 2017DISSold
26 Sept 2016YRDSold
16 Jun 2016TSEMSold
1 Dec 2015GOOGLSold
1 Sept 2015SYKSold
1 Sept 2015REXSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest