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Fundamental signals

Multi-signal, market-neutral

Backtest from 31 Mar 2010 to 30 Sept 2026 · quarterly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+1.1%
S&P 500 +14.0%
Last 12 months
−0.9%
S&P 500 +15.7%
Sharpe ratio
−0.04
S&P 500 0.86
Biggest drop
−19.4%
S&P 500 −23.9%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k$80.0k 201020122014201620182020202220242026 $87.2k$12.1k
Multi-signal, market-neutralS&P 500 $10,000 in Multi-signal, market-neutral from 31 Mar 2010 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked quarterly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Ranks companies on the fundamental signals that worked in 2010-2017 and holds $1 of the best for every $1 it bets against the worst, hedged against the market, sectors, size, momentum and beta. It does not share the market's rise, so compare its Sharpe ratio rather than its return with the S&P 500. Holdings are not published: the long and short books hold hundreds of names each.

How it was tested →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+1.1%+14.0%
Total return+21%+772%
Last 12 months−0.9%+15.7%
Last 3 months+2.1%—
Last month+2.1%—
This year so far−2.4%—
Volatility a year5.9%15.1%
Sharpe ratio−0.040.86
Biggest drop−19.4%−23.9%
Beta to the S&P 500−0.101.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+1.1% (0.67)—
Share of quarters up58%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck.

Insights

Not published: the long and short books each hold hundreds of companies, rebuilt every quarter.

PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest31 Mar 2010 to 30 Sept 2026+1.1%+14.0%−0.040.86−19.4%−0.10+1.1% (0.67)
2018 onwards31 Mar 2018 to 30 Sept 2026+0.0%+15.1%−0.330.75−19.4%−0.12−0.9% (−0.34)
Last three years31 Dec 2023 to 30 Sept 2026−5.2%+20.2%−1.271.25−19.4%−0.03−9.0% (−1.60)

None recorded.

Dated at the rebalance that made the change.

None recorded.

Dated at the rebalance that made the change.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest