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Taplin Theodore D: insider trades

Other at 3 companies we cover. No open-market purchases and 17 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from March 13, 2012 to November 13, 2020.

What happened after Taplin Theodore D’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −16.1% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 82% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 17 −9.0% −12.3% 82% 7 −1.05 0.34 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 17 −16.1% −26.4% 82% 7 −0.18 0.86 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the trade 17 −14.2% −23.8% 77% 7 −0.09 0.93 No reliable evidence

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Hyster-yale, Inc. HY —011May 22, 2014November 6, 2019
Nacco Industries Inc NC —05March 13, 2012November 13, 2020
Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co HBB —01November 13, 2020November 13, 2020

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
November 13, 2020November 11, 2020 NC Sale $33,945 +1.5%+9.7%+21.6%
November 13, 2020November 11, 2020 HBB Sale $28,305 −14.7%−41.3%−40.2%
November 6, 2019November 5, 2019 HY Sale $57,812 −11.6%−27.9%−25.1%
August 6, 2019August 2, 2019 HY Sale $55,310 −8.5%−46.2%−44.6%
March 15, 2019March 13, 2019 HY Sale $159,157 −23.6%−29.3%−36.5%
June 8, 2018June 8, 2018 HY Sale $70,527 −12.3%−34.4%−32.7%
May 15, 2018May 14, 2018 HY Sale $68,200 −18.9%−36.8%−32.3%
May 11, 2018May 10, 2018 HY Sale $67,452 −17.7%−32.3%−29.6%
March 9, 2018March 8, 2018 HY Sale $59,481 −2.8%−11.0%−8.9%
June 13, 2016June 10, 2016 NC Sale $249,705 +14.0%+18.4%+23.1%
May 12, 2015May 11, 2015 NC Sale $402,630 −5.8%−6.1%−2.9%
May 23, 2014May 21, 2014 NC Sale $264,770 −3.3%−0.5%+0.9%
May 22, 2014May 21, 2014 HY Sale $258,344 −14.1%−26.4%−23.8%
May 22, 2014May 21, 2014 HY Sale $232,182 −14.1%−26.4%−23.8%
May 22, 2014May 21, 2014 HY Sale $217,853 −14.1%−26.4%−23.8%
May 22, 2014May 21, 2014 HY Sale $119,375 −14.1%−26.4%−23.8%
March 13, 2012March 13, 2012 NC Sale $312,952 +7.5%+70.2%+61.4%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Taplin Theodore D traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.