undamentalytics Newsletter

Rendich Andrew S: insider trades

Officer at Peloton Interactive, Inc. No open-market purchases and 10 sales not made under a pre-set plan, reported from November 17, 2022 to February 19, 2025.

What happened after Rendich Andrew S’s sales?

After their sales, the shares moved −57.8% against the index over 12 months on average (a negative figure means selling was the right call); 86% trailed it.

With 296 insiders tested, some will look skilled or unskilled by chance alone: when we replaced each insider’s stocks with random companies bought on the same days, about 5.7 cleared the bar ahead and 23.3 behind. One record on its own proves little.

Trade by trade

Rendich Andrew S: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayYearst-statisticp-valueEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 6 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the report 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Purchases, 12 months after the trade 0 — — — — — — Not enough years
Sales, 3 months after the report 7 −16.6% −24.4% 71% 4 −0.47 0.67 No reliable evidence
Sales, 12 months after the report 7 −57.8% −67.5% 86% 4 −7.84 0.004 Some evidence: seller right
Sales, 12 months after the trade 7 −57.4% −67.3% 86% 4 −6.00 0.009 Some evidence: seller right

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates, from the close on the first trading day after the report, or from the close on the trade date. Only windows that have finished are counted. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic uses one average per year of reports, because one person’s trades bunch into the same stock and weeks, and needs trades in at least four different years; the p-value comes from the t distribution with that number of years (with four years, a t of 2 has p = 0.14). “Some evidence” means p under 5%, “strong evidence” p under 1% over at least six years.

Companies traded

CompanyTitle on the latest filingPurchasesSalesFirst reportLatest report
Peloton Interactive, Inc. PTON Chief Supply Chain Officer010November 17, 2022February 19, 2025

Trades and what followed

Moves are against the S&P 500; green means the trade went the insider’s way.

ReportedTradedCompanyTradeValue3 months after report12 months after report12 months after trade
February 19, 2025February 18, 2025 PTON Sale $1,162,764 −24.4%−67.5%−67.4%
November 19, 2024November 18, 2024 PTON Sale $1,039,316 +0.1%−35.7%−28.0%
August 19, 2024August 16, 2024 PTON Sale $260,533 not yetnot yetnot yet
May 17, 2024May 16, 2024 PTON Sale $245,809 not yetnot yetnot yet
February 20, 2024February 16, 2024 PTON Sale $164,514 not yetnot yetnot yet
November 17, 2023November 16, 2023 PTON Sale $273,967 −35.1%+19.2%+9.0%
August 17, 2023August 16, 2023 PTON Sale $193,542 −27.0%−84.1%−83.3%
May 17, 2023May 16, 2023 PTON Sale $208,391 −9.1%−75.1%−75.0%
February 17, 2023February 16, 2023 PTON Sale $158,172 −50.0%−96.9%−91.9%
November 17, 2022November 16, 2022 PTON Sale $131,757 +29.2%−64.8%−65.3%

Open-market purchases and sales of at least $10,000 in companies we cover, from SEC Form 4 filings; sales made under a pre-set Rule 10b5-1 plan are not shown. “Not yet” means the window has not finished or the share price was under $5 at entry. These are the shares’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Rendich Andrew S traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every insider compares · the insider trading backtest.