undamentalytics Newsletter

Daniel Meuser: stock trades

Republican, Representative for PA's 9th district. Value ranges as filed, never exact figures.

Activity

Stock and option trades by trade date, last 24 months, any company.

Daniel Meuser: purchases and sales per month
0 5 10 Dec 2024: 0 purchases Dec 2024: 0 sales Dec Jan 2025: 0 purchases Jan 2025: 0 sales Feb 2025: 0 purchases Feb 2025: 9 sales Mar 2025: 0 purchases Mar 2025: 0 sales Mar Apr 2025: 0 purchases Apr 2025: 0 sales May 2025: 0 purchases May 2025: 0 sales Jun 2025: 0 purchases Jun 2025: 0 sales Jun Jul 2025: 0 purchases Jul 2025: 0 sales Aug 2025: 0 purchases Aug 2025: 0 sales Sep 2025: 0 purchases Sep 2025: 0 sales Sep Oct 2025: 0 purchases Oct 2025: 0 sales Nov 2025: 0 purchases Nov 2025: 0 sales Dec 2025: 0 purchases Dec 2025: 0 sales Dec Jan 2026: 0 purchases Jan 2026: 2 sales Feb 2026: 0 purchases Feb 2026: 1 sales Mar 2026: 0 purchases Mar 2026: 1 sales Mar Apr 2026: 0 purchases Apr 2026: 1 sales May 2026: 0 purchases May 2026: 1 sales Jun 2026: 1 purchases Jun 2026: 0 sales Jun Jul 2026: 0 purchases Jul 2026: 0 sales Aug 2026: 0 purchases Aug 2026: 1 sales Sep 2026: 0 purchases Sep 2026: 0 sales Sep Oct 2026: 0 purchases Oct 2026: 0 sales Nov 2026: 0 purchases Nov 2026: 0 sales
Show as a table
MonthPurchasesSales
Dec 202400
Jan 202500
Feb 202509
Mar 202500
Apr 202500
May 202500
Jun 202500
Jul 202500
Aug 202500
Sep 202500
Oct 202500
Nov 202500
Dec 202500
Jan 202602
Feb 202601
Mar 202601
Apr 202601
May 202601
Jun 202610
Jul 202600
Aug 202601
Sep 202600
Oct 202600
Nov 202600
Trades, 24 months
17
Purchases
1
Sales
16
In 2026
8

Top sectors

Trades in companies we cover, by the company’s sector. Green is purchases, red is sales.

  • Technology47% of trades 33 trades: 7 purchases, 26 sales
  • Communication Services19% of trades 13 trades: 12 purchases, 1 sales
  • Financials16% of trades 11 trades: 7 purchases, 4 sales
  • Consumer Staples6% of trades 4 trades: 0 purchases, 4 sales
  • Industrials4% of trades 3 trades: 1 purchases, 2 sales
  • Health Care3% of trades 2 trades: 0 purchases, 2 sales

Would copying Daniel Meuser’s trades have beaten the S&P 500?

Copying Daniel Meuser’s disclosed holdings (starting from the holdings in each annual disclosure report once it was published, then adding purchases and taking off sales as each trade report became public, sized by the amounts reported, with call options counted as the stock until they expired) would have turned $10,000 on August 14, 2019 into $98,409 by November 2, 2026, against $29,585 in the S&P 500: +37.4% a year against +16.3%, with a beta of 1.32. Selling each purchase after 6 months instead would have made +3.2% a year. Six months after each report, the average share purchase was −3.5% against the S&P 500 (median −1.7%), and 27% beat it, too few months of reports to tell skill from luck. Measured from the trade date instead, the member’s own timing, the average was −3.2%. Reports arrived a median of 434 days after the trade.

$0$50.0k$100k 20192020202120222023202420252026 $98.4k$29.6k
Copying Daniel MeuserS&P 500, buy and hold $10,000 copying Daniel Meuser’s disclosed holdings from August 14, 2019, before costs and taxes, marked weekly. Each annual report resets the copy to the holdings it lists; each trade report then adds or reduces positions, sized by the middle of the amount band filed (a partial sale takes off its band but never more than half the position). Holdings before the first report in our records are unknown. Money not in a stock earns the Treasury bill rate.
Daniel Meuser: trades against the S&P 500 afterwards
MeasuredTrades countedAverage vs S&P 500MedianWent the right wayt-statisticEvidence
Purchases, 3 months after the report 26 −3.0% +3.1% 54% -1.33 Not enough data
Purchases, 6 months after the report 26 −3.5% −1.7% 27% -2.72 Not enough data
Purchases, 3 months after the trade 26 +0.6% +1.8% 54% 0.39 Not enough data
Purchases, 6 months after the trade 26 −3.2% −3.2% 27% -2.50 Not enough data
Sales, 6 months after the report 39 +7.8% +2.6% 46% 1.74 No reliable evidence
Return a year, copying
+37.4%
S&P 500, same dates
+16.3%
Yearly swing (S&P 500)
31% (20%)
Sharpe ratio (S&P 500)
1.09 (0.72)
Biggest drop (S&P 500)
−44% (−34%)
Market sensitivity (beta)
1.32

“Average vs S&P 500” is the stock’s return including dividends minus the index’s over the same dates. For sales, a negative figure means the stock lagged after it was sold, so selling was the right call (green). “Went the right way” is the share of purchases that beat the index, or of sales that trailed it. The t-statistic treats each trade as a separate bet; the Evidence label is stricter and uses one average per month of reports, because trades bunch together. Trades in companies we cover only. The averages count share trades; the copy portfolio also counts call options as the stock and sizes positions by the middle of each band filed. No trading costs or taxes. These are the stocks’ moves after each trade: they say nothing about why Daniel Meuser traded and do not suggest the use of non-public information. How every member compares.

Stocks traded

Every company we cover that appears in the reports. “Since first purchase” is the stock’s move from the close on the member’s first disclosed purchase to the latest close, against the S&P 500; it is not the member’s return.

Daniel Meuser: companies traded
NVDANVIDIA Corporation 0 21$1.8M–$3.9M Jan 21, 2022 Aug 31, 2026 —
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation 7$35,007–$175,000 2$2,002–$30,000 Mar 26, 2020 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) 7$7,007–$105,000 1$50,001–$100,000 Mar 26, 2020 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P
VVisa Inc. 7$35,007–$175,000 1$15,001–$50,000 Mar 26, 2020 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P
DISThe Walt Disney Company 5$33,005–$145,000 0 Mar 26, 2020 Mar 30, 2020 ▲ 10.7%−204.1 pts vs S&P
KHCKraft Heinz 0 2$2,002–$30,000 Jun 6, 2019 Apr 2, 2020 —
QCOMQualcomm 0 2$16,002–$65,000 Jun 6, 2019 Feb 11, 2025 —
AAPLApple Inc. 0 1$15,001–$50,000 Feb 11, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 —
ABBVAbbVie 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 11, 2019 Dec 11, 2019 —
ADPAutomatic Data Processing 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 6, 2019 Jun 6, 2019 —
AMGNAmgen 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Feb 11, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 —
APTVAptiv 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Feb 11, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 —
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 6, 2019 Jun 6, 2019 —
CBChubb Limited 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Mar 31, 2020 Mar 31, 2020 —
GPCGenuine Parts Company 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 6, 2019 Jun 6, 2019 —
JPMJPMorgan Chase 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Dec 11, 2019 Dec 11, 2019 —
MDLZMondelez International 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Feb 11, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 —
NSCNorfolk Southern 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Mar 31, 2020 Mar 31, 2020 —
NUENucor 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Mar 31, 2020 Mar 31, 2020 —
PGProcter & Gamble 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Jun 6, 2019 Jun 6, 2019 —
SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp 1$15,001–$50,000 0 Jun 15, 2026 Jun 15, 2026 ▼ 29.2%−29.3 pts vs S&P
XOMExxonMobil 0 1$1,001–$15,000 Mar 31, 2020 Mar 31, 2020 —

Trades in companies we cover

“Stock since trade” is the share price move from the close on the trade date to the latest close, with the gap to the S&P 500 beneath. It describes the stock, not what the member made. Click a column heading to sort.

Daniel Meuser: trades in companies we cover
Report
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Oct 14, 2026 Aug 31, 2026 ▼ 8.4%−6.7 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Aug 31, 2026
SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Jul 2, 2026 Jun 15, 2026 ▼ 29.2%−29.3 pts vs S&P Filing for SPCX on Jun 15, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Jul 2, 2026 May 27, 2026 ▼ 4.7%−5.5 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on May 27, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse May 21, 2026 Apr 24, 2026 ▼ 2.8%−8.6 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Apr 24, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Apr 21, 2026 Mar 25, 2026 ▲ 13.3%−1.8 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Mar 25, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Apr 3, 2026 Feb 25, 2026 ▲ 3.6%−5.8 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Feb 25, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Feb 17, 2026 Jan 30, 2026 ▲ 6.0%−3.6 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Jan 30, 2026
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Feb 17, 2026 Jan 14, 2026 ▲ 10.6%+0.8 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Jan 14, 2026
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Sale (full)$50,001 - $100,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 51.4%+24.7 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Feb 11, 2025
AMGNAmgen Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 65.3%+38.6 pts vs S&P Filing for AMGN on Feb 11, 2025
AAPLApple Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 46.3%+19.6 pts vs S&P Filing for AAPL on Feb 11, 2025
APTVAptiv Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▼ 31.6%−58.3 pts vs S&P Filing for APTV on Feb 11, 2025
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 24.9%−1.7 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Feb 11, 2025
MDLZMondelez International Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 16.2%−10.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MDLZ on Feb 11, 2025
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$250,001 - $500,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 52.5%+25.9 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Feb 11, 2025
QCOMQualcomm Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▼ 2.1%−28.8 pts vs S&P Filing for QCOM on Feb 11, 2025
VVisa Inc. Sale (full)$15,001 - $50,000 · Spouse Aug 20, 2025 Feb 11, 2025 ▲ 22.7%−4.0 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Feb 11, 2025
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$500,001 - $1,000,000 · Spouse Aug 13, 2025 Oct 1, 2024 ▲ 73.2%+37.8 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Oct 1, 2024
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$250,001 - $500,000 · Spouse Aug 13, 2025 Aug 7, 2024 ▲ 104.8%+56.0 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Aug 7, 2024
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$250,001 - $500,000 · Spouse Mar 21, 2024 Feb 20, 2024 ▲ 191.8%+135.4 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Feb 20, 2024
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Mar 21, 2024 Feb 20, 2024 ▲ 191.8%+135.4 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Feb 20, 2024
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Mar 21, 2024 Feb 20, 2024 ▲ 191.8%+135.4 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Feb 20, 2024
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$100,001 - $250,000 · Spouse Sep 14, 2023 Aug 14, 2023 ▲ 363.2%+288.6 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Aug 14, 2023
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Sep 14, 2023 Aug 14, 2023 ▲ 363.2%+288.6 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Aug 14, 2023
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Sep 14, 2023 Aug 14, 2023 ▲ 363.2%+288.6 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Aug 14, 2023
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$250,001 - $500,000 · Spouse Jun 26, 2023 May 31, 2023 ▲ 435.8%+347.8 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on May 31, 2023
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Jun 3, 2023 May 5, 2023 ▲ 606.8%+516.4 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on May 5, 2023
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$100,001 - $250,000 · Spouse Feb 16, 2022 Jan 21, 2022 ▲ 768.2%+685.2 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Jan 21, 2022
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Feb 16, 2022 Jan 21, 2022 ▲ 768.2%+685.2 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Jan 21, 2022
NVDANVIDIA Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Feb 16, 2022 Jan 21, 2022 ▲ 768.2%+685.2 pts vs S&P Filing for NVDA on Jan 21, 2022
KHCKraft Heinz Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Apr 2, 2020 ▲ 39.2%−187.3 pts vs S&P Filing for KHC on Apr 2, 2020
CBChubb Limited Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 31, 2020 ▲ 264.1%+45.1 pts vs S&P Filing for CB on Mar 31, 2020
XOMExxonMobil Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 31, 2020 ▲ 528.7%+309.7 pts vs S&P Filing for XOM on Mar 31, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 31, 2020 ▲ 239.9%+20.8 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 31, 2020
NSCNorfolk Southern Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 31, 2020 ▲ 170.0%−49.0 pts vs S&P Filing for NSC on Mar 31, 2020
NUENucor Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 31, 2020 ▲ 762.7%+543.7 pts vs S&P Filing for NUE on Mar 31, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 30, 2020 ▲ 391.4%+177.1 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 30, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 30, 2020 ▲ 234.5%+20.3 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 30, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 30, 2020 ▲ 169.3%−44.9 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 30, 2020
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 30, 2020 ▲ 16.9%−197.4 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Mar 30, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A) Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 384.4%+169.6 pts vs S&P Filing for GOOGL on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
MSFTMicrosoft Corporation Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 243.4%+28.5 pts vs S&P Filing for MSFT on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Spouse Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
VVisa Inc. Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 164.1%−50.8 pts vs S&P Filing for V on Mar 26, 2020
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 10.7%−204.1 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Mar 26, 2020
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 10.7%−204.1 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Mar 26, 2020
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$15,001 - $50,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 10.7%−204.1 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Mar 26, 2020
DISThe Walt Disney Company Purchase$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 11, 2021 Mar 26, 2020 ▲ 10.7%−204.1 pts vs S&P Filing for DIS on Mar 26, 2020
ABBVAbbVie Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Dec 11, 2019 ▲ 340.1%+175.7 pts vs S&P Filing for ABBV on Dec 11, 2019
JPMJPMorgan Chase Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Dec 11, 2019 ▲ 205.3%+40.9 pts vs S&P Filing for JPM on Dec 11, 2019
ADPAutomatic Data Processing Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 114.5%−80.1 pts vs S&P Filing for ADP on Jun 6, 2019
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 171.6%−23.1 pts vs S&P Filing for BRK.B on Jun 6, 2019
GPCGenuine Parts Company Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 53.4%−141.2 pts vs S&P Filing for GPC on Jun 6, 2019
PGProcter & Gamble Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 84.4%−110.3 pts vs S&P Filing for PG on Jun 6, 2019
QCOMQualcomm Sale (partial)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 182.6%−12.1 pts vs S&P Filing for QCOM on Jun 6, 2019
KHCKraft Heinz Sale (full)$1,001 - $15,000 · Dependent child Aug 13, 2020 Jun 6, 2019 ▲ 25.3%−169.3 pts vs S&P Filing for KHC on Jun 6, 2019

What happened to the stocks afterwards

Average of the stock’s return minus the S&P 500’s, across this member’s disclosed trade whose window is complete. Nothing here is a member’s profit.

AfterWindowAverage excessTypical (median)Beat the S&P 500TradesFrom the filing date
Purchases 30 days −3.8% +0.4% 52% 27 −0.3% (27)
Purchases 90 days +0.7% +3.7% 52% 27 −1.6% (27)
Sales 30 days +4.2% +2.0% 65% 43 −0.5% (42)
Sales 90 days +4.6% +0.8% 62% 42 +4.3% (42)

Excess return is the stock’s move minus the S&P 500’s over the same dates, measured from the close on the trade date, on closing prices adjusted for splits and dividends. Value ranges are wide, filings arrive up to 45 days late, trades by one member in one stock are not independent, and a stock’s move says nothing about what a member earned. A small average over a few trades is noise, not evidence. This is not investment advice. For sales, a positive figure means the stock went on to beat the market after the sale.

Filings

Holdings and net worth are not shown: members also file annual financial disclosure reports listing what they own, and those are not included here yet. We show only the trades they report.

Source: periodic transaction reports filed with the Clerk of the House of Representatives under the STOCK Act (Senate reports are not included yet). Members report trades by themselves, their spouses and dependent children. Amounts are the value ranges as filed, not exact figures, and a report can be filed up to 45 days after the trade, so the latest trades may not appear yet. Scanned paper reports are linked but not transcribed. By law (5 U.S.C. §13107) these reports may not be used for any commercial purpose other than by news and communications media for dissemination to the general public; we publish them free, as news.

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