undamentalytics Newsletter

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. (AERO) stock

Add holding +

NYSE: AERO NYSE Passenger Airlines

C+ Fundamentals grade

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. is a US-listed company in the passenger airlines industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$4.0

Price-to-earnings vs peers

Base case. Range ~$4.0–$40. Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings.

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: valued with our growth model, which doesn't carry a Buy/Hold/Sell rating yet.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Insiders1 buying, 1 selling1 purchase and 5 sales by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
  • Funds30 adding, 24 cuttingOf 19 active managers that changed their stake, 9 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue fell 4.6% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of 10.8%. Where it stands out: operating margin of 17.3% ranks 1 of 16 passenger airlines companies we cover. Where it lags: days sales outstanding of 48 days ranks 5 of 5 passenger airlines companies we cover.

Current signal Revenue growth decelerating: TTM revenue growth slowed to -4.6% (-18.9pp vs the prior quarter).

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

Nothing in Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.

Things to watch

  • Revenue shrinking. Revenue fell 4.6% over the last 12 months.
  • Growth slowing. The growth rate is 18.9 points lower than a quarter earlier.
  • Below peers: days sales outstanding. Days sales outstanding of 48 days ranks 5 of 5 passenger airlines companies we cover (median 14 days).
  • Below peers: long-term debt as % of assets. Long-term debt as % of assets of 50.1% ranks 12 of 14 passenger airlines companies we cover (median 26.9%).
  • Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 2 of the last four quarters.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.28 against an average estimate of $0.27: beat by 3.8%
Next report
October 19, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.70

Grupo Aeromexico's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+1.6%
  • 1 week+8.3%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

Revenue (TTM)
$5.4B
Operating margin
17.3%
Net margin
6.6%

Growth

Revenue growth
−4.6%
Change in growth rate
−18.9 pts

Cash

Free cash flow (TTM)
$579M
FCF margin
10.8%
Stock pay % of revenue
0.0%

News & updates

Updated November 2, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

No recent updates are available for AERO from the sources we follow. See filings →

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: valued with our growth model, which doesn't carry a Buy/Hold/Sell rating yet.

Valuation models

We value Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 10.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.22 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$630 ~$390–$840 Left out: out of range vs price (41.22x)
Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. ~$4.0 ~$21–$40 Included
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: book value or earnings not available
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: return on equity is not positive
Forward price-to-sales vs peers Next year's consensus sales per share times peers' typical forward price-to-sales; only when earnings are negative. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. — Does not apply: earnings are positive: price-to-earnings is the better measure
Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. — Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (growth cash-flow model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$4.0 ~$4.0–$40 1 model

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. with Passenger Airlines in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Analysts' consensus

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.: consensus estimates
Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current — — $110.9bn +20%
Next — — $116.9bn +5%

Earnings against estimates

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Sept 2026 $0.27 $0.28 +3.8%
Jun 2026 −$0.21 −$0.40 −93.0%
Mar 2026 $0.17 $0.07 −59.6%
Dec 2025 $0.49 $1.48 +202.1%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

9 analysts, Nov 2026
Buy889%
Hold111%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Nov 20264419
  2. Oct 20264419
  3. Sep 20264419

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
1.6%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
3.38
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+101%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
65%
of shares
Held by insiders
0.1%
of shares
Employees
16,727
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Recent prices are available. Older price history and the statistics that need it are being loaded in the background.

Price behaviour

52-week range
Not enough history
From 52-week high
—
vs 50-day average
—
vs 200-day average
—
Volatility (1 year)
—
Beta vs S&P 500
—

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. in five measures

Fundamentals grade C+
Growth Profitability Cash Balance sheet

Growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet are percentiles against the companies we cover in the same industry, from SEC filings (100 = best). Value compares the share price with our modelled value range (50 = at our base value; higher = cheaper). A description of reported data and our model — not a quality score or advice.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 20-F. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Where the money goes

FY2025, from the 10-K

Each dollar Grupo Aeromexico took in during FY2025, followed through to profit: what it cost to make, what went on running the business, and what was left after tax.

  1. Revenue $5.4B
  2. Other operating costs $4.4B · 82.7%
  3. Operating income $928M · 17.3%
  4. Income tax $62.1M · 1.2%
  5. Interest and other $514M · 9.6%
  6. Net income $352M · 6.6%
Where Grupo Aeromexico's revenue went, FY2025
Revenue $5.4B
Other operating costs $4.4B 82.7% of revenue
Operating income $928M 17.3% of revenue
Income tax $62.1M 1.2% of revenue
Interest and other $514M 9.6% of revenue
Net income $352M 6.6% of revenue

Shares of revenue. Source: Grupo Aeromexico's 10-K for FY2025, as filed with the SEC. "Other" lines are what the reported lines leave unexplained.

Financial statements

US$ millions unless shown otherwise. Fiscal years, plus the last twelve months (LTM) when newer.

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.: annual financial statements
Fiscal year 2023 Dec 2023 2024 Dec 2024 2025 Dec 2025
Income
Revenue 4,916 5,620 5,361
EBITDA 1,296 1,722 1,658
Operating income 716 1,067 928
Net income 273 617 352
Growth (year on year)
Revenue — +14.3% −4.6%
EBITDA — +32.9% −3.7%
Operating income — +49.0% −13.0%
Net income — +125.9% −43.0%
Margins
EBITDA margin 26.4% 30.6% 30.9%
Operating margin 14.6% 19.0% 17.3%
Net margin 5.6% 11.0% 6.6%
Free-cash-flow margin 20.6% 16.8% 10.8%
Cash flow
Cash from operations 1,345 1,368 913
Capital spending 333 423 334
Free cash flow 1,012 945 579
Stock-based pay — 18 1
Free cash flow after stock pay — 927 578
Balance sheet
Cash 938 842 1,024
Total debt 5,945 6,954 7,660
Net debt (negative = net cash) 5,008 6,112 6,635
Returned to shareholders
Buybacks 275 819 205
Total returned 275 819 205

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (US and foreign periodic filings); column headings link to the filing. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Growth is left blank when last year's figure was a loss or under 2% of revenue. Share counts and EPS are restated for stock splits. A dash means the company didn't report the figure.

Financial health

0 of 5 checks passed · December 31, 2025
What it owns · $7.2bn
Short-term assets $2.0bnLonger-term assets $5.2bn
What it owes, and who funded it · $7.8bn
Short-term liabilities $3.1bnLonger-term liabilities $4.7bnShareholders' equity $-594m
  • Short-term assets cover short-term liabilities $2.0bn of assets due within a year against $3.1bn of liabilities due within a year.
  • Short-term assets cover long-term liabilities $2.0bn short-term assets against $4.7bn of longer-dated liabilities.
  • More cash than debt $1.0bn of cash against $7.7bn of debt.
  • Debt below 40% of shareholders' equity Equity or debt not reported. Not assessable.
  • Debt burden no higher than five years ago Five-year comparison not available. Not assessable.
  • A year's operating cash flow covers at least 20% of debt $913m of operating cash flow against $7.7bn of debt.
  • Operating profit covers interest at least five times over Operating income of $928m against $229m of interest.

From Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s latest balance sheet as filed. Checks are fixed, documented rules (methodology), counted only where the company reports the figures — a dot means the filing doesn't break the item out. Descriptions of reported data, not advice.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

FY2025 Q4 TTM
Buybacks (TTM)
$205M
Returned to shareholders
35%
of free cash flow
Buybacks, last 3 fiscal years
$1.3B
Days sales outstanding
48 days
receivables vs revenue

Competitors: side by side with peers

Closest by revenue in passenger airlines
Growth, margins and cash generation against peers
Last 12 months unless stated AERO ULCC SKYW ALGT JBLU ALK Median
Revenue, last 12 months $5.4bn $4.6bn $4.3bn $2.9bn $10.0bn $14.8bn $5.0bn
Revenue growth, last 12 months −4.6% 24.0% 7.0% 12.2% 9.9% 9.8% 11.1%
Revenue growth, 3-year average — 8.7% 14.1% 4.9% 1.0% 12.6% 7.6%
Revenue growth, latest quarter — 52.9% 6.4% 36.9% 21.1% 9.7% 20.2%
Operating margin 17.3% −9.5% 13.9% 4.9% −6.1% −1.5% 0.0%
Operating margin, 3-year average — −4.4% 13.7% −1.6% −5.7% 2.0% −1.6%
Net margin 6.6% −8.9% 9.7% 0.9% −10.0% −1.2% 0.1%
Cash from operations / revenue 17.0% 1.3% 18.8% 14.5% −2.2% 6.9% 7.0%
Free-cash-flow margin 10.8% 0.0% 17.9% 3.6% −11.4% 5.0% −0.1%
Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average — −6.4% 17.6% −0.8% −13.5% 4.8% −3.2%
Stock pay / revenue 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Change in share count — 0.5% −3.4% 7.5% 4.7% −8.4% −1.3%

Median of all 16 companies we cover in passenger airlines. Shaded: best of the six on that line (lowest for stock pay and share-count growth). 3-year figures average the last three 12-month periods; 3-year growth is compound annual. Source: SEC filings.

Peer comparison

16 passenger airlines companies
Measures ranked against peers
Measure Company Peer median Rank
Revenue growth Growth -4.6% 12.2% 13 of 16
Change in growth rate Growth -18.9pp +4.8pp 15 of 16
Operating margin Profitability 17.3% 1.6% 1 of 16
Net margin Profitability 6.6% 0.9% 4 of 16
Free-cash-flow margin Cash generation 10.8% 0.0% 3 of 16
Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation 0.0% 0.4% 1 of 13
Long-term debt as % of assets Balance sheet 50.1% 26.9% 12 of 14
Days sales outstanding Balance sheet 48 days 14 days 5 of 5

Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).

Reported value
$1.7B
Institutions reporting
73
Shares held vs prior quarter
▼ 0.4%
Positions opened / closed
16 / 7

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 30 institutions bought and 24 sold ; the biggest buyer was PAR Capital Management Inc (+1.2M shares) and the biggest seller Citadel Advisors LLC (−1.4M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. $495M 27.5M 29.0% 0.0%
Silver Point Capital L.P. $252M 14.0M 14.8% ▲ 1.2%
Strategic Value Partners, LLC $171M 9.5M 10.0% 0.0%
Nut Tree Capital Management, LP $117M 6.5M 6.8% ▲ 1.6%
Vr Advisory Services Ltd $96.4M 5.4M 5.6% ▲ 3.2%
Baupost Group LLC $87.8M 4.9M 5.1% 0.0%
Oaktree Capital Management LP $71.4M 4.0M 4.2% 0.0%
Dsc Meridian Capital LP $51.3M 2.9M 3.0% 0.0%
Corre Partners Management, LLC $39M 2.2M 2.3% 0.0%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co LLC $36.3M 2.0M 2.1% ▼ 17.3%
Citigroup Inc $32.8M 1.8M 1.9% 0.0%
Bank Of America Corp $25.9M 1.4M 1.5% 0.0%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Recent insider open-market transactions
Insider Date Trade Shares Price Value
Murray Aaron James Chief Commercial Officer August 12, 2026 Sell 355,600 $1.58 $561,848
Murray Aaron James Chief Commercial Officer May 21, 2026 Sell 100,000 $1.59 $159,000
Murray Aaron James Chief Commercial Officer May 21, 2026 Sell 250,000 $1.55 $387,500
Murray Aaron James Chief Commercial Officer May 20, 2026 Sell 400,000 $1.50 $600,000
Murray Aaron James Chief Commercial Officer May 20, 2026 Sell 200,000 $1.52 $304,000
Tricio Haro Eduardo Director March 19, 2026 Buy 500,000 $1.32 $660,000

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Recent SEC filings

  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K
  • 6-K 6-K

Data status

When each part of this page on Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. in brief

What does Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. do?
Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. is a US-listed company in the passenger airlines industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s stock ticker?
Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. trades under the ticker AERO on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
What is Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s revenue, and how fast is it growing?
Over its most recent trailing twelve months, Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. reported revenue of $5.4B, 4.6% lower than a year earlier, according to its SEC filings.
What is Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s free cash flow?
Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s free-cash-flow margin is 10.8% of revenue over the trailing twelve months, ranking 3 of the 16 passenger airlines companies we cover.
Who are Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Apollo Management Holdings, L.P., Silver Point Capital L.P. and Strategic Value Partners, LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Who are Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s competitors?
In our Passenger Airlines peer group, the companies closest to Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., Skywest Inc, Allegiant Travel Co, Jetblue Airways Corp and Alaska AIR Group, Inc. The side-by-side comparison below sets their revenue, margins and growth against Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s.
Are insiders buying or selling Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v. stock?
Over the last 12 months, Grupo Aeromexico, S.a.b. De C.v.'s directors and officers reported 1 open-market purchases and 5 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.