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Armour Residential Reit, Inc. (ARR) stock

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NYSE: ARR NYSE Mortgage REITs Next results ~January 20, 2027

Armour Residential Reit, Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$16

Valuation models combined (2)

Base case. Range ~$5.9–$25. Weighted average of 2 models (price-to-book vs peers, dividend discount (growing dividend)).

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Armour Residential Reit, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds165 adding, 53 cuttingOf 24 active managers that changed their stake, 16 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~January 20, 2027 (estimated)

Current signal Share count rising (dilution): Diluted shares outstanding rose 57.2% year over year.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Highlights

How we pick these

Strengths

Nothing in Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.

Things to watch

  • Share dilution. Diluted shares rose 57.2% in a year.
  • Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 3 of the last four quarters.
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 1% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.71 against an average estimate of $0.71: missed by 0.4%
Share reaction
+0.1% in the first session after the results on October 21, 2026, against -0.7% for the S&P 500
Next report
October 21, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.71

Armour Residential Reit's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day-0.3%
  • 1 week-2.1%
  • 1 month-7.0%
  • This year-19.0%
  • 1 year-9.1%
  • 5 years-45.3%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

EPS (TTM, diluted)
$-0.41

Growth

Share count change
+57.2%

Earnings

Last results
October 21, 2026
Next results (est.)
January 20, 2027

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Announcement
  2. Results
  3. Announcement
  4. Announcement
  5. Announcement
  6. Announcement
  7. Announcement
  8. Announcement
  9. Agreement
  10. Announcement
  11. Results
  12. Announcement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Valuation

Armour Residential Reit, Inc. valuation models and calculator

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Armour Residential Reit, Inc. as a mortgage reit, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.8%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.85 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: the model gives no positive value
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: return on equity is not positive
Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. ~$5.9 ~$5.0–$9.9 Included
Dividend discount (growing dividend) Today's dividend growing 2.5% a year, discounted at the cost of equity. ~$25 ~$22–$30 Included
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (residual income) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$16 ~$5.9–$25 2 models

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Armour Residential Reit, Inc. with mortgage REITs in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Analysts' consensus

Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $2.88 −6% $316m +100%
Next $2.86 −1% $375m +19%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved −2.4% in 90 days, across 6 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is −1.0% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 1 analyst raised Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s forecast and 5 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Armour Residential Reit, Inc., last 90 days
$2.86 $2.88 $2.90 $2.92 $2.94 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $2.91 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $2.91 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $2.91 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $2.89 Current fiscal year, Now: $2.88 $2.88 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $2.93 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $2.93 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $2.93 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $2.92 Next fiscal year, Now: $2.86 $2.86

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $2.91$2.93
60 days ago $2.91$2.93
30 days ago $2.91$2.93
7 days ago $2.89$2.92
Now $2.88$2.86

Earnings against estimates

Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Sept 2026 $0.71 $0.71 −0.4%
Jun 2026 $0.72 $0.72 −0.1%
Mar 2026 $0.74 $0.76 +2.9%
Dec 2025 $0.77 $0.71 −7.6%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Management guidance

Earnings release, October 21, 2026

No numeric guidance in Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s latest earnings release (filed October 21, 2026). Some companies give their outlook only on the earnings call.

Analyst recommendations

6 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy233%
Hold467%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 2026246
  2. Sep 2026246
  3. Aug 2026246

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Armour Residential Reit, Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
0.0%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
0
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
−100%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
54%
of shares
Held by insiders
0.2%
of shares

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
ARR+1%−32%−15%+13%+12%−19%
Industry peers (median)+26%−21%+17%+3%+6%−21%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
ARR58%42%42%75%50%27%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
ARR−20%−50%−52%−11%−26%−27%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 78% from October 19, 2017 to October 30, 2023. Getting back needed a 362% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$12.28 – $16.77
From 52-week high
−26.0%
vs 50-day average
−11.9%
vs 200-day average
−19.0%
Volatility (1 year)
24%
Beta vs S&P 500
0.67

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
7 up, 5 down
typical move ±1.9%
After a week
6 up, 6 down
typical move ±2.8%
After a month
5 up, 6 down
typical move ±4.6%
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
October 21, 2026 +0.1% −0.7% −0.1% —
July 22, 2026 −1.8% −1.3% −0.4% +0.8%
April 22, 2026 +0.3% +0.6% −1.1% −2.8%
February 18, 2026 −0.7% +0.2% +1.2% −5.5%
October 22, 2025 +1.6% +0.1% +3.3% +5.5%
July 23, 2025 +0.1% +0.9% −1.5% −10.2%
April 23, 2025 +4.1% +3.7% +12.0% +10.1%
February 12, 2025 +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% −0.1%
October 23, 2024 −0.4% −0.7% −3.5% −3.8%
July 24, 2024 −5.5% −2.8% −5.4% −5.1%
April 25, 2024 −1.1% +0.6% +0.5% +2.6%
February 14, 2024 +6.2% +1.6% +4.1% +4.6%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-Q. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

FY2026 Q3 TTM
Buybacks (TTM)
$7.2M
Dividends (TTM)
$378M
Buybacks, last 3 fiscal years
$31.2M
Diluted share count
+57.2%
year over year

Who owns it

Funds buying and selling
Reported value
$1.3B
Institutions reporting
247
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 16.2%
Positions opened / closed
38 / 12

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 165 institutions bought and 53 sold ; the biggest buyer was Blackrock, Inc (+2.7M shares) and the biggest seller Marshall Wace, LLP (−672K). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Blackrock, Inc. $349M 20.0M 26.7% ▲ 15.4%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC $124M 7.1M 9.5% ▲ 6.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $97.6M 5.6M 7.5% ▲ 7.0%
State Street Corp $82.8M 4.7M 6.3% ▲ 15.0%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $56.2M 3.2M 4.3% ▲ 18.3%
Morgan Stanley $48.1M 2.8M 3.7% ▲ 129.3%
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. $43.6M 2.5M 3.3% ▲ 58.5%
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. $38.4M 2.2M 2.9% ▲ 5.5%
Jupiter Asset Management Ltd $37.5M 2.2M 2.9% ▲ 74.6%
Invesco Ltd. $35M 2.0M 2.7% ▲ 11.5%
Ameriprise Financial Inc $28.3M 1.6M 2.2% ▲ 35.8%
Northern Trust Corp $23.6M 1.4M 1.8% ▲ 19.7%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders
Net ▲ $0 net buying

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 1 trade and filings

No trades in Armour Residential Reit, Inc. disclosed in the last 12 months; 1 earlier trade on record.

  • Donna Shalala(FL):Sale (full), $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 4, 2019, filed April 27, 2020

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Next expected around January 20, 2027 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced

  • October 21, 2026
  • July 22, 2026
  • April 22, 2026
  • February 18, 2026
  • October 22, 2025
  • July 23, 2025

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Armour Residential Reit, Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Armour Residential Reit, Inc. in brief

What does Armour Residential Reit, Inc. do?
Armour Residential Reit, Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s stock ticker?
Armour Residential Reit, Inc. trades under the ticker ARR on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC and Vanguard Capital Management LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Is Armour Residential Reit, Inc. buying back stock, and does it pay a dividend?
Armour Residential Reit, Inc. spent $7.2M on share repurchases over the trailing twelve months, and its diluted share count still rose 57.2% over the year.
Does Armour Residential Reit, Inc. pay a dividend?
Yes: Armour Residential Reit, Inc. paid $378M in dividends over the trailing twelve months.
When is Armour Residential Reit, Inc.'s next earnings date?
Around January 20, 2027, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Armour Residential Reit, Inc. announces its own schedule.