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Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. (BCSF) stock

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NYSE: BCSF NYSE Asset Management & Custody Banks Next results ~November 9, 2026

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$17

Valuation models combined (5)

Base case. Range ~$12–$25. Weighted average of 5 models (forward price-to-earnings vs peers, residual income, justified price-to-book, price-to-book vs peers, dividend discount (two-stage)), the forward price-to-earnings vs peers counting double.

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds63 adding, 60 cuttingOf 11 active managers that changed their stake, 4 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 9, 2026 (estimated)

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

Nothing in Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.

Things to watch

  • Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 3 of the last four quarters.
  • Estimates being cut. Analysts' consensus for next year's earnings per share has fallen 9.8% over 90 days.
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 18% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.44 against an average estimate of $0.42: beat by 3.9%
Share reaction
+5.5% in the first session after the results on October 27, 2026, against +0.9% for the S&P 500
Next report
November 9, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.43

Bain Capital Specialty Finance's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+1.4%
  • 1 week+8.7%
  • 1 month-1.2%
  • This year-12.8%
  • 1 year-10.0%
  • 5 years+25.0%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

EPS (TTM, diluted)
$0.99

Growth

Share count change
+0.3%

Earnings

Last results
October 27, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Results
  2. Results
  3. Agreement
  4. Results

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. as an asset manager, broker or exchange, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.5%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.78 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$12 ~$10–$16 Primary model, counts double
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. ~$18 ~$13–$24 Included
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. ~$18 ~$16–$22 Included
Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. ~$25 ~$27–$68 Included
Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. ~$19 ~$16–$23 Included
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (forward price-to-earnings vs peers) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$17 ~$12–$25 5 models

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. with asset managers in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 9, 2026, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $61m and EPS of $0.43 (range $0.39 to $0.46) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.: consensus estimates
Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $1.64 −13% $250m −9%
Next $1.34 −19% $236m −6%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved −9.8% in 90 days, across 4 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is −2.8% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 1 analyst raised Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s forecast and 2 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc., last 90 days
$1.20 $1.30 $1.40 $1.50 $1.60 $1.70 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.69 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.67 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.64 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.64 Current fiscal year, Now: $1.64 $1.64 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.48 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.48 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.29 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.29 Next fiscal year, Now: $1.34 $1.34

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $1.69$1.48
60 days ago $1.67$1.48
30 days ago $1.64$1.29
7 days ago $1.64$1.29
Now $1.64$1.34

Earnings against estimates

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 $0.42 $0.44 +3.9%
Mar 2026 $0.42 $0.42 −0.8%
Dec 2025 $0.47 $0.46 −2.1%
Sept 2025 $0.45 $0.45 0.0%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Management guidance

Earnings release, October 27, 2026

No numeric guidance in Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s latest earnings release (filed October 27, 2026). Some companies give their outlook only on the earnings call.

Analyst recommendations

4 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy00%
Hold4100%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202644
  2. Sep 202633
  3. Aug 2026123

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
2.5%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
2.43
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
−17%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
60%
of shares
Held by insiders
0.7%
of shares

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.: yearly return, monthly win rate and worst fall against the S&P 500
Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
BCSF+37%−13%+42%+30%−10%−13%
Industry peers (median)+33%−17%+19%+15%−4%−6%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
BCSF67%50%50%83%50%18%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
BCSF−7%−24%−15%−9%−26%−24%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 15, 2018: 62% from February 20, 2020 to April 6, 2020. Getting back needed a 166% gain, reached on January 19, 2022, 653 days after the low.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$10.05 – $13.19
From 52-week high
−17.2%
vs 50-day average
−0.1%
vs 200-day average
−7.2%
Volatility (1 year)
23%
Beta vs S&P 500
0.63

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
6 up, 6 down
typical move ±1.8%
After a week
2 up, 9 down
typical move ±2.2%
After a month
4 up, 7 down
typical move ±3.9%
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.: share-price change after each results release
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
October 27, 2026 +5.5% +0.9% — —
August 10, 2026 −2.1% −0.3% −8.0% −12.0%
July 23, 2026 −1.7% −1.1% −0.6% −4.1%
May 12, 2026 +0.9% +0.4% −1.4% −3.1%
April 29, 2026 +2.7% +1.0% +4.3% −0.5%
February 27, 2026 +0.9% −0.4% −0.7% −0.6%
February 12, 2026 −0.2% −1.5% −0.7% −8.7%
November 10, 2025 −1.2% +1.8% −2.4% +5.1%
October 28, 2025 −1.0% +0.3% −2.3% −0.2%
August 5, 2025 +3.2% +0.3% +3.3% +6.6%
July 22, 2025 +2.1% +0.9% −0.5% +1.1%
May 5, 2025 −0.6% −1.4% −0.4% +0.6%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-Q. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

Dividends (TTM)
$123M
Diluted share count
+0.3%
year over year
Dividend payout ratio
192%
of net income paid out
Reported value
$460M
Institutions reporting
128
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 8.7%
Positions opened / closed
16 / 17

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 63 institutions bought and 60 sold ; the biggest buyer was Ares Management LLC (+494K shares) and the biggest seller Melia Wealth LLC (−290K). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Bain Capital Credit, LP $148M 11.8M 32.1% 0.0%
Bank Of America Corp $31.8M 2.5M 6.9% ▼ 7.2%
Cresset Asset Management, LLC $30M 2.4M 6.5% ▲ 15.5%
UBS Group AG $18.3M 1.5M 4.0% ▲ 4.0%
Van Eck Associates Corp $17.3M 1.4M 3.7% ▲ 22.6%
Two Sigma Investments, LP $17.2M 1.4M 3.7% ▼ 9.3%
Morgan Stanley $15.7M 1.3M 3.4% ▲ 9.5%
Dimension Capital Management LLC $15.7M 1.3M 3.4% ▲ 2.4%
Melia Wealth LLC $10.9M 873K 2.4% ▼ 25.0%
Muzinich & Co., Inc. $10.6M 847K 2.3% ▲ 5.7%
Russell Investments Group, Ltd. $9.8M 779K 2.1% ▲ 46.3%
Franklin Resources Inc $8.1M 644K 1.8% ▲ 9.9%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

  • October 27, 2026
  • August 10, 2026
  • July 23, 2026
  • May 12, 2026
  • April 29, 2026
  • February 27, 2026

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. in brief

What does Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. do?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s stock ticker?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. trades under the ticker BCSF on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Bain Capital Credit, LP, Bank Of America Corp and Cresset Asset Management, LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Does Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. pay a dividend?
Yes: Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. paid $123M in dividends over the trailing twelve months and a payout ratio of 191.8%.
When is Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s next earnings date?
Around November 9, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. announces its own schedule.