Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD is a US-listed company in the cargo ground transportation industry. Its financial year ends in December.
Stock price today
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Model estimate per share
~$97
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers
Base case. Range ~$87–$140. Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings.
Price vs value
No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
Who’s trading
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
- Funds423 adding, 350 cuttingOf 63 active managers that changed their stake, 25 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers
- Congress4 purchases, 0 salesBy 1 member of Congress, last 12 months, as disclosedTrades by members of Congress
The Fundamentalytics view
Current signal Share count shrinking (buybacks): Diluted shares outstanding fell 3.9% year over year.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
Highlights
How we pick theseStrengths
- Shrinking share count. Diluted shares fell 3.9% in a year, so each share owns more of the business.
Things to watch
- Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 3 of the last four quarters.
Latest results
- Earnings per share
- $1.28 against an average estimate of $1.31: missed by 2.2%
- Share reaction
- -3.0% in the first session after the results on October 28, 2026, against 0.0% for the S&P 500
- Next report
- January 27, 2027; average EPS estimate $1.51
Price chart
- 1 day+2.0%
- 1 week+1.9%
- 1 month+6.5%
- This year+25.1%
- 1 year+28.0%
- 5 years+22.5%
- S&P 500 this year+11.2%
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
At a glance
Growth
- Share count change
- −3.9%
Earnings
- Last results
- October 28, 2026
- Next results (est.)
- January 27, 2027
News & updates
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
- AnnouncementSEC 8-KRead source ↗
- Results
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD reported results
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Announcement
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD disclosed a material event
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Announcement
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD disclosed a material event
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Leadership
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD announced a director or officer change; made a public disclosure
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Results
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD reported results
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Agreement
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD entered a material agreement
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Valuation models
We value Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.77 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | — | Does not apply: no revenue, margin or share count to start from |
| Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$97 ~$87–$140 | Included |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Forward price-to-sales vs peers Next year's consensus sales per share times peers' typical forward price-to-sales; only when earnings are negative. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$12 ~$14–$30 | Left out: out of range vs price (0.13x) |
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (growth cash-flow model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$97 ~$87–$140 | 1 model |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD with Cargo Ground Transportation in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moat
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.
Forecasts and guidance
Next results: January 27, 2027, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $4.5bn and EPS of $1.51 (range $1.44 to $1.57) for the quarter.
Analysts' consensus
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | $5.09 | +10% | $16.5bn | +10% |
| Next | $5.90 | +16% | $17.6bn | +6% |
Next year's EPS estimate has moved −1.5% in 90 days, across 29 analysts.
How the EPS forecast has moved
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is −1.6% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 2 analysts raised Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's forecast and 12 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
View chart data
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | $5.17 | $5.99 |
| 60 days ago | $5.18 | $5.99 |
| 30 days ago | $5.17 | $6.00 |
| 7 days ago | $5.15 | $5.96 |
| Now | $5.09 | $5.90 |
Earnings against estimates
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 2026 | $1.31 | $1.28 | −2.2% |
| Jun 2026 | $1.24 | $1.27 | +2.3% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.07 | $1.04 | −2.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $1.35 | $1.33 | −1.2% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Positioning
- Short interest
- 2.1% of tradable shares
- Days to cover
- 8.35 at average volume
- Short interest, 1 month
- −8% to October 15, 2026
- Held by institutions
- 77% of shares
- Held by insiders
- 0.0% of shares
- Employees
- 19,744 full time
Share-price performance
Market data may be delayedReturn and risk by year
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| CP | +5% | +5% | +7% | −8% | +2% | +25% |
| Industry peers (median) | +38% | −13% | +16% | −11% | −14% | +13% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| CP | 42% | 33% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 73% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| CP | −22% | −20% | −17% | −22% | −17% | −13% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 34% from February 13, 2020 to March 23, 2020. Getting back needed a 51% gain, reached on July 17, 2020, 116 days after the low.
Price behaviour
- 52-week range
- $68.44 – $96.48
- From 52-week high
- −5.2%
- vs 50-day average
- +3.3%
- vs 200-day average
- +6.6%
- Volatility (1 year)
- 23%
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.43
Share price after results
- Next day
- 6 up, 6 down typical move ±2.5%
- After a week
- 4 up, 7 down typical move ±4.2%
- After a month
- 7 up, 4 down typical move ±6.0%
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 28, 2026 | −3.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| July 29, 2026 | −3.9% | +0.1% | −0.3% | +2.4% |
| April 29, 2026 | +0.2% | +1.0% | −0.9% | +3.0% |
| January 28, 2026 | +4.2% | −0.2% | +9.4% | +20.4% |
| October 29, 2025 | −2.4% | −1.1% | −5.4% | −2.4% |
| July 30, 2025 | −3.5% | −0.5% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| April 30, 2025 | +0.9% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +13.3% |
| January 29, 2025 | +0.8% | +0.1% | −1.4% | −1.6% |
| October 23, 2024 | −1.4% | −0.7% | −1.8% | −5.6% |
| July 30, 2024 | +1.9% | +1.1% | −5.7% | +0.4% |
| April 24, 2024 | −6.4% | −0.4% | −11.6% | −9.6% |
| January 30, 2024 | +1.6% | −1.7% | +6.4% | +7.3% |
Fundamentals
Dividends, buybacks and capital spending
- Diluted share count
- −3.9%
- year over year
Where the revenue comes from
| Line of business | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Cargo and Freight | $14.8B | ▲ 3.9% |
| Grain Revenue | $3.2B | ▲ 6.8% |
| Energy Chemicals and Plastic Revenue | $2.9B | ▲ 1.6% |
| Intermodal | $2.7B | ▲ 6.1% |
| Metals Minerals and Consumer Products Revenue | $1.8B | ▲ 0.8% |
| Automotive | $1.3B | ▲ 2.3% |
| Coal Revenue | $1B | ▲ 8.7% |
| Forest Products Revenue | $792M | ▼ 2.9% |
| Potash Revenue | $640M | ▲ 4.2% |
| Fertilizer and Sulphur Revenue | $423M | ▲ 4.2% |
| Non Freight | $302M | ▼ 6.5% |
| Nonfreightexcludingleasingrevenues | $193M | ▲ 1.0% |
These categories overlap or exclude eliminations, so shares aren't shown.
| Region | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | $7.2B | 48.0% | ▲ 4.4% |
| United States | $5.1B | 34.0% | ▲ 2.7% |
| Mexico | $2.7B | 18.0% | ▲ 3.4% |
From Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's 10-K filed February 26, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.
Who owns it
Funds buying and selling- Reported value
- $54.4B
- Institutions reporting
- 965
- Shares held vs prior quarter
- ▲ 2.2%
- Positions opened / closed
- 91 / 59
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Bank Of Canada | $4.7B | 54.2M | 8.6% | ▲ 2.4% |
| TCI Fund Management Ltd | $3.9B | 45.3M | 7.2% | ▼ 2.6% |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | $2.3B | 26.4M | 4.2% | ▲ 67.5% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $2.1B | 24.6M | 3.9% | ▼ 0.4% |
| FMR LLC | $2.1B | 24.3M | 3.9% | ▲ 20.6% |
| Mackenzie Financial Corp | $2.1B | 17.0M | 3.9% | ▲ 9.1% |
| Fil Ltd | $1.8B | 21.2M | 3.4% | ▲ 1.0% |
| Invesco Ltd. | $1.8B | 20.5M | 3.3% | ▼ 8.1% |
| Bank Of Montreal | $1.7B | 19.9M | 3.2% | ▲ 1.0% |
| WCM Investment Management, LLC | $1.3B | 15.3M | 2.4% | ▼ 5.0% |
| TD Asset Management Inc | $1.3B | 14.6M | 2.3% | ▼ 22.5% |
| 1832 Asset Management L.P. | $1.2B | 14.1M | 2.2% | ▼ 0.4% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 3 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.
Insider trading activity
Full insider history and chartFrom insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Trades by members of Congress
All 9 trades and filingsIn the last 12 months, 1 member of Congress disclosed 4 purchases and 0 sales of Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD shares.
- Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded January 20, 2026, filed February 13, 2026
- Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded December 10, 2025, filed January 12, 2026
- Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded November 17, 2025, filed December 15, 2025
Earnings dates and SEC filings
Results announcements
Next expected around January 27, 2027 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced
- October 28, 2026
- July 29, 2026
- April 29, 2026
- January 28, 2026
- October 29, 2025
- July 30, 2025
Recent SEC filings
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
Data status
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD in brief
- What does Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD do?
- Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD is a US-listed company in the cargo ground transportation industry. Its financial year ends in December.
- What is Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's stock ticker?
- Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD trades under the ticker CP on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
- Who are Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's largest institutional shareholders?
- By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Royal Bank Of Canada, TCI Fund Management Ltd and Jpmorgan Chase & Co. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
- When is Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD's next earnings date?
- Around January 27, 2027, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Canadian Pacific Kansas City LTD announces its own schedule.
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