Calibercos Inc. is a US-listed company in the real estate development industry. Its financial year ends in December.
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Under review: every model's value for Calibercos Inc. is far from the share price, which usually points to a data problem (a merger, a share-count change, a one-off) rather than a bargain or a bubble.
Under review: data-quality checks not passed. We'll show the comparison once resolved.
Calibercos Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
Revenue for the twelve months to June 2026 was $16m, down 49.7% on a year earlier, a smaller fall than the 51.6% decline a quarter earlier. The diluted share count is up 285.6% on a year earlier, which dilutes existing holders.
Our model value for Calibercos is under review, so past values are not shown until it is resolved.
Source: 10-Q filed August 14, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation
Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.
Current signal Net income rising while operating cash flow falls: TTM net income grew 9.0% while operating cash flow fell 548.4% — earnings and cash are telling different stories.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
The inputs used by the models below have passed source checks. Individual model values are available below and in the interactive valuator. Their differences are shown explicitly; the platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld.
We value Calibercos Inc. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.9%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.87 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Price-to-sales vs peers Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative. | ~$3.0 ~$4.0–$15 | Left out: out of range vs price (6.87x) |
| Cash-flow model (DCF) Free cash flow after stock pay, grown then faded to 2.5%, discounted at 8.5%. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Combined value Individual source-checked model scenarios are available. The platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld. | — | Combined value withheld. Review the individual models and their assumptions. |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Calibercos Inc. with Real Estate Development in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
| At fiscal year end | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share price | $25.80 | $13.98 | $1.24 |
| Market value | $26m | $15m | $4m |
| + Net debt (− = net cash) | −$4m | −$2m | −$3m |
| Enterprise value | $22m | $13m | $645200 |
| Multiples | |||
| Price / sales | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.2x |
| Price / earnings | — | — | — |
| Price / free cash flow | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | — | — | — |
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.
Next results: November 12, 2026, after the close.
No analyst estimates are published for Calibercos Inc.: too few analysts cover it.
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 2025 | −$0.32 | −$1.20 | −275.3% |
| Jun 2025 | −$0.94 | −$4.15 | −341.5% |
| Mar 2025 | −$0.46 | −$3.85 | −737.0% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
| Calendar year | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Return | |||
| CWD | −46% | −91% | −65% |
| Industry peers (median) | +0% | −11% | +1% |
| S&P 500 | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | |||
| CWD | 42% | 17% | 27% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | |||
| CWD | −70% | −92% | −75% |
| S&P 500 | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since May 18, 2023: 100% from May 18, 2023 to October 26, 2026. Getting back needed a 40426% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | −18.5% | +0.5% | −17.4% | −20.2% |
| May 13, 2026 | +13.4% | +1.4% | +3.2% | −23.2% |
| March 25, 2026 | −5.6% | −1.2% | −20.8% | −13.6% |
| November 13, 2025 | −22.5% | −1.7% | −31.8% | −44.0% |
| October 14, 2025 | +3.9% | +0.3% | −14.6% | −21.1% |
| August 14, 2025 | −27.2% | −0.2% | −32.1% | +189.9% |
| May 15, 2025 | −6.1% | +1.1% | −23.4% | −15.8% |
| April 2, 2025 | −0.7% | −4.3% | −2.0% | −56.1% |
| April 1, 2025 | −2.0% | +0.9% | −7.9% | −59.7% |
| November 13, 2024 | −16.7% | −0.6% | −17.7% | −16.2% |
| August 12, 2024 | +7.7% | +1.7% | +20.8% | +26.0% |
| May 9, 2024 | −4.3% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +10.9% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q3 | $88.5M |
| FY23 Q4 | $90.9M |
| FY24 Q1 | $84.4M |
| FY24 Q2 | $72.1M |
| FY24 Q3 | $66.4M |
| FY24 Q4 | $51.1M |
| FY25 Q1 | $35.4M |
| FY25 Q2 | $32.3M |
| FY25 Q3 | $24.7M |
| FY25 Q4 | $20.1M |
| FY26 Q1 | $17.1M |
| FY26 Q2 | $16.3M |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue growth, TTM YoY |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q4 | 8.3% |
| FY24 Q1 | -5.4% |
| FY24 Q2 | -20.7% |
| FY24 Q3 | -25.0% |
| FY24 Q4 | -43.8% |
| FY25 Q1 | -58.0% |
| FY25 Q2 | -55.2% |
| FY25 Q3 | -62.9% |
| FY25 Q4 | -60.7% |
| FY26 Q1 | -51.6% |
| FY26 Q2 | -49.7% |
| Fiscal year | 2022 Dec 2022 | 2023 Dec 2023 | 2024 Dec 2024 | 2025 Dec 2025 | LTM Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | |||||
| Revenue | 84 | 91 | 51 | 20 | 16 |
| Net income | 2 | −13 | −20 | −22 | −19 |
| Diluted EPS | $0.11 | −$0.63 | −$17.90 | −$7.70 | — |
| Growth (year on year) | |||||
| Revenue | — | +8.3% | −43.8% | −60.7% | −49.7% |
| Net income | — | −728.9% | — | — | — |
| Diluted EPS | — | −672.7% | — | — | — |
| Margins | |||||
| Net margin | 2.4% | −14.0% | −38.7% | −108.5% | −117.3% |
| Cash flow | |||||
| Cash from operations | −7 | −19 | 1 | −12 | −14 |
| Stock-based pay | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Balance sheet | |||||
| Cash | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Total debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Net debt (negative = net cash) | −8 | −4 | −2 | −3 | −2 |
| Diluted shares | — | 1m | 1m | 3m | — |
| Quarter | 2024 Q3 Sept 2024 | 2024 Q4 Dec 2024 | 2025 Q1 Mar 2025 | 2025 Q2 Jun 2025 | 2025 Q3 Sept 2025 | 2025 Q4 Dec 2025 | 2026 Q1 Mar 2026 | 2026 Q2 Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||||
| Revenue | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Net income | 0 | −11 | −4 | −5 | −4 | −8 | −4 | −3 |
| Diluted EPS | $0.06 | −$5.14 | −$1.93 | −$2.08 | −$1.65 | $0.61 | −$0.52 | −$0.38 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||||
| Revenue | −33.6% | −63.7% | −68.4% | −38.0% | −67.8% | −52.5% | −40.9% | −17.3% |
| Margins | ||||||||
| Net margin | 1.3% | −131.1% | −60.7% | −104.5% | −120.2% | −187.1% | −84.3% | −80.1% |
| Cash flow | ||||||||
| Cash from operations | −0 | 1 | −2 | −1 | −5 | −5 | −3 | −3 |
| Stock-based pay | 1 | — | 1 | 0 | 1 | — | 0 | — |
| Last 12 months unless stated | CWD | MLP | OZ | SKYH | AXR | LPA | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $16m | $16m | $15m | $34m | $41m | $50m | $50m |
| Revenue growth, last 12 months | −49.7% | −4.1% | 164.2% | 62.2% | −15.3% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| Revenue growth, 3-year average | −43.7% | 19.4% | 95.1% | 106.1% | −5.3% | — | 9.4% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter | −17.3% | −19.6% | 168.1% | 49.6% | −66.1% | — | −3.0% |
| Operating margin | — | −36.3% | — | −80.8% | 14.8% | 81.7% | −0.9% |
| Operating margin, 3-year average | — | −44.2% | — | −122.6% | 19.9% | — | −26.1% |
| Net margin | −117.3% | −28.6% | −290.5% | 2.7% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 2.7% |
| Cash from operations / revenue | −88.9% | 2.2% | −174.0% | 0.7% | −0.7% | — | 1.4% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | — | −4.5% | −256.8% | −16.2% | −0.9% | — | −4.5% |
| Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average | — | −10.2% | −446.3% | −60.1% | 16.2% | — | −17.7% |
| Stock pay / revenue | — | 24.3% | — | 19.5% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Change in share count | 26.5% | −0.5% | 4.8% | — | 0.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna International Group, LLP | $36,995 | 56K | 18.6% | New |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | $36,274 | 55K | 18.3% | ▼ 15.7% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $23,906 | 36K | 12.0% | ▲ 38.5% |
| Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co | $23,422 | 36K | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Xtx Topco Ltd | $18,838 | 29K | 9.5% | ▲ 32.1% |
| HRT Financial LP | $18,000 | 28K | 9.1% | New |
| Northern Trust Corp | $13,494 | 21K | 6.8% | ▲ 87.5% |
| Virtu Financial LLC | $13,000 | 19K | 6.5% | New |
| UBS Group AG | $10,394 | 16K | 5.2% | ▲ 360.8% |
| Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) | $3,019 | 5K | 1.5% | ▲ 93.4% |
| Royal Bank Of Canada | $1,000 | 1K | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Decisionpoint Financial, LLC | $92 | 0K | 0.0% | 0.0% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Calibercos Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| Financial statements | SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
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