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Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) stock

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NYSE: EFC NYSE Mortgage REITs Next results ~November 4, 2026

Ellington Financial Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 4, 2026 (estimated)

Current signal Results well ahead of expectations: Reported earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate by 31% in the quarter to 2026-06-30, the 4th beat in the last four quarters.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

  • Beating expectations. Earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.

Things to watch

  • Results due soon. Results are expected around 4 November; the share price can move sharply on the day.
  • Heavily shorted. 10.7% of the shares available to trade are sold short (6.1 days of average volume to cover).
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 5% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.60 against an average estimate of $0.46: beat by 30.9%
Share reaction
+2.5% in the first session after the results on August 7, 2026, against +0.6% for the S&P 500
Next report
November 4, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.45

Ellington Financial's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+1.1%
  • 1 week-0.4%
  • 1 month+0.7%
  • This year-6.0%
  • 1 year-2.3%
  • 5 years+18.3%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Earnings

Last results
August 7, 2026
Next results (est.)
November 4, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Announcement
  2. Announcement
  3. Announcement
  4. Agreement
  5. Announcement
  6. Announcement
  7. Announcement
  8. Announcement
  9. Results
  10. Announcement
  11. Announcement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

No model value for Ellington Financial Inc. at the moment. Current status: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating. Available reported financials are shown below.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Ellington Financial Inc. as a mortgage reit, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.76 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Dividend discount (growing dividend) Today's dividend growing 2.5% a year, discounted at the cost of equity. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (residual income) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. — No model applies: the filings don’t yet support a value.

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Ellington Financial Inc. with mortgage REITs in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 4, 2026, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $176m and EPS of $0.45 (range $0.31 to $0.49) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Ellington Financial Inc.: consensus estimates
Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $2.08 +12% $681m +38%
Next $1.97 −5% $759m +11%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved +2.2% in 90 days, across 8 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +7.7% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 6 analysts raised Ellington Financial Inc.'s forecast and 0 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Ellington Financial Inc., last 90 days
$1.90 $1.95 $2.00 $2.05 $2.10 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.94 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $2.09 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $2.09 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $2.09 Current fiscal year, Now: $2.08 $2.08 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.93 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.98 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.98 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.97 Next fiscal year, Now: $1.97 $1.97

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $1.94$1.93
60 days ago $2.09$1.98
30 days ago $2.09$1.98
7 days ago $2.09$1.97
Now $2.08$1.97

Earnings against estimates

Ellington Financial Inc.: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 $0.46 $0.60 +30.9%
Mar 2026 $0.49 $0.55 +12.2%
Dec 2025 $0.46 $0.47 +2.4%
Sept 2025 $0.44 $0.53 +20.7%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

8 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy675%
Hold225%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 20264228
  2. Sep 20264228
  3. Aug 20264228

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Ellington Financial Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
10.7%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
6.13
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+43%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
54%
of shares
Held by insiders
2.6%
of shares
Employees
500
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Ellington Financial Inc.: yearly return, monthly win rate and worst fall against the S&P 500
Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
EFC+26%−18%+18%+9%+26%−6%
Industry peers (median)+26%−22%+17%+3%+6%−21%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
EFC75%50%42%50%58%46%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
EFC−14%−34%−23%−14%−19%−18%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 79% from February 20, 2020 to March 24, 2020. Getting back needed a 378% gain, reached on April 5, 2021, 377 days after the low.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$10.42 – $13.29
From 52-week high
−13.1%
vs 50-day average
−4.7%
vs 200-day average
−5.6%
Volatility (1 year)
18%
Beta vs S&P 500
0.45

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
11 up, 1 down
typical move ±3.1%
After a week
9 up, 3 down
typical move ±3.5%
After a month
10 up, 2 down
typical move ±4.1%
Ellington Financial Inc.: share-price change after each results release
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
August 7, 2026 +2.5% +0.6% +4.0% +2.8%
May 5, 2026 +4.3% +2.2% +3.6% +4.9%
February 26, 2026 +0.2% −1.0% −1.5% −6.8%
November 5, 2025 +0.7% −0.7% +0.5% +1.2%
August 7, 2025 +2.0% +0.7% +8.3% +8.7%
July 22, 2025 +1.3% +0.9% 0.0% +6.2%
May 7, 2025 +1.5% +1.1% +2.2% +0.5%
February 28, 2025 +5.2% −0.2% +3.3% +1.7%
November 6, 2024 +4.0% +3.3% +2.2% +3.8%
August 7, 2024 +5.2% +1.6% +5.7% +8.0%
May 8, 2024 +1.8% +0.6% +3.9% +3.8%
February 27, 2024 −8.3% +0.1% −7.1% −1.3%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms . Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Reported value
$875M
Institutions reporting
243
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 2.9%
Positions opened / closed
37 / 25

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 133 institutions bought and 83 sold ; the biggest buyer was Blackrock, Inc (+1.2M shares) and the biggest seller Qube Research & Technologies Ltd (−881K). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Blackrock, Inc. $284M 20.9M 32.5% ▲ 6.0%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $72.7M 5.3M 8.3% ▲ 5.8%
State Street Corp $68M 5.0M 7.8% ▲ 7.5%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $43.3M 3.2M 4.9% ▲ 8.7%
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. $30.6M 2.2M 3.5% ▲ 3.2%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC $29.4M 2.2M 3.4% ▲ 8.3%
Invesco Ltd. $25M 1.8M 2.9% ▲ 16.2%
Jpmorgan Chase & Co $20.2M 1.5M 2.3% ▲ 59.1%
Northern Trust Corp $20.2M 1.5M 2.3% ▲ 9.1%
Delphi Financial Group, Inc. $19.2M 1.4M 2.2% 0.0%
Van Eck Associates Corp $17.1M 1.3M 1.9% ▼ 8.2%
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc $15.7M 1.2M 1.8% ▲ 3.9%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Ellington Financial Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 4 trades and filings

In the last 12 months, 1 member of Congress disclosed 1 purchase and 0 sales of Ellington Financial Inc. shares.

  • Virginia Foxx(R-NC 5):Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded December 30, 2025, filed January 5, 2026
  • Virginia Foxx(R-NC 5):Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 30, 2025, filed July 3, 2025
  • Virginia Foxx(R-NC 5):Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded March 31, 2025, filed April 4, 2025

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Next expected around November 4, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced

  • August 7, 2026
  • May 5, 2026
  • February 26, 2026
  • November 5, 2025
  • August 7, 2025
  • July 22, 2025

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Ellington Financial Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Ellington Financial Inc. in brief

What does Ellington Financial Inc. do?
Ellington Financial Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Ellington Financial Inc.'s stock ticker?
Ellington Financial Inc. trades under the ticker EFC on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Ellington Financial Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Vanguard Capital Management LLC and State Street Corp. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
When is Ellington Financial Inc.'s next earnings date?
Around November 4, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Ellington Financial Inc. announces its own schedule.