Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in September.
Stock price today
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Model estimate per share
~$12
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers
Base case. Range ~$9.7–$15. Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings.
Price vs value
No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
Who’s trading
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
- Insiders0 buying, 2 selling0 purchases and 2 sales by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
- Funds153 adding, 155 cuttingOf 24 active managers that changed their stake, 11 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers
The Fundamentalytics view
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
Highlights
How we pick theseStrengths
Nothing in Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.
Things to watch
- Insiders selling. 2 insiders sold $44M of stock over the past 365 days and none bought (0% under pre-set trading plans).
- Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 4 of the last four quarters.
- Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 7% next year.
Latest results
- Earnings per share
- $0.33 against an average estimate of $0.33: beat by 0.0%
- Share reaction
- -3.1% in the first session after the results on October 6, 2026, against +0.3% for the S&P 500
- Next report
- November 17, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.33
Price chart
- 1 day+1.3%
- 1 week+6.4%
- 1 month+2.8%
- This year+2.8%
- 1 year+1.8%
- 5 years+39.2%
- S&P 500 this year+11.2%
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
At a glance
Earnings
- Last results
- October 6, 2026
News & updates
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
- ResultsSEC 8-KRead source ↗
- Announcement
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. disclosed a material event
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Insider trade
Golub David (Chairman & CEO) sold $21.9M of stock
SEC Form 4 - Insider trade
Golub Lawrence E (Director) sold $21.9M of stock
SEC Form 4 - Results
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. reported results
- Agreement
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. entered a material agreement; took on a material financial obligation
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Results
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. reported results
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Valuation models
We value Golub Capital BDC, Inc. as an asset manager, broker or exchange, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.2%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.71 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$12 ~$9.7–$15 | Primary model, counts double |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (forward price-to-earnings vs peers) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$12 ~$9.7–$15 | 1 model |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Golub Capital BDC, Inc. with asset managers in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moat
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.
Forecasts and guidance
Next results: November 17, 2026, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $188m and EPS of $0.33 (range $0.32 to $0.33) for the quarter.
Analysts' consensus
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | $1.38 | −8% | $773m | −11% |
| Next | $1.28 | −7% | $747m | −3% |
Next year's EPS estimate has moved +1.5% in 90 days, across 6 analysts.
How the EPS forecast has moved
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +1.0% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 2 analysts raised Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
View chart data
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | $1.36 | $1.26 |
| 60 days ago | $1.37 | $1.27 |
| 30 days ago | $1.37 | $1.27 |
| 7 days ago | $1.37 | $1.27 |
| Now | $1.38 | $1.28 |
Earnings against estimates
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.33 | $0.33 | 0.0% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.36 | $0.33 | −9.5% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.38 | $0.37 | −1.6% |
| Sept 2025 | $0.38 | $0.38 | −1.0% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Positioning
- Short interest
- 5.8% of tradable shares
- Days to cover
- 9.31 at average volume
- Short interest, 1 month
- +9% to October 15, 2026
- Held by institutions
- 51% of shares
- Held by insiders
- 1.4% of shares
Share-price performance
Market data may be delayedReturn and risk by year
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| GBDC | +18% | −7% | +28% | +14% | −1% | +3% |
| Industry peers (median) | +33% | −17% | +19% | +15% | −4% | −6% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| GBDC | 75% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 55% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| GBDC | −7% | −19% | −10% | −16% | −16% | −14% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 47% from December 30, 2019 to April 2, 2020. Getting back needed a 90% gain, reached on September 29, 2021, 545 days after the low.
Price behaviour
- 52-week range
- $11.08 – $13.11
- From 52-week high
- −1.7%
- vs 50-day average
- +3.6%
- vs 200-day average
- +4.7%
- Volatility (1 year)
- 20%
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.48
Share price after results
- Next day
- 5 up, 7 down typical move ±1.5%
- After a week
- 9 up, 3 down typical move ±2.4%
- After a month
- 6 up, 5 down typical move ±3.1%
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 6, 2026 | −3.1% | +0.3% | −2.3% | — |
| August 3, 2026 | +1.9% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +0.5% |
| July 7, 2026 | −0.9% | −0.8% | +1.2% | −0.5% |
| May 4, 2026 | −2.9% | +0.4% | −6.1% | −6.5% |
| April 6, 2026 | +1.0% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +5.5% |
| February 4, 2026 | −3.2% | −1.7% | −0.3% | −5.2% |
| January 8, 2026 | +1.6% | +0.7% | +3.5% | −6.4% |
| November 18, 2025 | −0.7% | −0.5% | +2.4% | +1.8% |
| October 7, 2025 | −0.7% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| August 4, 2025 | +0.5% | +1.0% | +0.5% | −0.4% |
| July 7, 2025 | +0.5% | −0.8% | +3.5% | +0.1% |
| May 5, 2025 | −1.0% | −1.4% | +3.2% | +4.7% |
Fundamentals
Who owns it
Funds buying and selling- Reported value
- $1.6B
- Institutions reporting
- 315
- Shares held vs prior quarter
- ▲ 2.3%
- Positions opened / closed
- 27 / 52
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strs Ohio | $226M | 17.6M | 14.5% | ▲ 2.5% |
| Hightower Advisors, LLC | $94.6M | 7.3M | 6.1% | ▲ 4.2% |
| Van Eck Associates Corp | $60.7M | 4.7M | 3.9% | ▲ 11.0% |
| Sound Income Strategies, LLC | $49.9M | 3.9M | 3.2% | ▲ 3.3% |
| UBS Group AG | $49.6M | 3.8M | 3.2% | ▼ 5.1% |
| Sage Mountain Advisors LLC | $49.3M | 3.8M | 3.2% | ▲ 1.9% |
| Omers Administration Corp | $47M | 3.7M | 3.0% | ▲ 2.5% |
| Bank Of America Corp | $43.7M | 3.4M | 2.8% | ▲ 3.8% |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | $43.2M | 3.4M | 2.8% | ▼ 3.8% |
| Ares Management LLC | $43.2M | 3.4M | 2.8% | ▲ 9.8% |
| Allen Investment Management, LLC | $40.9M | 3.2M | 2.6% | ▼ 5.7% |
| Corient Private Wealth LP | $40.7M | 3.2M | 2.6% | ▼ 30.2% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 3 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.
Insider trading activity
Full insider history and chart| Insider | Date | Trade | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golub David Chairman & CEO | August 7, 2026 | Sell | 1,676,387 | $13.06 | $21.9M |
| Golub Lawrence E Director | August 7, 2026 | Sell | 1,676,387 | $13.06 | $21.9M |
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Trades by members of Congress
All 9 trades and filingsNo trades in Golub Capital BDC, Inc. disclosed in the last 12 months; 9 earlier trades on record.
- David P. JoyceSale (partial), $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 30, 2023, filed August 6, 2024
- David P. JoyceSale (partial), $15,001 - $50,000, traded June 19, 2023, filed August 6, 2024
- David P. JoyceSale (full), $15,001 - $50,000, traded July 14, 2022, filed August 6, 2024
Earnings dates and SEC filings
Results announcements
- October 6, 2026
- August 3, 2026
- July 7, 2026
- May 4, 2026
- April 6, 2026
- February 4, 2026
Recent SEC filings
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
Data status
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. in brief
- What does Golub Capital BDC, Inc. do?
- Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in September.
- What is Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s stock ticker?
- Golub Capital BDC, Inc. trades under the ticker GBDC on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
- Who are Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
- By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Strs Ohio, Hightower Advisors, LLC and Van Eck Associates Corp. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
- Are insiders buying or selling Golub Capital BDC, Inc. stock?
- Over the last 12 months, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s directors and officers reported 0 open-market purchases and 2 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.
- When is Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s next earnings date?
- Around November 17, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Golub Capital BDC, Inc. announces its own schedule.
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