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Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) stock

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NASDAQ: GBDC Nasdaq Asset Management & Custody Banks Next results ~November 17, 2026

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in September.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$12

Forward price-to-earnings vs peers

Base case. Range ~$9.7–$15. Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings.

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Insiders0 buying, 2 selling0 purchases and 2 sales by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
  • Funds153 adding, 155 cuttingOf 24 active managers that changed their stake, 11 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 17, 2026 (estimated)

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

Nothing in Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.

Things to watch

  • Insiders selling. 2 insiders sold $44M of stock over the past 365 days and none bought (0% under pre-set trading plans).
  • Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 4 of the last four quarters.
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 7% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.33 against an average estimate of $0.33: beat by 0.0%
Share reaction
-3.1% in the first session after the results on October 6, 2026, against +0.3% for the S&P 500
Next report
November 17, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.33

Golub Capital BDC's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+1.3%
  • 1 week+6.4%
  • 1 month+2.8%
  • This year+2.8%
  • 1 year+1.8%
  • 5 years+39.2%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Earnings

Last results
October 6, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Results
  2. Announcement
  3. Insider trade
  4. Insider trade
  5. Results
  6. Agreement
  7. Results

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Golub Capital BDC, Inc. as an asset manager, broker or exchange, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.2%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.71 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$12 ~$9.7–$15 Primary model, counts double
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (forward price-to-earnings vs peers) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$12 ~$9.7–$15 1 model

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Golub Capital BDC, Inc. with asset managers in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 17, 2026, after the close. Analysts expect revenue of $188m and EPS of $0.33 (range $0.32 to $0.33) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.: consensus estimates
Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $1.38 −8% $773m −11%
Next $1.28 −7% $747m −3%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved +1.5% in 90 days, across 6 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +1.0% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 2 analysts raised Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Golub Capital BDC, Inc., last 90 days
$1.25 $1.30 $1.35 $1.40 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.36 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.37 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.37 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.37 Current fiscal year, Now: $1.38 $1.38 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.26 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.27 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.27 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.27 Next fiscal year, Now: $1.28 $1.28

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $1.36$1.26
60 days ago $1.37$1.27
30 days ago $1.37$1.27
7 days ago $1.37$1.27
Now $1.38$1.28

Earnings against estimates

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 $0.33 $0.33 0.0%
Mar 2026 $0.36 $0.33 −9.5%
Dec 2025 $0.38 $0.37 −1.6%
Sept 2025 $0.38 $0.38 −1.0%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

7 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy686%
Hold114%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 20262417
  2. Sep 20262417
  3. Aug 20262417

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Golub Capital BDC, Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
5.8%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
9.31
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+9%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
51%
of shares
Held by insiders
1.4%
of shares

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.: yearly return, monthly win rate and worst fall against the S&P 500
Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
GBDC+18%−7%+28%+14%−1%+3%
Industry peers (median)+33%−17%+19%+15%−4%−6%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
GBDC75%42%67%67%33%55%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
GBDC−7%−19%−10%−16%−16%−14%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 47% from December 30, 2019 to April 2, 2020. Getting back needed a 90% gain, reached on September 29, 2021, 545 days after the low.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$11.08 – $13.11
From 52-week high
−1.7%
vs 50-day average
+3.6%
vs 200-day average
+4.7%
Volatility (1 year)
20%
Beta vs S&P 500
0.48

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
5 up, 7 down
typical move ±1.5%
After a week
9 up, 3 down
typical move ±2.4%
After a month
6 up, 5 down
typical move ±3.1%
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.: share-price change after each results release
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
October 6, 2026 −3.1% +0.3% −2.3% —
August 3, 2026 +1.9% +3.3% +2.3% +0.5%
July 7, 2026 −0.9% −0.8% +1.2% −0.5%
May 4, 2026 −2.9% +0.4% −6.1% −6.5%
April 6, 2026 +1.0% +0.5% +0.3% +5.5%
February 4, 2026 −3.2% −1.7% −0.3% −5.2%
January 8, 2026 +1.6% +0.7% +3.5% −6.4%
November 18, 2025 −0.7% −0.5% +2.4% +1.8%
October 7, 2025 −0.7% +0.2% +2.7% +2.8%
August 4, 2025 +0.5% +1.0% +0.5% −0.4%
July 7, 2025 +0.5% −0.8% +3.5% +0.1%
May 5, 2025 −1.0% −1.4% +3.2% +4.7%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms . Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Reported value
$1.6B
Institutions reporting
315
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 2.3%
Positions opened / closed
27 / 52

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 153 institutions bought and 155 sold ; the biggest buyer was Ensign Peak Advisors, Inc (+1.3M shares) and the biggest seller Corient Private Wealth LP (−1.4M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Strs Ohio $226M 17.6M 14.5% ▲ 2.5%
Hightower Advisors, LLC $94.6M 7.3M 6.1% ▲ 4.2%
Van Eck Associates Corp $60.7M 4.7M 3.9% ▲ 11.0%
Sound Income Strategies, LLC $49.9M 3.9M 3.2% ▲ 3.3%
UBS Group AG $49.6M 3.8M 3.2% ▼ 5.1%
Sage Mountain Advisors LLC $49.3M 3.8M 3.2% ▲ 1.9%
Omers Administration Corp $47M 3.7M 3.0% ▲ 2.5%
Bank Of America Corp $43.7M 3.4M 2.8% ▲ 3.8%
Jpmorgan Chase & Co $43.2M 3.4M 2.8% ▼ 3.8%
Ares Management LLC $43.2M 3.4M 2.8% ▲ 9.8%
Allen Investment Management, LLC $40.9M 3.2M 2.6% ▼ 5.7%
Corient Private Wealth LP $40.7M 3.2M 2.6% ▼ 30.2%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 3 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Recent insider open-market transactions
Insider Date Trade Shares Price Value
Golub David Chairman & CEO August 7, 2026 Sell 1,676,387 $13.06 $21.9M
Golub Lawrence E Director August 7, 2026 Sell 1,676,387 $13.06 $21.9M

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 9 trades and filings

No trades in Golub Capital BDC, Inc. disclosed in the last 12 months; 9 earlier trades on record.

  • David P. Joyce(R-OH 14):Sale (partial), $1,001 - $15,000, traded June 30, 2023, filed August 6, 2024
  • David P. Joyce(R-OH 14):Sale (partial), $15,001 - $50,000, traded June 19, 2023, filed August 6, 2024
  • David P. Joyce(R-OH 14):Sale (full), $15,001 - $50,000, traded July 14, 2022, filed August 6, 2024

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

  • October 6, 2026
  • August 3, 2026
  • July 7, 2026
  • May 4, 2026
  • April 6, 2026
  • February 4, 2026

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Golub Capital BDC, Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. in brief

What does Golub Capital BDC, Inc. do?
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is a US-listed company in the asset management & custody banks industry. Its financial year ends in September.
What is Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s stock ticker?
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. trades under the ticker GBDC on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Strs Ohio, Hightower Advisors, LLC and Van Eck Associates Corp. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Are insiders buying or selling Golub Capital BDC, Inc. stock?
Over the last 12 months, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s directors and officers reported 0 open-market purchases and 2 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.
When is Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s next earnings date?
Around November 17, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Golub Capital BDC, Inc. announces its own schedule.