Hub Group, Inc. announced a director or officer change; amended its charter or bylaws; reported shareholder vote results; made a public disclosure
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Hub Group, Inc. is a US-listed company in the air freight & logistics industry. Its financial year ends in December.
Stock price today
Loading chart…
Third-party market data · may be delayed
Model estimate per share
~$28
Valuation models combined (2)
Base case. Range ~$25–$29. Weighted average of 2 models (forward price-to-earnings vs peers, forward price-to-sales vs peers).
Price vs value
No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.
Hub Group, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
Who’s trading
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
- Insiders1 buying, 1 selling1 purchase and 1 sale by directors and officers, last 12 monthsInsider trades
- Funds136 adding, 142 cuttingOf 54 active managers that changed their stake, 26 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers
The Fundamentalytics view
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
Highlights
How we pick theseStrengths
- Beating expectations. Earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters.
- Estimates rising. Analysts' consensus for next year's earnings per share has risen 6.9% over 90 days.
Things to watch
- Volatile shares. Over the past year the shares showed annualised volatility of 48% and a beta of 0.8 against the S&P 500.
Latest results
- Earnings per share
- $0.49 against an average estimate of $0.49: beat by 0.4%
- Share reaction
- -6.1% in the first session after the results on September 15, 2026, against -0.9% for the S&P 500
Price chart
- 1 day-1.4%
- 1 week-1.6%
- 1 month-9.3%
- This year-35.1%
- 1 year-22.9%
- 5 years-33.4%
- S&P 500 this year+11.2%
Loading chart…
Third-party market data · may be delayed
At a glance
Earnings
- Last results
- September 15, 2026
- Next results (est.)
- December 18, 2026
News & updates
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
- Leadership
- Announcement
Hub Group, Inc. made a public disclosure
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Results
Hub Group, Inc. entered a material agreement; reported results; announced a director or officer change; made a public disclosure
SEC 8-KRead source ↗ - Announcement
Hub Group, Inc. made a public disclosure
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Valuation models
We value Hub Group, Inc. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 9.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.99 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | — | Does not apply: no revenue, margin or share count to start from |
| Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$29 ~$28–$41 | Included |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Forward price-to-sales vs peers Next year's consensus sales per share times peers' typical forward price-to-sales; only when earnings are negative. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$25 ~$34–$71 | Included, half weight |
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (growth cash-flow model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$28 ~$25–$29 | 2 models |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Hub Group, Inc. with Air Freight & Logistics in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moat
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.
Forecasts and guidance
Analysts' consensus
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | $1.81 | −6% | $3.7bn | −7% |
| Next | $2.16 | +20% | $3.7bn | +2% |
Next year's EPS estimate has moved +6.9% in 90 days, across 4 analysts.
How the EPS forecast has moved
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is −1.2% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 0 analysts raised Hub Group, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
View chart data
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | $1.83 | $2.02 |
| 60 days ago | $1.82 | $2.12 |
| 30 days ago | $1.82 | $2.19 |
| 7 days ago | $1.81 | $2.16 |
| Now | $1.81 | $2.16 |
Earnings against estimates
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 2025 | $0.49 | $0.49 | +0.4% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.44 | $0.45 | +2.1% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.43 | $0.44 | +3.3% |
| Dec 2024 | $0.48 | $0.48 | +0.2% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Positioning
- Short interest
- 9.4% of tradable shares
- Days to cover
- 2.87 at average volume
- Short interest, 1 month
- +11% to October 15, 2026
- Held by institutions
- 99% of shares
- Held by insiders
- 2.9% of shares
- Employees
- 6,604 full time
Share-price performance
Market data may be delayedReturn and risk by year
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| HUBG | +48% | −6% | +16% | −2% | −3% | −35% |
| Industry peers (median) | +26% | −26% | +24% | −14% | −19% | −10% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| HUBG | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 46% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| HUBG | −16% | −29% | −31% | −19% | −33% | −51% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 51% from February 4, 2026 to October 19, 2026. Getting back needed a 103% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.
Price behaviour
- 52-week range
- $25.66 – $51.99
- From 52-week high
- −47.3%
- vs 50-day average
- −12.2%
- vs 200-day average
- −31.0%
- Volatility (1 year)
- 48%
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.78
Share price after results
- Next day
- 3 up, 9 down typical move ±5.3%
- After a week
- 4 up, 8 down typical move ±7.4%
- After a month
- 7 up, 5 down typical move ±11.0%
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 15, 2026 | −6.1% | −0.9% | −8.7% | −25.3% |
| February 5, 2026 | −20.1% | +0.6% | −23.9% | −25.8% |
| October 30, 2025 | +3.1% | −0.8% | −2.7% | +10.4% |
| July 31, 2025 | −3.5% | −2.0% | −0.3% | +7.5% |
| May 8, 2025 | +5.0% | +0.6% | +12.9% | +6.9% |
| February 6, 2025 | −5.3% | −0.6% | −2.8% | −12.1% |
| October 30, 2024 | −0.2% | −2.3% | +13.1% | +18.7% |
| August 1, 2024 | −9.1% | −3.3% | −7.2% | +0.8% |
| April 25, 2024 | −0.2% | +0.6% | +5.7% | +8.1% |
| February 1, 2024 | −2.1% | +2.4% | −2.1% | −6.4% |
| October 26, 2023 | −5.1% | −1.6% | −7.8% | +1.9% |
| July 27, 2023 | +3.4% | +0.3% | +2.2% | −7.6% |
Fundamentals
Where the revenue comes from
| Line of business | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intermodal | $2.2B | 56.8% | ▼ 10.1% |
| Logistics | $1.8B | 46.4% | ▲ 0.5% |
| Inter | -$127M | -3.2% | — |
From Hub Group, Inc.'s 10-K filed February 25, 2025, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.
Who owns it
Funds buying and selling- Reported value
- $2.8B
- Institutions reporting
- 283
- Shares held vs prior quarter
- ▲ 0.7%
- Positions opened / closed
- 42 / 40
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | $418M | 9.6M | 15.1% | ▲ 3.4% |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | $326M | 7.4M | 11.8% | ▲ 7.1% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | $180M | 4.1M | 6.5% | ▲ 0.9% |
| Capital International Investors | $175M | 4.0M | 6.3% | ▲ 4.4% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | $155M | 3.5M | 5.6% | ▲ 1.5% |
| State Street Corp | $117M | 2.7M | 4.2% | ▲ 5.3% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $111M | 2.5M | 4.0% | ▲ 0.6% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | $70.7M | 1.6M | 2.6% | ▲ 5.3% |
| Victory Capital Management Inc | $69.9M | 1.6M | 2.5% | ▼ 28.2% |
| Broad Bay Capital Management, LP | $69M | 1.6M | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | $55.8M | 1.3M | 2.0% | New |
| Moore Capital Management, LP | $44.3M | 1.0M | 1.6% | ▲ 140.0% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Hub Group, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.
Insider trading activity
Full insider history and chart Insider purchases History → $199,717 1 trade by 1 insider, last 12 months Insider sales History → $1.4M 1 trade by 1 insider · 100% under pre-set plans
Net ▼ $1.2M net selling
| Insider | Date | Trade | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yablon Gary Director | December 11, 2025 | Buy | 4,566 | $43.74 | $199,717 |
| Yeager Phillip D President, CEO & Vice Chairman | December 11, 2025 | Sell pre-set plan | 32,000 | $43.68 | $1.4M |
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Earnings dates and SEC filings
Results announcements
Next expected around December 18, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced
- September 15, 2026
- February 5, 2026
- October 30, 2025
- July 31, 2025
- May 8, 2025
- February 6, 2025
Recent SEC filings
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
Data status
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
Hub Group, Inc. in brief
- What does Hub Group, Inc. do?
- Hub Group, Inc. is a US-listed company in the air freight & logistics industry. Its financial year ends in December.
- What is Hub Group, Inc.'s stock ticker?
- Hub Group, Inc. trades under the ticker HUBG on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
- Who are Hub Group, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
- By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Wellington Management Group LLP and Dimensional Fund Advisors LP. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
- Are insiders buying or selling Hub Group, Inc. stock?
- Over the last 12 months, Hub Group, Inc.'s directors and officers reported 1 open-market purchases and 1 sales on Form 4. The insider trading page charts every trade.
- When is Hub Group, Inc.'s next earnings date?
- Around December 18, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Hub Group, Inc. announces its own schedule.
Follow research on Hub Group, Inc.
New research on the companies we cover arrives in the weekly email. Free, one email a week.