Octave Intelligence plc reported results
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Octave Intelligence plc is a US-listed company in the application software industry. Its financial year ends in December.
Stock price today
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Model estimate per share
~$21
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers
Base case. Range ~$17–$35. Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings.
Price vs value
No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.
Octave Intelligence plc valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
Who’s trading
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
- Funds73 adding, 0 cuttingOf 15 active managers that changed their stake, 15 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers
The Fundamentalytics view
Current signal Results well ahead of expectations: Reported earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate by 16% in the quarter to 2026-06-30, the 2nd beat in the last four quarters.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
Latest results
- Earnings per share
- $0.36 against an average estimate of $0.31: beat by 15.6%
- Share reaction
- -4.1% in the first session after the results on August 12, 2026, against +0.9% for the S&P 500
- Next report
- November 12, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.30
Price chart
- 1 day+0.4%
- 1 week-2.3%
- 1 month+11.6%
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
At a glance
Earnings
- Last results
- August 12, 2026
News & updates
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
- Results
Valuation models
We value Octave Intelligence plc as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 9.9%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.1 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | — | Does not apply: no revenue, margin or share count to start from |
| Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$21 ~$17–$35 | Included |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Forward price-to-sales vs peers Next year's consensus sales per share times peers' typical forward price-to-sales; only when earnings are negative. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. | ~$1.9 ~$13–$36 | Left out: out of range vs price (0.09x) |
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (growth cash-flow model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$21 ~$17–$35 | 1 model |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Octave Intelligence plc with Application Software in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moat
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: High.
Forecasts and guidance
Next results: November 12, 2026, before the open. Analysts expect revenue of $404m and EPS of $0.30 (range $0.29 to $0.31) for the quarter.
Analysts' consensus
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | $1.44 | — | $1.6bn | +1% |
| Next | $1.50 | +4% | $1.7bn | +5% |
Next year's EPS estimate has moved +3.1% in 90 days, across 6 analysts.
How the EPS forecast has moved
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +2.8% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 4 analysts raised Octave Intelligence plc's forecast and 3 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
View chart data
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | $1.40 | $1.45 |
| 60 days ago | $1.45 | $1.49 |
| 30 days ago | $1.43 | $1.49 |
| 7 days ago | $1.44 | $1.50 |
| Now | $1.44 | $1.50 |
Earnings against estimates
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.31 | $0.36 | +15.6% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.30 | $0.33 | +10.5% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Positioning
- Short interest
- — of tradable shares
- Days to cover
- 1.73 at average volume
- Short interest, 1 month
- +60% to October 15, 2026
- Held by institutions
- 11% of shares
- Held by insiders
- 19.7% of shares
- Employees
- 7,200 full time
Share-price performance
Market data may be delayedPrice behaviour
- 52-week range
- Not enough history
- From 52-week high
- —
- vs 50-day average
- +7.6%
- vs 200-day average
- —
- Volatility (1 year)
- —
- Beta vs S&P 500
- —
Share price after results
- Next day
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±4.1%
- After a week
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±6.3%
- After a month
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±10.1%
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 12, 2026 | −4.1% | +0.9% | −6.3% | −10.1% |
Fundamentals
Who owns it
Funds buying and selling- Reported value
- $457M
- Institutions reporting
- 76
- Positions opened / closed
- 73 / 0
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Avenue Partners, LP | $68.8M | 4.2M | 15.1% | — |
| Koch, Inc. | $48.9M | 3.0M | 10.7% | — |
| Lansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (Publ) | $44.2M | 2.7M | 9.7% | — |
| Jane Street Group, LLC | $34.6M | 2.1M | 7.6% | — |
| Newtyn Management, LLC | $31.3M | 1.9M | 6.9% | — |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | $23.7M | 1.4M | 5.2% | — |
| Norges Bank | $21.5M | 1.3M | 4.7% | — |
| Exchange Traded Concepts, LLC | $19.1M | 1.2M | 4.2% | — |
| DZ Bank AG Deutsche Zentral Genossenschafts Bank, Frankfurt Am Main | $17.2M | 1.1M | 3.8% | — |
| Legal & General Group PLC | $16.7M | 1.0M | 3.7% | — |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | $12.8M | 787K | 2.8% | — |
| Select Equity Group, L.P. | $12.8M | 785K | 2.8% | — |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Octave Intelligence plc's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
Insider trading activity
Full insider history and chart Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders
Net ▲ $0 net buying
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Earnings dates and SEC filings
Results announcements
- August 12, 2026
Recent SEC filings
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
Data status
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
Octave Intelligence plc in brief
- What does Octave Intelligence plc do?
- Octave Intelligence plc is a US-listed company in the application software industry. Its financial year ends in December.
- What is Octave Intelligence plc's stock ticker?
- Octave Intelligence plc trades under the ticker OCTV on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
- Who are Octave Intelligence plc's largest institutional shareholders?
- By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Madison Avenue Partners, LP, Koch, Inc. and Lansforsakringar Fondforvaltning AB (Publ). 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
- When is Octave Intelligence plc's next earnings date?
- Around November 12, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Octave Intelligence plc announces its own schedule.
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