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Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) stock

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NYSE: ORC NYSE Mortgage REITs

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$6.7

Valuation models combined (2)

Base case. Range ~$2.2–$11. Weighted average of 2 models (price-to-book vs peers, dividend discount (growing dividend)).

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds127 adding, 74 cuttingOf 31 active managers that changed their stake, 16 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Current signal Share count rising (dilution): Diluted shares outstanding rose 77.4% year over year.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Highlights

How we pick these

Strengths

Nothing in Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s latest figures clears our strength thresholds.

Things to watch

  • Share dilution. Diluted shares rose 77.4% in a year.
  • Short interest rising. Shares sold short rose 17% in a month to 9.8% of tradable shares.
  • Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 2 of the last four quarters.
  • Estimates being cut. Analysts' consensus for next year's earnings per share has fallen 5.6% over 90 days.
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 14% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$0.27 against an average estimate of $0.29: missed by 7.4%
Share reaction
+3.7% in the first session after the results on October 22, 2026, against -1.7% for the S&P 500
Next report
October 22, 2026; average EPS estimate $0.26

Orchid Island Capital's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+0.6%
  • 1 week-2.2%
  • 1 month-3.6%
  • This year-21.3%
  • 1 year-19.0%
  • 5 years-51.2%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

EPS (TTM, diluted)
$-0.03

Growth

Share count change
+77.4%

Earnings

Last results
October 22, 2026

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Results
  2. Results
  3. Announcement
  4. Announcement
  5. Results
  6. Results
  7. Announcement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Valuation

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. valuation models and calculator

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Orchid Island Capital, Inc. as a mortgage reit, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.8%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.86 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: the model gives no positive value
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: return on equity is not positive
Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. ~$2.2 ~$1.9–$3.8 Included
Dividend discount (growing dividend) Today's dividend growing 2.5% a year, discounted at the cost of equity. ~$11 ~$9.6–$13 Included
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (residual income) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$6.7 ~$2.2–$11 2 models

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Orchid Island Capital, Inc. with mortgage REITs in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Analysts' consensus

Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $1.14 +67% $237m +119%
Next $0.98 −15% $227m −4%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved −5.6% in 90 days, across 4 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +2.1% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 0 analysts raised Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Orchid Island Capital, Inc., last 90 days
$0.95 $1.00 $1.05 $1.10 $1.15 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.12 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.12 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.12 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.11 Current fiscal year, Now: $1.14 $1.14 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $1.03 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $1.03 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $1.03 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $1.05 Next fiscal year, Now: $0.98 $0.98

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $1.12$1.03
60 days ago $1.12$1.03
30 days ago $1.12$1.03
7 days ago $1.11$1.05
Now $1.14$0.98

Earnings against estimates

Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Sept 2026 $0.29 $0.27 −7.4%
Jun 2026 $0.29 $0.62 +112.4%
Mar 2026 $0.27 $0.26 −2.8%
Dec 2025 $0.18 $0.20 +6.3%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

4 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy00%
Hold4100%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202644
  2. Sep 202644
  3. Aug 202644

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Orchid Island Capital, Inc., by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
9.8%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
2.72
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+17%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
48%
of shares
Held by insiders
0.2%
of shares

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
ORC+0%−44%−3%+10%+13%−21%
Industry peers (median)+26%−21%+17%+3%+6%−21%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
ORC58%42%50%58%75%46%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
ORC−23%−60%−45%−12%−30%−34%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 3, 2015: 76% from February 13, 2017 to March 18, 2020. Getting back needed a 313% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$4.68 – $7.12
From 52-week high
−32.2%
vs 50-day average
−12.3%
vs 200-day average
−21.4%
Volatility (1 year)
23%
Beta vs S&P 500
0.59

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
10 up, 2 down
typical move ±2.4%
After a week
5 up, 7 down
typical move ±3.2%
After a month
3 up, 7 down
typical move ±2.2%
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
October 22, 2026 +3.7% −1.7% +3.3% —
October 14, 2026 +2.4% −0.8% −3.8% —
July 23, 2026 −2.2% −1.1% −0.9% +1.7%
July 13, 2026 +0.3% −0.4% −1.5% −2.0%
April 23, 2026 +1.4% +0.4% +2.6% −1.3%
January 29, 2026 −4.9% −0.5% −7.2% −7.6%
January 14, 2026 +3.8% −0.2% +5.1% −2.3%
October 23, 2025 +2.3% +1.4% −2.1% −2.0%
October 15, 2025 +0.4% −0.2% +2.8% +1.9%
July 24, 2025 +1.0% +0.5% −3.6% −1.2%
July 9, 2025 +0.4% +0.9% −0.7% −0.1%
April 24, 2025 +5.7% +2.8% +4.5% +2.1%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-K/A, 10-Q, 10-Q/A. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

FY2026 Q3 TTM
Buybacks (TTM)
$39.2M
Dividends (TTM)
$249M
Buybacks, last 3 fiscal years
$20.6M
Diluted share count
+77.4%
year over year

Who owns it

Funds buying and selling
Reported value
$590M
Institutions reporting
202
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 11.0%
Positions opened / closed
38 / 31

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 127 institutions bought and 74 sold ; the biggest buyer was Blackrock, Inc (+3.4M shares) and the biggest seller Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd (−1.8M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Blackrock, Inc. $143M 20.5M 24.3% ▲ 19.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $62.3M 8.9M 10.6% ▲ 7.5%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $36.5M 5.2M 6.2% ▲ 17.7%
State Street Corp $32M 4.5M 5.4% ▲ 13.0%
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. $26.8M 3.8M 4.5% ▼ 32.2%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc $24.4M 3.5M 4.1% ▲ 29.0%
Invesco Ltd. $20.3M 2.9M 3.4% ▲ 0.4%
Van Eck Associates Corp $16.5M 2.4M 2.8% ▲ 4.1%
Northern Trust Corp $16.1M 2.3M 2.7% ▲ 49.2%
UBS Group AG $14.1M 2.0M 2.4% ▲ 46.5%
Morgan Stanley $12.8M 1.8M 2.2% ▲ 88.3%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC $11.9M 1.7M 2.0% ▲ 24.0%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders
Net ▲ $0 net buying

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

  • October 22, 2026
  • October 14, 2026
  • July 23, 2026
  • July 13, 2026
  • April 23, 2026
  • January 29, 2026

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Orchid Island Capital, Inc. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. in brief

What does Orchid Island Capital, Inc. do?
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a US-listed company in the mortgage REITs industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s stock ticker?
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. trades under the ticker ORC on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Vanguard Capital Management LLC and Geode Capital Management, LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Is Orchid Island Capital, Inc. buying back stock, and does it pay a dividend?
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. spent $39.2M on share repurchases over the trailing twelve months, and its diluted share count still rose 77.4% over the year.
Does Orchid Island Capital, Inc. pay a dividend?
Yes: Orchid Island Capital, Inc. paid $249M in dividends over the trailing twelve months.