undamentalytics Newsletter

Paypay Corp (PAYP) stock

Add holding +

NASDAQ: PAYP Nasdaq Systems Software Next results ~November 4, 2026

B+ Fundamentals grade

Paypay Corp is a US-listed company in the systems software industry. Its financial year ends in March.

Stock price today

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

Fair value per share

Under review: valuation models disagree too widely to rate.

Price vs value

Under review: valuation models disagree too widely to rate. We'll show the comparison once resolved.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds28 adding, 31 cuttingOf 18 active managers that changed their stake, 5 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 4, 2026 (estimated)

Paypay Corp's trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 28.8% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of 96.9%. Where it stands out: free-cash-flow margin of 96.9% ranks 1 of 34 systems software companies we cover. Where it lags: change in share count of 17.1% ranks 29 of 34 systems software companies we cover.

Current signal Free cash flow diverging from earnings: TTM free cash flow grew 147.1% while net income grew 221.8%: a 75pp divergence.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

  • Fast growth. Revenue grew 28.8% over the last 12 months, against a median of 16.9% for systems software companies we cover.
  • Growth speeding up. The growth rate is 17.4 points higher than a quarter earlier.
  • Margins widening. Operating margin is up 9.2 points on a year ago.
  • Strong cash generation. 96.9% of revenue turned into free cash flow, against a median of 17.3% for systems software companies we cover.
  • Net cash. Cash exceeds long-term debt by $2.3bn.

Things to watch

  • Share dilution. Diluted shares rose 17.1% in a year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$27.02 against an average estimate of $26.22: beat by 3.1%
Next report
November 4, 2026

Paypay's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+2.5%
  • 1 week+2.5%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

Revenue (TTM)
$2.5B
Operating margin
21.0%
Net margin
30.2%
EPS (TTM, diluted)
$1.19

Growth

Revenue growth
+28.8%
Change in growth rate
+17.4 pts
Share count change
+17.1%

Cash

Free cash flow (TTM)
$2.5B
FCF margin
96.9%
Stock pay % of revenue
0.5%

News & updates

Updated November 2, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

No recent updates are available for PAYP from the sources we follow. See filings →

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: valuation models disagree too widely to rate: held for review.

The inputs used by the models below have passed source checks. Individual model values are available below and in the interactive valuator. Their differences are shown explicitly; the platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld.

Valuation models

We value Paypay Corp as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 10.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.2 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. ~$16 ~$12–$31 Primary model, counts double
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. ~$17 ~$12–$24 Included
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. ~$11 ~$9.6–$13 Included
Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. ~$41 ~$35–$49 Included
Price-to-sales vs peers Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative. — Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review.
Combined value Individual source-checked model scenarios are available. The platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld. — Combined value withheld. Review the individual models and their assumptions.

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Paypay Corp with Systems Software in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 4, 2026, before the open.

Analysts' consensus

No analyst estimates are published for Paypay Corp: too few analysts cover it.

Earnings against estimates

Paypay Corp: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Jun 2026 $26.22 $27.02 +3.1%
Mar 2026 $23.33 $20.98 −10.1%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

13 analysts, Nov 2026
Buy1185%
Hold215%
Sell00%

Monthly trend

  1. Nov 202638213
  2. Oct 202638213
  3. Sep 202629213

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Paypay Corp, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
1.9%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
5.3
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+20%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
5%
of shares
Held by insiders
90.7%
of shares
Employees
1,994
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Recent prices are available. Older price history and the statistics that need it are being loaded in the background.

Price behaviour

52-week range
Not enough history
From 52-week high
—
vs 50-day average
—
vs 200-day average
—
Volatility (1 year)
—
Beta vs S&P 500
—

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Paypay Corp in five measures

Fundamentals grade B+
Growth Profitability Cash Balance sheet

Growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet are percentiles against the companies we cover in the same industry, from SEC filings (100 = best). Value compares the share price with our modelled value range (50 = at our base value; higher = cheaper). A description of reported data and our model — not a quality score or advice.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 20-F. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Where the money goes

FY2026, from the 10-K

Each dollar Paypay took in during FY2026, followed through to profit: what it cost to make, what went on running the business, and what was left after tax.

  1. Revenue $2.5B
  2. Other income $232M · 9.2%
  3. Other operating costs $2B · 79.0%
  4. Operating income $532M · 21.0%
  5. Net income $764M · 30.2%
Where Paypay's revenue went, FY2026
Revenue $2.5B
Other income $232M 9.2% of revenue
Other operating costs $2B 79.0% of revenue
Operating income $532M 21.0% of revenue
Net income $764M 30.2% of revenue

Shares of revenue. Source: Paypay's 10-K for FY2026, as filed with the SEC. "Other" lines are what the reported lines leave unexplained. Other income is income outside operations, such as investment gains.

Financial statements

US$ millions unless shown otherwise. Fiscal years, plus the last twelve months (LTM) when newer.

Paypay Corp: annual financial statements
Fiscal year 2024 Mar 2024 2025 Mar 2025 2026 Mar 2026
Income
Revenue 1,764 1,964 2,530
EBITDA 122 365 690
Operating income 0 233 532
Net income −23 238 764
Diluted EPS −$0.04 $0.43 $1.19
Growth (year on year)
Revenue — +11.3% +28.8%
EBITDA — +200.1% +88.9%
Operating income — — +128.2%
Net income — — +221.8%
Diluted EPS — — +174.7%
Margins
EBITDA margin 6.9% 18.6% 27.3%
Operating margin 0.0% 11.9% 21.0%
Net margin −1.3% 12.1% 30.2%
Free-cash-flow margin 17.8% 50.5% 96.9%
Cash flow
Cash from operations 346 1,024 2,494
Capital spending 32 32 42
Free cash flow 315 992 2,452
Stock-based pay 0 0 12
Free cash flow after stock pay 315 992 2,439
Balance sheet
Cash 4,922 2,467 2,282
Total debt 0 2,666 3,551
Net debt (negative = net cash) −4,922 199 1,269
Diluted shares 550m 550m 644m

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (US and foreign periodic filings); column headings link to the filing. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Growth is left blank when last year's figure was a loss or under 2% of revenue. Share counts and EPS are restated for stock splits. A dash means the company didn't report the figure.

Financial health

1 of 1 checks passed · March 31, 2026
  • Short-term assets cover short-term liabilities The company doesn't report a short-term split. Not assessable.
  • Short-term assets cover long-term liabilities Not assessable from the reported split. Not assessable.
  • More cash than debt Cash or debt not separately reported. Not assessable.
  • Debt below 40% of shareholders' equity Equity or debt not reported. Not assessable.
  • Debt burden no higher than five years ago Five-year comparison not available. Not assessable.
  • A year's operating cash flow covers at least 20% of debt Cash flow or debt not reported. Not assessable.
  • Operating profit covers interest at least five times over Operating income of $532m against $70m of interest.

From Paypay Corp's latest balance sheet as filed. Checks are fixed, documented rules (methodology), counted only where the company reports the figures — a dot means the filing doesn't break the item out. Descriptions of reported data, not advice.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

Diluted share count
+17.1%
year over year

Competitors: side by side with peers

Closest by revenue in systems software
Growth, margins and cash generation against peers
Last 12 months unless stated PAYP CHKP NTNX OKTA ZS PICS Median
Revenue, last 12 months $2.5bn $2.7bn $2.9bn $3.1bn $3.4bn $1.8bn $1.1bn
Revenue growth, last 12 months 28.8% 6.3% 12.4% 11.2% 25.4% 77.3% 16.9%
Revenue growth, 3-year average — 25.0% 15.3% 14.2% 27.5% — 16.1%
Revenue growth, latest quarter — — 15.9% 10.6% 24.9% — 19.6%
Gross margin — 86.7% 86.8% 78.1% 76.8% — 69.6%
Operating margin 21.0% 30.5% 9.6% 7.5% −4.0% 0.4% 3.7%
Operating margin, 3-year average — 40.7% 5.6% −0.1% −4.8% — 4.0%
Net margin 30.2% 38.8% 52.8% 9.6% −1.9% −10.6% 2.4%
Cash from operations / revenue 98.6% 44.0% 32.1% 32.1% 33.7% −36.4% 16.6%
Free-cash-flow margin 96.9% 43.0% 29.5% 31.9% 25.4% −37.0% 15.0%
Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average — 52.0% 28.9% 29.3% 28.3% — 18.8%
Stock pay / revenue 0.5% 7.5% 12.5% 16.4% 24.5% 2.0% 8.2%
Change in share count 17.1% −3.1% −0.6% −1.4% 3.8% >999% 2.7%

Median of all 37 companies we cover in systems software. Shaded: best of the six on that line (lowest for stock pay and share-count growth). 3-year figures average the last three 12-month periods; 3-year growth is compound annual. Source: SEC filings.

Peer comparison

37 systems software companies
Measures ranked against peers
Measure Company Peer median Rank
Revenue growth Growth 28.8% 16.9% 8 of 37
Change in growth rate Growth +17.4pp -0.3pp 6 of 37
Operating margin Profitability 21.0% 3.8% 5 of 34
Net margin Profitability 30.2% 2.4% 4 of 37
Free-cash-flow margin Cash generation 96.9% 17.3% 1 of 34
Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation 0.5% 8.5% 3 of 36
Change in share count Balance sheet 17.1% 3.1% 29 of 34

Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).

Reported value
$409M
Institutions reporting
46
Shares held vs prior quarter
▼ 0.1%
Positions opened / closed
19 / 18

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 28 institutions bought and 31 sold ; the biggest buyer was Valueact Holdings, L.P (+2.2M shares) and the biggest seller Millennium Management LLC (−2.3M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Blackrock, Inc. $54.1M 3.8M 13.2% ▼ 0.7%
Norges Bank $47.3M 3.3M 11.5% —
Alphabet Inc. $44.8M 3.1M 10.9% 0.0%
Evergreen Quality Fund Gp, Ltd. $30.9M 2.2M 7.5% ▲ 89.7%
Valueact Holdings, L.P. $30.9M 2.2M 7.5% New
Holocene Advisors, LP $27.2M 1.9M 6.6% ▲ 6.4%
WCM Investment Management, LLC $22.3M 1.5M 5.4% ▲ 30.3%
Schroder Investment Management Group $21.8M 1.5M 5.3% ▲ 199.2%
Marshall Wace, LLP $19.5M 1.4M 4.8% ▼ 11.2%
Joho Capital LLC $13.8M 962K 3.4% New
Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. $12.2M 854K 3.0% ▲ 33.0%
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group, Inc. $12M 838K 2.9% ▲ 30.6%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Paypay Corp's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Paypay Corp was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Paypay Corp in brief

What does Paypay Corp do?
Paypay Corp is a US-listed company in the systems software industry. Its financial year ends in March.
What is Paypay Corp's stock ticker?
Paypay Corp trades under the ticker PAYP on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
What is Paypay Corp's revenue, and how fast is it growing?
Over its most recent trailing twelve months, Paypay Corp reported revenue of $2.5B, 28.8% higher than a year earlier, according to its SEC filings.
What is Paypay Corp's free cash flow?
Paypay Corp's free-cash-flow margin is 96.9% of revenue over the trailing twelve months, ranking 1 of the 34 systems software companies we cover.
Who are Paypay Corp's largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Blackrock, Inc., Norges Bank and Alphabet Inc. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Who are Paypay Corp's competitors?
In our Systems Software peer group, the companies closest to Paypay Corp are Check Point Software Technologies LTD, Nutanix, Inc., Okta, Inc., Zscaler, Inc. and Pics N.V. The side-by-side comparison below sets their revenue, margins and growth against Paypay Corp's.
When is Paypay Corp's next earnings date?
Around November 4, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Paypay Corp announces its own schedule.