Tennessee Valley Authority announced a director or officer change
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
Tennessee Valley Authority is a US-listed company in the electric utilities industry. Its financial year ends in September.
The Fundamentalytics view
Current signal Results well short of expectations: Reported earnings per share missed the analysts' consensus estimate by 138% in the quarter to 2024-03-31.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
Highlights
How we pick theseStrengths
Nothing in Tennessee Valley Authority's latest figures clears our strength thresholds.
Things to watch
- Missing expectations. Earnings per share fell short of the consensus estimate in 3 of the last four quarters.
Latest results
- Earnings per share
- -$0.06 against an average estimate of $0.16: missed by 137.5%
- Share reaction
- -0.8% in the first session after the results on November 10, 2016, against 0.0% for the S&P 500
Price chart
- 1 day+1.3%
- 1 week+1.8%
- 1 month+1.4%
- This year-1.8%
- 1 year-0.4%
- 5 years-1.1%
- S&P 500 this year+11.2%
Loading chart…
Third-party market data · may be delayed
At a glance
Earnings
- Last results
- November 10, 2016
News & updates
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
- Leadership
- Agreement
Tennessee Valley Authority entered a material agreement; took on a material financial obligation
SEC 8-KRead source ↗
No model value for Tennessee Valley Authority at the moment. Current status: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating. Available reported financials are shown below.
Valuation models
We value Tennessee Valley Authority as an utility or power producer, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 7%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.41 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Utility earnings model Net income growing 3% a year, discounted at 8%: for regulated investment that makes free cash flow negative. | — | Does not apply: net income is not positive |
| Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. | — | Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (utility earnings model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | — | No model applies: the filings don’t yet support a value. |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Tennessee Valley Authority with utilities and power producers in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Moat
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.
Forecasts and guidance
Analysts' consensus
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | — | — | $1.7bn | +24% |
| Next | — | — | $1.9bn | +9% |
Earnings against estimates
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2024 | $0.16 | −$0.06 | −137.5% |
| Sept 2023 | $0.13 | $0.02 | −84.6% |
| Jun 2023 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +25.0% |
| Mar 2023 | $0.04 | $0.00 | −100.0% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Positioning
- Short interest
- — of tradable shares
- Days to cover
- — at average volume
- Short interest, 1 month
- —
- Held by institutions
- — of shares
- Held by insiders
- — of shares
Share-price performance
Market data may be delayedReturn and risk by year
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| TVE | +4% | −14% | +7% | +0% | +12% | −2% |
| Industry peers (median) | +19% | +0% | −4% | +16% | +17% | +5% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| TVE | 58% | 25% | 58% | 50% | 83% | 46% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| TVE | −7% | −22% | −5% | −6% | −2% | −6% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 26% from September 22, 2021 to October 21, 2022. Getting back needed a 35% gain, reached on January 30, 2026, 1197 days after the low.
Price behaviour
- 52-week range
- $22.91 – $24.26
- From 52-week high
- −3.5%
- vs 50-day average
- +1.1%
- vs 200-day average
- −0.3%
- Volatility (1 year)
- 5%
- Beta vs S&P 500
- 0.07
Share price after results
- Next day
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±0.8%
- After a week
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±0.5%
- After a month
- 0 up, 1 down typical move ±1.1%
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 10, 2016 | −0.8% | 0.0% | −0.5% | −1.1% |
Fundamentals
Who owns it
Funds buying and selling- Reported value
- $3.3M
- Institutions reporting
- 1
- Shares held vs prior quarter
- 0.0%
- Positions opened / closed
- 0 / 0
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iat Reinsurance Co Ltd. | $3.3M | 260K | 100.0% | 0.0% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Tennessee Valley Authority's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
Insider trading activity
Full insider history and chart Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders
Net ▲ $0 net buying
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Earnings dates and SEC filings
Results announcements
- November 10, 2016
- November 6, 2014
- April 14, 2011
- November 4, 2008
- August 12, 2008
- December 5, 2007
Recent SEC filings
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 10-Q Quarterly report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
- 8-K Current report
Data status
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
Tennessee Valley Authority in brief
- What does Tennessee Valley Authority do?
- Tennessee Valley Authority is a US-listed company in the electric utilities industry. Its financial year ends in September.
- What is Tennessee Valley Authority's stock ticker?
- Tennessee Valley Authority trades under the ticker TVE on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
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