West Bancorporation Inc: what the price is pricing in
The price implies earnings growth of -2.5% a year; our model expects 10.9%. That gap is wide enough for a long position this quarter. Switch lens below to see the same question asked of earnings, growth, sales and book value.
No published rating for West Bancorporation Inc: valuation models disagree too widely to rate: held for review. The readings below run our models backwards for research and show how trading the gap would have done; they are not a valuation or a rating. The valuation page shows the models and their status.
What growth in earnings is the price paying for?
The price implies earnings growth of -2.5% a year; our model expects 10.9%.
Market more pessimistic than our model: long this quarter
Over time
$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500
Skill or luck?
In plain English: Across 17 quarters with a position, this lens beat the S&P 500 in 8, by +0.0% a quarter on average. That could easily be chance. One company is a small sample: the results across all companies are the better guide.
| Positions | Quarters | Beat the S&P 500 | Average vs S&P 500, a quarter | Typical (median), a quarter | A year | Confidence (t) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 17 | 47.1% | +0.0% | −2.4% | −4.3% | 0.01 | No reliable evidence |
| Shorts | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All positions | 17 | 47.1% | +0.0% | −2.4% | −4.3% | 0.01 | No reliable evidence |
Every quarter (54)
| From | Price paid | Growth the P/E implies | Growth our model assumes | Position | WTBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 (open) | $28.51 | -2.5% | 10.9% | Long | +8.1% | −0.8% |
| June 30, 2026 | $26.53 | -2.3% | 7.7% | No position | +8.4% | +2.4% |
| March 31, 2026 | $23.79 | -3.1% | 7.3% | Long | +12.7% | +15.1% |
| December 31, 2025 | $22.19 | -4.0% | 7.0% | Long | +8.3% | −4.4% |
| September 30, 2025 | $20.32 | -3.6% | 5.3% | No position | +10.5% | +2.7% |
| June 30, 2025 | $19.63 | -2.4% | 4.0% | No position | +4.9% | +8.1% |
| March 31, 2025 | $19.94 | -0.8% | 2.0% | No position | −0.3% | +10.8% |
| December 31, 2024 | $21.65 | 2.5% | 2.0% | No position | −6.8% | −4.3% |
| September 30, 2024 | $19.01 | 0.2% | 4.0% | No position | +15.2% | +2.5% |
| June 30, 2024 | $17.90 | -1.4% | 4.0% | No position | +7.7% | +5.8% |
| March 31, 2024 | $17.83 | -3.1% | 4.0% | No position | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| December 31, 2023 | $21.20 | -3.0% | 4.0% | No position | −14.7% | +10.4% |
| September 30, 2023 | $16.31 | -10.5% | 4.0% | Long | +31.9% | +11.6% |
| June 30, 2023 | $18.41 | -11.5% | 4.0% | Long | −10.3% | −3.2% |
| March 31, 2023 | $18.27 | -13.8% | 4.1% | Long | +2.4% | +8.7% |
| December 31, 2022 | $25.55 | -9.1% | 8.4% | Long | −27.7% | +7.5% |
| September 30, 2022 | $20.81 | -13.0% | 10.5% | Long | +24.2% | +7.6% |
| June 30, 2022 | $24.34 | -10.4% | 11.5% | Long | −13.6% | −4.9% |
| March 31, 2022 | $27.21 | -8.0% | 13.9% | Long | −9.7% | −16.1% |
| December 31, 2021 | $31.07 | -4.6% | 15.5% | Long | −11.7% | −4.6% |
| September 30, 2021 | $30.03 | -3.5% | 17.2% | Long | +4.2% | +11.1% |
| June 30, 2021 | $27.75 | -2.6% | 18.3% | Long | +9.1% | +0.6% |
| March 31, 2021 | $24.09 | -3.4% | 17.0% | Long | +16.2% | +8.4% |
| December 31, 2020 | $19.30 | -6.6% | 14.5% | Long | +26.0% | +6.3% |
| September 30, 2020 | $15.84 | -9.7% | 11.3% | Long | +23.4% | +12.1% |
| June 30, 2020 | $17.49 | -7.3% | 8.0% | Long | −8.3% | +9.0% |
| March 31, 2020 | $16.35 | -7.6% | 5.9% | Long | +8.2% | +20.2% |
| December 31, 2019 | $25.63 | 0.1% | 3.8% | No position | −35.6% | −19.4% |
| September 30, 2019 | $21.74 | -2.5% | 3.0% | No position | +18.9% | +9.0% |
| June 30, 2019 | $21.22 | -3.0% | 2.5% | No position | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| March 31, 2019 | $20.68 | -3.7% | 2.7% | No position | +3.6% | +4.2% |
| December 31, 2018 | $19.09 | -3.2% | 3.9% | No position | +9.3% | +13.5% |
| September 30, 2018 | $23.50 | 0.9% | 4.1% | No position | −18.0% | −13.5% |
| June 30, 2018 | $25.15 | 2.4% | 5.4% | No position | −5.8% | +7.7% |
| March 31, 2018 | $25.60 | 3.6% | 5.2% | No position | −0.9% | +3.5% |
| December 31, 2017 | $25.15 | 1.9% | 4.5% | No position | +2.5% | −1.0% |
| September 30, 2017 | $24.40 | 1.8% | 5.0% | No position | +3.8% | +6.8% |
| June 30, 2017 | $23.65 | 1.8% | 4.7% | No position | +4.0% | +4.4% |
| March 31, 2017 | $22.95 | 1.6% | 5.4% | No position | +3.8% | +3.1% |
| December 31, 2016 | $24.70 | 2.9% | 6.6% | No position | −6.4% | +5.9% |
| September 30, 2016 | $19.60 | -0.9% | 6.5% | No position | +27.2% | +4.0% |
| June 30, 2016 | $18.59 | -1.7% | 6.2% | No position | +6.4% | +3.8% |
| March 31, 2016 | $18.23 | -1.6% | 5.5% | No position | +3.0% | +2.5% |
| December 31, 2015 | $19.75 | -0.1% | 6.4% | No position | −6.8% | +1.3% |
| September 30, 2015 | $18.75 | -0.7% | 6.7% | No position | +6.2% | +7.0% |
| June 30, 2015 | $19.84 | 0.7% | 7.0% | No position | −4.7% | −6.4% |
| March 31, 2015 | $19.89 | 1.3% | 7.6% | No position | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| December 31, 2014 | $17.02 | -0.0% | 5.8% | No position | +17.8% | +0.9% |
| September 30, 2014 | $14.13 | -2.6% | 4.9% | No position | +21.5% | +4.9% |
| June 30, 2014 | $15.23 | -0.8% | 3.4% | No position | −6.5% | +1.1% |
| March 31, 2014 | $15.19 | -0.5% | 3.8% | No position | +1.1% | +5.2% |
| December 31, 2013 | $15.82 | 0.6% | 3.4% | No position | −3.3% | +1.7% |
| September 30, 2013 | $13.80 | 0.0% | 2.1% | No position | +15.6% | +10.5% |
| June 30, 2013 | $11.75 | -2.4% | 4.9% | No position | +18.4% | +5.2% |
Is the price-to-earnings ratio cheap or dear for the growth delivered?
West Bancorporation Inc trades on 12.8 times earnings while its earnings per share grew 3.3% a year: a PEG of 3.93.
Market more optimistic than our model: short this quarter
Over time
$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500
Skill or luck?
In plain English: Across 12 quarters with a position, this lens beat the S&P 500 in 5, by −3.8% a quarter on average. That could easily be chance. One company is a small sample: the results across all companies are the better guide.
| Positions | Quarters | Beat the S&P 500 | Average vs S&P 500, a quarter | Typical (median), a quarter | A year | Confidence (t) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 8 | 25.0% | −6.0% | −7.0% | −25.6% | -1.15 | No reliable evidence |
| Shorts | 4 | 75.0% | +0.6% | +4.5% | −1.2% | 0.08 | Too few quarters |
| All positions | 12 | 41.7% | −3.8% | −6.6% | −18.2% | -0.92 | No reliable evidence |
Every quarter (32)
| From | Price paid | Price-to-earnings ratio (x) | EPS growth, 3 years (%) | Position | WTBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 (open) | $28.51 | 12.8x | 3.3% | Short | +8.1% | −0.8% |
| September 30, 2023 | $16.31 | 8.0x | 2.6% | Short | +31.9% | +11.6% |
| June 30, 2023 | $18.41 | 7.5x | 10.6% | Long | −10.3% | −3.2% |
| March 31, 2023 | $18.27 | 6.6x | 16.6% | Long | +2.4% | +8.7% |
| December 31, 2022 | $25.55 | 8.7x | 19.4% | Long | −27.7% | +7.5% |
| September 30, 2022 | $20.81 | 6.9x | 20.8% | Long | +24.2% | +7.6% |
| June 30, 2022 | $24.34 | 8.0x | 21.1% | Long | −13.6% | −4.9% |
| March 31, 2022 | $27.21 | 9.3x | 19.3% | Long | −9.7% | −16.1% |
| December 31, 2021 | $31.07 | 11.3x | 21.3% | Long | −11.7% | −4.6% |
| September 30, 2021 | $30.03 | 12.1x | 18.4% | Long | +4.2% | +11.1% |
| June 30, 2021 | $27.75 | 12.7x | 13.9% | No position | +9.1% | +0.6% |
| March 31, 2021 | $24.09 | 12.2x | 11.9% | No position | +16.2% | +8.4% |
| December 31, 2020 | $19.30 | 10.0x | 7.9% | No position | +26.0% | +6.3% |
| September 30, 2020 | $15.84 | 8.4x | 8.0% | No position | +23.4% | +12.1% |
| June 30, 2020 | $17.49 | 9.7x | 7.8% | No position | −8.3% | +9.0% |
| March 31, 2020 | $16.35 | 9.5x | 6.9% | No position | +8.2% | +20.2% |
| December 31, 2019 | $25.63 | 14.9x | 6.7% | No position | −35.6% | −19.4% |
| September 30, 2019 | $21.74 | 12.8x | 6.8% | No position | +18.9% | +9.0% |
| June 30, 2019 | $21.22 | 12.4x | 7.2% | No position | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| March 31, 2019 | $20.68 | 11.9x | 8.8% | No position | +3.6% | +4.2% |
| December 31, 2018 | $19.09 | 12.3x | 4.9% | No position | +9.3% | +13.5% |
| September 30, 2018 | $23.50 | 15.6x | 4.5% | Short | −18.0% | −13.5% |
| June 30, 2018 | $25.15 | 16.9x | 4.8% | Short | −5.8% | +7.7% |
| March 31, 2018 | $25.60 | 18.2x | 4.2% | Short | −0.9% | +3.5% |
| December 31, 2017 | $25.15 | 16.5x | 9.8% | No position | +2.5% | −1.0% |
| September 30, 2017 | $24.40 | 16.4x | 10.4% | No position | +3.8% | +6.8% |
| June 30, 2017 | $23.65 | 16.4x | 10.7% | No position | +4.0% | +4.4% |
| March 31, 2017 | $22.95 | 16.2x | 11.9% | No position | +3.8% | +3.1% |
| December 31, 2016 | $24.70 | 17.4x | 13.5% | No position | −6.4% | +5.9% |
| September 30, 2016 | $19.60 | 14.1x | 15.2% | No position | +27.2% | +4.0% |
| June 30, 2016 | $18.59 | 13.4x | 14.9% | No position | +6.4% | +3.8% |
| March 31, 2016 | $18.23 | 13.5x | 13.8% | No position | +3.0% | +2.5% |
What return on equity is the price paying for?
The price implies a return on equity of 13.0%; the company earned 14.7%.
Gap too narrow for a position this quarter
Over time
$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500
Skill or luck?
In plain English: Across 8 quarters with a position, this lens beat the S&P 500 in 4, by −0.3% a quarter on average. That could easily be chance. One company is a small sample: the results across all companies are the better guide.
| Positions | Quarters | Beat the S&P 500 | Average vs S&P 500, a quarter | Typical (median), a quarter | A year | Confidence (t) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 8 | 50.0% | −0.3% | +0.1% | −7.5% | -0.05 | No reliable evidence |
| Shorts | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All positions | 8 | 50.0% | −0.3% | +0.1% | −7.5% | -0.05 | No reliable evidence |
Every quarter (54)
| From | Price paid | Return on equity the price implies | Return on equity delivered | Position | WTBA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 (open) | $28.51 | 13.0% | 14.7% | No position | +8.1% | −0.8% |
| June 30, 2026 | $26.53 | 12.6% | 13.9% | No position | +8.4% | +2.4% |
| March 31, 2026 | $23.79 | 11.6% | 13.2% | No position | +12.7% | +15.1% |
| December 31, 2025 | $22.19 | 11.4% | 13.1% | No position | +8.3% | −4.4% |
| September 30, 2025 | $20.32 | 11.1% | 12.4% | No position | +10.5% | +2.7% |
| June 30, 2025 | $19.63 | 10.9% | 11.3% | No position | +4.9% | +8.1% |
| March 31, 2025 | $19.94 | 11.4% | 10.6% | No position | −0.3% | +10.8% |
| December 31, 2024 | $21.65 | 11.8% | 9.8% | No position | −6.8% | −4.3% |
| September 30, 2024 | $19.01 | 11.1% | 9.7% | No position | +15.2% | +2.5% |
| June 30, 2024 | $17.90 | 10.6% | 10.0% | No position | +7.7% | +5.8% |
| March 31, 2024 | $17.83 | 10.4% | 11.1% | No position | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| December 31, 2023 | $21.20 | 13.0% | 14.2% | No position | −14.7% | +10.4% |
| September 30, 2023 | $16.31 | 10.1% | 15.8% | Long | +31.9% | +11.6% |
| June 30, 2023 | $18.41 | 11.1% | 18.1% | Long | −10.3% | −3.2% |
| March 31, 2023 | $18.27 | 11.2% | 19.7% | Long | +2.4% | +8.7% |
| December 31, 2022 | $25.55 | 15.4% | 21.9% | Long | −27.7% | +7.5% |
| September 30, 2022 | $20.81 | 12.2% | 21.8% | Long | +24.2% | +7.6% |
| June 30, 2022 | $24.34 | 12.9% | 21.7% | Long | −13.6% | −4.9% |
| March 31, 2022 | $27.21 | 13.1% | 20.5% | Long | −9.7% | −16.1% |
| December 31, 2021 | $31.07 | 14.9% | 19.8% | No position | −11.7% | −4.6% |
| September 30, 2021 | $30.03 | 14.8% | 18.3% | No position | +4.2% | +11.1% |
| June 30, 2021 | $27.75 | 14.4% | 16.7% | No position | +9.1% | +0.6% |
| March 31, 2021 | $24.09 | 13.2% | 15.0% | No position | +16.2% | +8.4% |
| December 31, 2020 | $19.30 | 11.4% | 15.2% | No position | +26.0% | +6.3% |
| September 30, 2020 | $15.84 | 10.0% | 15.2% | Long | +23.4% | +12.1% |
| June 30, 2020 | $17.49 | 11.1% | 15.1% | No position | −8.3% | +9.0% |
| March 31, 2020 | $16.35 | 10.2% | 14.2% | No position | +8.2% | +20.2% |
| December 31, 2019 | $25.63 | 14.9% | 14.6% | No position | −35.6% | −19.4% |
| September 30, 2019 | $21.74 | 13.1% | 14.5% | No position | +18.9% | +9.0% |
| June 30, 2019 | $21.22 | 13.1% | 15.0% | No position | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| March 31, 2019 | $20.68 | 13.2% | 15.4% | No position | +3.6% | +4.2% |
| December 31, 2018 | $19.09 | 12.7% | 14.1% | No position | +9.3% | +13.5% |
| September 30, 2018 | $23.50 | 15.2% | 13.8% | No position | −18.0% | −13.5% |
| June 30, 2018 | $25.15 | 16.4% | 14.0% | No position | −5.8% | +7.7% |
| March 31, 2018 | $25.60 | 16.6% | 13.4% | No position | −0.9% | +3.5% |
| December 31, 2017 | $25.15 | 16.3% | 14.5% | No position | +2.5% | −1.0% |
| September 30, 2017 | $24.40 | 16.1% | 14.5% | No position | +3.8% | +6.8% |
| June 30, 2017 | $23.65 | 16.1% | 14.3% | No position | +4.0% | +4.4% |
| March 31, 2017 | $22.95 | 16.0% | 14.5% | No position | +3.8% | +3.1% |
| December 31, 2016 | $24.70 | 17.1% | 14.6% | No position | −6.4% | +5.9% |
| September 30, 2016 | $19.60 | 14.3% | 14.7% | No position | +27.2% | +4.0% |
| June 30, 2016 | $18.59 | 13.9% | 14.9% | No position | +6.4% | +3.8% |
| March 31, 2016 | $18.23 | 14.1% | 14.9% | No position | +3.0% | +2.5% |
| December 31, 2015 | $19.75 | 15.3% | 15.2% | No position | −6.8% | +1.3% |
| September 30, 2015 | $18.75 | 14.9% | 15.3% | No position | +6.2% | +7.0% |
| June 30, 2015 | $19.84 | 15.8% | 15.3% | No position | −4.7% | −6.4% |
| March 31, 2015 | $19.89 | 16.2% | 15.2% | No position | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| December 31, 2014 | $17.02 | 14.6% | 14.4% | No position | +17.8% | +0.9% |
| September 30, 2014 | $14.13 | 12.8% | 14.0% | No position | +21.5% | +4.9% |
| June 30, 2014 | $15.23 | 14.0% | 13.1% | No position | −6.5% | +1.1% |
| March 31, 2014 | $15.19 | 14.3% | 13.1% | No position | +1.1% | +5.2% |
| December 31, 2013 | $15.82 | 15.1% | 13.0% | No position | −3.3% | +1.7% |
| September 30, 2013 | $13.80 | 14.1% | 12.6% | No position | +15.6% | +10.5% |
| June 30, 2013 | $11.75 | 11.5% | 12.2% | No position | +18.4% | +5.2% |
How the test works
At each quarter end since March 2010 we rebuild the models from West Bancorporation Inc's quarters ending at least 90 days earlier (and no more than 200 days before that), using the figures as later filed, including any restatement, and value them at that day's close, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs so that price and share count are on the same basis. A wide enough gap is a long or a short for one quarter (growth 10 points; margin and return on equity 5 points; a PEG under 0.75 or over 3), measured on total return against the S&P 500. The rules were set before the test. No trading or borrowing costs; today's list of companies. Not investment advice. All companies and the results across them.
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