undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Austin Scott

Backtest from 27 Sept 2017 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+1.7%
S&P 500 +14.7%
Last 12 months
−41.6%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.24
S&P 500 0.70
Biggest drop
−89.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$5.0k$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 20172019202120232025 $34.7k$11.7k
Austin ScottS&P 500 $10,000 in Austin Scott from 27 Sept 2017 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Austin Scott (Republican, GA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Austin Scott's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+1.7%+14.7%
Total return+17%+247%
Last 12 months−41.6%+12.1%
Last 3 months−26.3%—
Last month−12.8%—
This year so far−22.6%—
Volatility a year52.4%17.7%
Sharpe ratio0.240.70
Biggest drop−89.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.591.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−7.3% (−0.50)—
Share of weeks up49%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 82 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
GEHC29.8%14 Aug 2026+8.0%
CLNE21.1%15 Aug 2022−81.9%
PLUG20.5%18 Oct 2021−96.0%
BLDP18.4%19 May 2021−90.1%
FCEL7.0%24 Oct 2017−98.7%
KPLT3.3%16 Aug 2021−86.1%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest27 Sept 2017 to 2 Nov 2026+1.7%+14.7%0.240.70−89.3%1.59−7.3% (−0.50)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+3.6%+13.9%0.280.66−89.3%1.59−4.3% (−0.29)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+8.2%+21.8%0.301.16−60.5%1.56−10.8% (−0.44)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026−38.3%+14.2%−0.840.84−60.5%1.31−52.8% (−1.15)
DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2026GEHCBought
12 Aug 2024GEBought
15 Aug 2022FBought
15 Aug 2022CLNEBought
15 Aug 2022BEBought
18 Oct 2021PLUGBought
18 Oct 2021BEBought
16 Aug 2021KPLTBought
16 Aug 2021BRK.BBought
1 Jul 2021CLNEBought
19 May 2021BLDPBought
5 Apr 2021PLUGBought
16 Feb 2021JNJBought
31 Dec 2020TBought
31 Dec 2020FBought
21 Sept 2020BEBought
14 Aug 2018GEBought
24 Oct 2017PLUGBought
24 Oct 2017FCELBought
24 Oct 2017CLNEBought
27 Sept 2017GRMNBought
27 Sept 2017BLDPBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
14 Aug 2025GESold
14 Aug 2025FSold
14 Aug 2025BESold
15 Aug 2022GESold
22 Oct 2021CLNESold
22 Oct 2021BESold
18 Oct 2021TSold
18 Oct 2021JNJSold
18 Oct 2021FSold
18 Oct 2021BRK.BSold
19 May 2021PLUGSold
31 Dec 2020PLUGSold
31 Dec 2020CLNESold
31 Dec 2020BLDPSold
31 Dec 2020BESold
24 Oct 2017GRMNSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest