undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Ed Whitfield

Backtest from 9 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+10.6%
S&P 500 +13.6%
Last 12 months
+9.9%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.51
S&P 500 0.72
Biggest drop
−37.9%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201520172019202120232025 $45.0k$32.8k
Ed WhitfieldS&P 500 $10,000 in Ed Whitfield from 9 Jan 2015 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Ed Whitfield (Independent, KY) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Ed Whitfield's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+10.6%+13.6%
Total return+228%+350%
Last 12 months+9.9%+12.1%
Last 3 months−3.7%—
Last month−3.8%—
This year so far+10.0%—
Volatility a year19.1%16.5%
Sharpe ratio0.510.72
Biggest drop−37.9%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5001.021.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)−2.4% (−0.89)—
Share of weeks up56%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 70 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
AMZN16.1%19 Jan 2016+766.2%
AVGO11.9%15 Jun 2016+2587.2%
MU11.4%9 Jan 2015+2476.8%
COST11.1%3 Feb 2016+747.2%
GOOGL10.4%19 Jan 2016+695.6%
MSFT5.1%3 Feb 2016+1039.8%
WFC3.9%17 Aug 2015+101.7%
GE3.4%19 Jan 2016+162.0%
NOW3.2%15 Jun 2016+625.9%
NXPI3.1%15 Jun 2016+244.2%
GILD3.0%16 Sept 2015+123.6%
V2.6%12 Apr 2016+483.9%
KR2.0%15 May 2015+134.4%
TMUS1.9%14 Jul 2015+323.5%
DEA1.8%14 Jul 2015+14.1%
LH1.6%16 Sept 2015+263.0%
COF1.5%17 Dec 2015+244.8%
AEP1.3%3 Feb 2016+200.5%
VTR1.1%16 Sept 2015+152.6%
EGBN0.8%19 Jan 2016−4.4%
IP0.8%3 Feb 2016+82.4%
PYPL0.7%11 Mar 2016+50.0%
VC0.6%19 Jan 2016+30.1%
LBTYK0.4%5 Aug 2016−50.0%
CHTR0.2%21 Oct 2016−54.8%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest9 Jan 2015 to 2 Nov 2026+10.6%+13.6%0.510.72−37.9%1.02−2.4% (−0.89)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+15.3%+13.9%0.690.66−30.0%1.00+1.5% (0.61)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+26.4%+21.8%1.141.16−19.9%1.19+1.4% (0.33)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+11.6%+14.2%0.470.84−10.9%1.37−5.0% (−0.60)
DateCompanyAction
21 Oct 2016CHTRBought
5 Aug 2016LBTYKBought
15 Jun 2016NXPIBought
15 Jun 2016NOWBought
15 Jun 2016AVGOBought
12 Apr 2016VBought
11 Mar 2016PYPLBought
3 Feb 2016MSFTBought
3 Feb 2016LLYBought
3 Feb 2016IPBought
3 Feb 2016COSTBought
3 Feb 2016BIIBBought
3 Feb 2016AEPBought
19 Jan 2016VCBought
19 Jan 2016GOOGLBought
19 Jan 2016GEBought
19 Jan 2016EGBNBought
19 Jan 2016AMZNBought
17 Dec 2015COFBought
19 Oct 2015MMMBought
16 Sept 2015VTRBought
16 Sept 2015LHBought
16 Sept 2015GILDBought
17 Aug 2015WFCBought
14 Jul 2015TMUSBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
11 May 2016BIIBSold
12 Apr 2016LLYSold
3 Feb 2016MMMSold
19 Jan 2016CATSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest