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Congress: members

Tom Rice

Backtest from 20 Dec 2018 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+15.7%
S&P 500 +17.0%
Last 12 months
+16.3%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.69
S&P 500 0.80
Biggest drop
−30.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k 201820192020202120222023202420252026 $34.5k$31.5k
Tom RiceS&P 500 $10,000 in Tom Rice from 20 Dec 2018 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Tom Rice (Republican, SC) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Tom Rice's trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+15.7%+17.0%
Total return+215%+245%
Last 12 months+16.3%+12.1%
Last 3 months+8.6%—
Last month+10.5%—
This year so far+11.5%—
Volatility a year19.7%17.9%
Sharpe ratio0.690.80
Biggest drop−30.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.721.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+3.2% (0.59)—
Share of weeks up55%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 16 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
BRK.B100.0%20 Dec 2018+187.0%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest20 Dec 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+15.7%+17.0%0.690.80−30.3%0.72+3.2% (0.59)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+16.5%+21.8%0.771.16−13.8%0.36+6.0% (0.71)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+11.5%+14.2%0.580.84−8.8%0.17+6.1% (0.45)
DateCompanyAction
14 Jan 2020TDYBought
20 Nov 2019INMDBought
19 Aug 2019GEBought
25 Jul 2019SHOPBought
20 Dec 2018BRK.BBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
3 Mar 2020TDYSold
3 Mar 2020SHOPSold
3 Mar 2020INMDSold
3 Mar 2020GESold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest