Airo Group Holdings, Inc. is a US-listed company in the aerospace & defense industry. Its financial year ends in December.
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~$6.5
Price-to-sales vs peers
Base case. Range ~$6.1–$18. Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative.
No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.
Airo Group Holdings, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
Revenue for the twelve months to June 2026 was $107m. Free-cash-flow margin fell to -53.4% from -2.8% a year earlier. Operating margin widened to -20.2% from -37.1%. It passes 2 of our 2 financial-health checks. Our price-to-sales vs peers value is $6.23 a share, against a share price of $5.52.
Source: 10-Q filed August 13, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation
Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.
Airo Group Holdings, Inc.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 6.9% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of -53.4%.
Current signal Net income rising while operating cash flow falls: TTM net income grew 6.4% while operating cash flow fell 3399.5% — earnings and cash are telling different stories.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
We value Airo Group Holdings, Inc. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 10.2%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.16 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. | — | Does not apply: no positive earnings in the latest twelve months |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | ~$0.7 ~$0.1–$1.7 | Left out: out of range vs price (0.13x) |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: return on equity is not positive |
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value |
| Price-to-sales vs peers Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative. | ~$6.5 ~$6.1–$18 | Included, half weight |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (price-to-earnings vs peers) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$6.5 ~$6.1–$18 | 1 model |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Airo Group Holdings, Inc. with Aerospace & Defense in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
| At fiscal year end | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Share price | $8.18 |
| Market value | $194m |
| + Net debt (− = net cash) | −$72m |
| Enterprise value | $122m |
| Multiples | |
| Price / sales | 2.1x |
| Price / earnings | — |
| Price / free cash flow | — |
| EV / EBITDA | — |
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.
Next results: November 12, 2026, before the open. Analysts expect revenue of $19m and EPS of −$0.69 (range −$0.69 to −$0.69) for the quarter.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | −$1.32 | +28% | $110m | +21% |
| Next | −$1.23 | +7% | $158m | +44% |
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +109.5% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 0 analysts raised Airo Group Holdings, Inc.'s forecast and 1 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | −$0.63 | −$0.19 |
| 60 days ago | −$1.19 | −$0.65 |
| 30 days ago | −$1.19 | −$0.65 |
| 7 days ago | −$1.19 | −$0.65 |
| Now | −$1.32 | −$1.23 |
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | −$0.29 | −$0.04 | +85.1% |
| Mar 2026 | −$0.27 | −$0.49 | −81.5% |
| Sept 2025 | −$0.01 | −$0.39 | −3833.2% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
| Calendar year | 2026 to date |
|---|---|
| Return | |
| AIRO | −37% |
| Industry peers (median) | −11% |
| S&P 500 | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | |
| AIRO | 46% |
| S&P 500 | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | |
| AIRO | −65% |
| S&P 500 | −9% |
Worst fall since June 13, 2025: 85% from June 16, 2025 to October 23, 2026. Getting back needed a 553% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | +12.7% | +0.5% | −2.9% | −14.6% |
| May 14, 2026 | −18.6% | −0.4% | −20.1% | +4.2% |
| March 31, 2026 | −4.1% | +3.7% | +2.9% | −10.9% |
| November 14, 2025 | −19.0% | −0.9% | −37.3% | −39.7% |
| August 14, 2025 | +1.7% | −0.2% | +7.1% | −7.1% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY25 Q1 | $85M |
| FY25 Q2 | $99.8M |
| FY25 Q3 | $82.4M |
| FY25 Q4 | $90.9M |
| FY26 Q1 | $88M |
| FY26 Q2 | $106.6M |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Operating margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY25 Q1 | -23.6% |
| FY25 Q2 | -37.1% |
| FY25 Q3 | -22.7% |
| FY25 Q4 | -31.6% |
| FY26 Q1 | -48.7% |
| FY26 Q2 | -20.2% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | FCF margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY25 Q2 | -2.8% |
| FY25 Q3 | -18.0% |
| FY25 Q4 | -39.1% |
| FY26 Q1 | -51.0% |
| FY26 Q2 | -53.4% |
| Fiscal year | 2024 Dec 2024 | 2025 Dec 2025 | LTM Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Income | |||
| Revenue | 87 | 91 | 107 |
| Gross profit | 58 | 54 | 62 |
| EBITDA | −5 | −17 | −10 |
| Operating income | −17 | −29 | −21 |
| Net income | −39 | −4 | −25 |
| Diluted EPS | −$2.36 | −$0.17 | — |
| Growth (year on year) | |||
| Revenue | — | +4.6% | +6.9% |
| Margins | |||
| Gross margin | 67.1% | 59.9% | 58.6% |
| EBITDA margin | −5.5% | −18.4% | −9.1% |
| Operating margin | −20.1% | −31.6% | −20.2% |
| Net margin | −44.5% | −4.5% | −23.9% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 23.8% | −39.1% | −53.4% |
| Cash flow | |||
| Cash from operations | 21 | −32 | −50 |
| Capital spending | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| Free cash flow | 21 | −36 | −57 |
| Stock-based pay | 1 | 20 | 4 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | 20 | −55 | −61 |
| Balance sheet | |||
| Cash | 21 | 75 | 26 |
| Total debt | 35 | 3 | 7 |
| Net debt (negative = net cash) | 14 | −72 | −19 |
| Diluted shares | 16m | 24m | — |
| Returned to shareholders | |||
| Buybacks | — | 19 | — |
| Total returned | — | 19 | — |
| Quarter | 2024 Q3 Sept 2024 | 2024 Q4 Dec 2024 | 2025 Q1 Mar 2025 | 2025 Q2 Jun 2025 | 2025 Q3 Sept 2025 | 2025 Q4 Dec 2025 | 2026 Q1 Mar 2026 | 2026 Q2 Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||||
| Revenue | 24 | 40 | 12 | 25 | 6 | 48 | 9 | 43 |
| Gross profit | 16 | 28 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 30 | 2 | 28 |
| EBITDA | −27 | 19 | −0 | −17 | −8 | 9 | −15 | 4 |
| Operating income | −30 | 16 | −3 | −20 | −12 | 6 | −17 | 2 |
| Net income | −30 | −1 | −2 | 6 | −8 | −0 | −15 | −2 |
| Diluted EPS | −$1.85 | −$0.04 | −$0.12 | $0.30 | −$0.28 | $0.02 | −$0.49 | −$0.06 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||||
| Revenue | — | — | — | +151.0% | −73.5% | +21.5% | −24.5% | +75.9% |
| EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — | −53.5% | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — | −62.8% | — | — |
| Net income | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −134.0% |
| Diluted EPS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −120.0% |
| Margins | ||||||||
| Gross margin | 68.7% | 69.9% | 58.8% | 61.2% | 44.4% | 61.4% | 26.6% | 64.1% |
| EBITDA margin | −115.0% | 48.5% | −2.5% | −69.6% | −132.7% | 18.6% | −163.5% | 9.9% |
| Operating margin | −128.2% | 40.5% | −26.1% | −80.2% | −190.7% | 12.4% | −192.8% | 3.8% |
| Net margin | −128.1% | −1.9% | −16.7% | 23.9% | −126.7% | −0.1% | −173.6% | −4.6% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 22.3% | 59.7% | −85.6% | −88.5% | −106.7% | 6.3% | −218.8% | −78.2% |
| Cash flow | ||||||||
| Cash from operations | 5 | 24 | −10 | −21 | −6 | 4 | −17 | −31 |
| Capital spending | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Free cash flow | 5 | 24 | −10 | −22 | −7 | 3 | −19 | −34 |
| Stock-based pay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | 5 | 24 | −10 | −29 | −8 | 3 | −21 | −35 |
| Last 12 months unless stated | AIRO | BKSY | CEPL | SIF | JOBY | IA | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $107m | $109m | $103m | $99m | $116m | $93m | $727m |
| Revenue growth, last 12 months | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 18.8% | >999% | 20.3% | 15.0% |
| Revenue growth, 3-year average | — | 13.7% | 9.3% | 14.8% | — | 47.4% | 12.6% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter | 75.9% | 50.1% | −10.6% | 18.3% | >999% | 10.7% | 15.9% |
| Gross margin | 58.6% | — | 34.0% | 16.6% | — | 54.9% | 28.2% |
| Operating margin | −20.2% | −43.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | −759.2% | 27.4% | 8.5% |
| Operating margin, 3-year average | — | −42.8% | −7.3% | −2.3% | <−999% | 22.8% | 6.0% |
| Net margin | −23.9% | −61.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | −755.1% | 20.5% | 5.5% |
| Cash from operations / revenue | −47.3% | −49.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | −524.5% | 19.9% | 5.1% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | −53.4% | −63.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | −639.2% | 15.3% | 3.3% |
| Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average | — | −27.2% | −7.4% | −0.6% | <−999% | 11.7% | 3.0% |
| Stock pay / revenue | 3.5% | 15.0% | 0.8% | — | 146.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Change in share count | — | — | 28.4% | 1.4% | 22.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% |
| Line of business | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drones | $79.1M | 87.0% | ▲ 5.9% |
| Avionics | $6.9M | 7.6% | ▼ 20.1% |
| Training | $4.9M | 5.4% | ▲ 37.1% |
| Line of business | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | $90.9M | 100.0% | ▲ 4.6% |
| Products (part of Other) | $80.8M | 88.9% | ▲ 0.2% |
| Services (part of Other) | $10.1M | 11.1% | ▲ 61.1% |
| Region | Revenue | Share | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | $78M | 85.8% | ▲ 3.5% |
| United States | $9.3M | 10.2% | ▼ 7.5% |
| Other | $3.6M | 4.0% | ▲ 132.4% |
From Airo Group Holdings, Inc.'s 10-K filed March 31, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woodline Partners LP | $20.6M | 2.8M | 24.5% | ▲ 1.2% |
| Blackrock, Inc. | $9.6M | 1.3M | 11.4% | ▲ 15.3% |
| Hightower Advisors, LLC | $7.2M | 970K | 8.5% | ▼ 0.8% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $5.9M | 798K | 7.0% | ▼ 0.1% |
| Brighton Jones LLC | $5M | 683K | 6.0% | ▲ 0.2% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | $3.3M | 450K | 4.0% | ▲ 13.3% |
| State Street Corp | $2.8M | 381K | 3.3% | ▲ 21.0% |
| Millennium Management LLC | $2.8M | 376K | 3.3% | New |
| Defiance Etfs, LLC | $2.1M | 272K | 2.5% | ▲ 63.5% |
| Penserra Capital Management LLC | $2M | 267K | 2.3% | ▲ 60.5% |
| Vident Advisory, LLC | $1.7M | 234K | 2.1% | ▼ 4.1% |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | $1.5M | 202K | 1.8% | ▲ 183.6% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Airo Group Holdings, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
| Insider | Date | Trade | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uczekaj John President and COO | September 2, 2026 | Sell | 7,230 | $7.10 | $51,333 |
| Pylypiv Mariya Chief Financial Officer | September 2, 2026 | Sell | 8,697 | $7.08 | $61,575 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | August 14, 2026 | Sell | 15,457 | $9.61 | $148,542 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | August 14, 2026 | Sell | 1,430 | $10.86 | $15,530 |
| Pylypiv Mariya Chief Financial Officer | August 14, 2026 | Sell | 17,690 | $9.61 | $170,001 |
| Pylypiv Mariya Chief Financial Officer | August 14, 2026 | Sell | 1,699 | $10.86 | $18,451 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | July 6, 2026 | Sell | 154 | $7.76 | $1,195 |
| Pylypiv Mariya Chief Financial Officer | June 17, 2026 | Sell | 30,028 | $7.66 | $230,014 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | April 6, 2026 | Sell | 3,415 | $8.84 | $30,189 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | April 6, 2026 | Sell | 144 | $8.84 | $1,273 |
| Uczekaj John President and COO | March 12, 2026 | Sell | 396 | $10.43 | $4,130 |
| Pylypiv Mariya Chief Financial Officer | March 12, 2026 | Sell | 20,078 | $10.26 | $206,000 |
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Next expected around November 13, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| Financial statements | SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
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