Arbe Robotics Ltd. is a US-listed company in the semiconductors industry. Its financial year ends in December.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Under review: every model's value for Arbe Robotics Ltd. is far from the share price, which usually points to a data problem (a merger, a share-count change, a one-off) rather than a bargain or a bubble.
Under review: free cash flow after stock pay is not positive. We'll show the comparison once resolved.
Arbe Robotics Ltd. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
Arbe Robotics has little or no product revenue yet; it used $38m of cash in the twelve months. The diluted share count is up 37.6% on a year earlier, which dilutes existing holders. It passes 1 of our 1 financial-health checks.
Our model value for Arbe Robotics is under review, so past values are not shown until it is resolved.
Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.
Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 33.6% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of -3745.3%. Where it stands out: change in growth rate of +81.3pp ranks 4 of 75 semiconductor companies we cover. Where it lags: gross margin of -78.2% ranks 73 of 73 semiconductor companies we cover.
Current signal Revenue growth accelerating: TTM revenue growth rose to 33.6% (+81.3pp vs the prior quarter).
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
No recent updates are available for ARBE from the sources we follow. See filings →
The inputs used by the models below have passed source checks. Individual model values are available below and in the interactive valuator. Their differences are shown explicitly; the platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld.
We value Arbe Robotics Ltd. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 13.6%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.92 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | — | Does not apply: This model is withheld pending its input or assumption review. |
| Price-to-sales vs peers Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative. | ~$0.0 ~$0.0–$0.1 | Left out: out of range vs price (0.02x) |
| Combined value Individual source-checked model scenarios are available. The platform combined value and recommendation remain withheld. | — | Combined value withheld. Review the individual models and their assumptions. |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Arbe Robotics Ltd. with Semiconductors in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
| At fiscal year end | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share price | $10.14 | $9.30 | $3.41 | $2.18 | $1.86 | $1.18 |
| Market value | $280m | $615m | $217m | $157m | $151m | $131m |
| + Net debt (− = net cash) | −$302000 | −$101m | −$54m | −$29m | $17m | $21m |
| Enterprise value | $280m | $514m | $163m | $128m | $168m | $152m |
| Multiples | ||||||
| Price / sales | n/m | n/m | 61.7x | 106.9x | 196.0x | 128.1x |
| Price / earnings | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Price / free cash flow | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.
Next results: November 19, 2026, before the open. Analysts expect revenue of $854500 and EPS of −$0.06 (range −$0.06 to −$0.06) for the quarter.
| Fiscal year | EPS | Growth | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | −$0.25 | +19% | $4m | +302% |
| Next | −$0.14 | +44% | $22m | +427% |
The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +4.2% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 1 analyst raised Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s forecast and 0 cut it.
Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).
| Period | Current fiscal year | Next fiscal year |
|---|---|---|
| 90 days ago | −$0.24 | −$0.13 |
| 60 days ago | −$0.24 | −$0.13 |
| 30 days ago | −$0.25 | −$0.15 |
| 7 days ago | −$0.25 | −$0.15 |
| Now | −$0.25 | −$0.14 |
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | −$0.06 | −$0.06 | 0.0% |
| Mar 2026 | −$0.07 | −$0.08 | −14.3% |
| Dec 2025 | −$0.07 | −$0.08 | −6.7% |
| Sept 2025 | −$0.07 | −$0.08 | −14.3% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| ARBE | −8% | −63% | −36% | −15% | −37% | −64% |
| Industry peers (median) | +36% | −34% | +16% | −9% | +19% | +17% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| ARBE | 33% | 25% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 36% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| ARBE | −40% | −68% | −75% | −36% | −77% | −79% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since October 30, 2020: 97% from November 11, 2021 to October 30, 2026. Getting back needed a 3673% gain, and the shares have not yet recovered.
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved Invalid Date.
| Period | Revenue (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY20 Q4 | $332K |
| FY21 Q4 | $2.2M |
| FY22 Q4 | $3.5M |
| FY23 Q4 | $1.5M |
| FY24 Q4 | $768K |
| FY25 Q4 | $1M |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved Invalid Date.
| Period | Revenue growth, TTM YoY |
|---|---|
| FY21 Q4 | 577.4% |
| FY22 Q4 | 56.4% |
| FY23 Q4 | -58.2% |
| FY24 Q4 | -47.8% |
| FY25 Q4 | 33.6% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved Invalid Date.
| Period | Operating margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY20 Q4 | -4505.4% |
| FY21 Q4 | -1479.7% |
| FY22 Q4 | -1357.2% |
| FY23 Q4 | -3189.5% |
| FY24 Q4 | -6465.2% |
| FY25 Q4 | -4698.3% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved Invalid Date.
| Period | FCF margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY20 Q4 | -4650.9% |
| FY21 Q4 | -1209.4% |
| FY22 Q4 | -1173.7% |
| FY23 Q4 | -2296.7% |
| FY24 Q4 | -4313.0% |
| FY25 Q4 | -3745.3% |
| Fiscal year | 2020 Dec 2020 | 2021 Dec 2021 | 2022 Dec 2022 | 2023 Dec 2023 | 2024 Dec 2024 | 2025 Dec 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||
| Revenue | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gross profit | −0 | 1 | 2 | −0 | −1 | −1 |
| EBITDA | −15 | −33 | −47 | −46 | −49 | −48 |
| Operating income | −15 | −33 | −48 | −47 | −50 | −48 |
| Net income | −16 | −58 | −40 | −44 | −49 | −46 |
| Diluted EPS | −$0.57 | −$0.88 | −$0.66 | −$0.61 | −$0.61 | −$0.42 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||
| Revenue | — | +577.4% | +56.4% | −58.2% | −47.8% | +33.6% |
| Margins | ||||||
| Gross margin | −2.4% | 36.0% | 63.5% | −2.6% | −102.2% | −78.2% |
| EBITDA margin | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% |
| Operating margin | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% |
| Net margin | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% |
| Cash flow | ||||||
| Cash from operations | −15 | −26 | −40 | −34 | −33 | −38 |
| Capital spending | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Free cash flow | −15 | −27 | −41 | −34 | −33 | −38 |
| Stock-based pay | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 9 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | −16 | −29 | −50 | −47 | −48 | −48 |
| Balance sheet | ||||||
| Cash | 3 | 101 | 54 | 29 | 13 | 4 |
| Total debt | 3 | — | 0 | 0 | 31 | 25 |
| Net debt (negative = net cash) | −0 | −101 | −54 | −29 | 17 | 21 |
| Diluted shares | 28m | 66m | 64m | 72m | 81m | 111m |
| Returned to shareholders | ||||||
| Dividends | — | — | 525 | 525 | — | — |
| Total returned | — | — | 525 | 525 | — | — |
| Last 12 months unless stated | ARBE | SMTK | GCTS | ALMU | ASTI | MOBX | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $1m | $662000 | $4m | $4m | $191335 | $6m | $1.1bn |
| Revenue growth, last 12 months | 33.6% | 582.5% | −32.8% | −4.4% | 365.1% | −49.8% | 13.7% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter | — | −100.0% | −17.9% | −55.8% | 461.3% | −66.4% | 20.1% |
| Gross margin | −78.2% | 62.7% | −38.3% | 35.2% | — | 33.0% | 48.3% |
| Operating margin | <−999% | <−999% | −852.0% | −168.8% | <−999% | −533.8% | 4.8% |
| Operating margin, 3-year average | — | <−999% | −461.4% | −222.1% | <−999% | −605.7% | 4.8% |
| Net margin | <−999% | <−999% | <−999% | −205.3% | <−999% | −879.3% | 5.3% |
| Cash from operations / revenue | <−999% | −756.5% | −933.3% | −73.2% | <−999% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | <−999% | −756.5% | −996.8% | −87.7% | <−999% | 18.0% | 9.6% |
| Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average | — | <−999% | — | −175.6% | <−999% | — | 8.5% |
| Stock pay / revenue | 891.0% | 150.8% | 149.4% | 101.3% | 363.4% | 277.5% | 5.8% |
| Change in share count | 37.6% | 155.4% | 36.2% | 0.4% | −1.6% | 93.5% | 0.9% |
| Measure | Company | Peer median | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth Growth | 33.6% | 13.7% | 17 of 75 |
| Change in growth rate Growth | +81.3pp | +3.7pp | 4 of 75 |
| Gross margin Profitability | -78.2% | 48.3% | 73 of 73 |
| Operating margin Profitability | -4698.3% | 4.8% | 75 of 75 |
| Net margin Profitability | -4524.5% | 5.3% | 75 of 75 |
| Free-cash-flow margin Cash generation | -3745.3% | 9.6% | 74 of 75 |
| Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation | 891.0% | 6.4% | 74 of 74 |
| Change in share count Balance sheet | 37.6% | 0.9% | 69 of 72 |
| Days sales outstanding Balance sheet | 203 days | 58 days | 61 of 62 |
Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | $5.4M | 6.5M | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Awm Investment Company, Inc. | $4.6M | 5.5M | 20.5% | ▼ 6.7% |
| Peak6 LLC | $3.4M | 4.1M | 15.4% | ▼ 19.7% |
| Y.D. More Investments Ltd | $2.1M | 2.8M | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| UBS Group AG | $1.5M | 1.8M | 6.6% | ▲ 5.3% |
| M&G PLC | $1.2M | 1.2M | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jane Street Group, LLC | $771,461 | 929K | 3.5% | ▼ 19.2% |
| Group One Trading LLC | $690,348 | 832K | 3.1% | ▼ 7.4% |
| Susquehanna International Group, LLP | $589,644 | 710K | 2.6% | ▼ 50.6% |
| Saba Capital Management, L.P. | $415,000 | 500K | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Xtx Topco Ltd | $264,667 | 319K | 1.2% | ▼ 43.5% |
| Alphacentric Advisors LLC | $249,000 | 300K | 1.1% | 0.0% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Arbe Robotics Ltd.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .
| Insider | Date | Trade | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crist Eugene Scott Director | September 28, 2026 | Buy | 50 | $0.60 | $30 |
| Crist Eugene Scott Director | September 28, 2026 | Buy | 50,000 | $0.60 | $30,250 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | September 8, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 278,800 | $0.78 | $217,464 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | September 4, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 22,700 | $0.63 | $14,301 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | September 3, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 31,000 | $0.64 | $19,840 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | September 3, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 35,800 | $0.63 | $22,554 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | September 2, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 31,700 | $0.64 | $20,288 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | June 3, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 24,138 | $1.09 | $26,310 |
| Arkind Noam Chief Technology Officer | June 2, 2026 | Sell pre-set plan | 175,862 | $1.18 | $207,517 |
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
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