Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.: what the price is pricing in
The price implies earnings growth of 1.3% a year; our model expects 5.2%. The gap is too narrow for a position this quarter. Switch lens below to see the same question asked of earnings, growth, sales and book value.
What growth in earnings is the price paying for?
The price implies earnings growth of 1.3% a year; our model expects 5.2%.
Gap too narrow for a position this quarter
Over time
$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500
Skill or luck?
In plain English: With only 6 quarters of positions, Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.'s own record is too short to tell skill from luck. The results across all companies on the priced-in page are the better guide.
| Positions | Quarters | Beat the S&P 500 | Average vs S&P 500, a quarter | Typical (median), a quarter | A year | Confidence (t) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 6 | 50.0% | +0.1% | +3.3% | −4.1% | 0.01 | Too few quarters |
| Shorts | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All positions | 6 | 50.0% | +0.1% | +3.3% | −4.1% | 0.01 | Too few quarters |
Every quarter (15)
| From | Price paid | Growth the P/E implies | Growth our model assumes | Position | CZWI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 (open) | $21.11 | 1.3% | 5.2% | No position | +12.7% | −0.8% |
| June 30, 2026 | $23.39 | 0.3% | 6.7% | No position | −9.3% | +2.4% |
| March 31, 2026 | $19.80 | -1.8% | 3.9% | No position | +18.7% | +15.1% |
| December 31, 2025 | $17.82 | -1.2% | 2.0% | No position | +11.7% | −4.4% |
| September 30, 2025 | $16.07 | -2.4% | 2.0% | No position | +10.9% | +2.7% |
| June 30, 2025 | $13.80 | -5.5% | 2.0% | No position | +16.4% | +8.1% |
| March 31, 2025 | $14.38 | -5.9% | 2.0% | No position | −4.0% | +10.8% |
| December 31, 2024 | $16.29 | -4.7% | 2.0% | No position | −9.7% | −4.3% |
| September 30, 2024 | $14.17 | -5.8% | 2.0% | No position | +15.0% | +2.5% |
| June 30, 2024 | $11.57 | -8.6% | 4.0% | Long | +22.5% | +5.8% |
| March 31, 2024 | $12.15 | -7.2% | 4.0% | Long | −4.8% | +4.4% |
| December 31, 2023 | $11.71 | -9.0% | 2.0% | Long | +6.6% | +10.4% |
| September 30, 2023 | $9.60 | -14.1% | 2.0% | Long | +22.0% | +11.6% |
| June 30, 2023 | $8.85 | -16.7% | 2.0% | Long | +8.5% | −3.2% |
| March 31, 2023 | $10.61 | -14.7% | 2.0% | Long | −16.6% | +8.7% |
What return on equity is the price paying for?
The price implies a return on equity of 8.9%; the company earned 6.8%.
Gap too narrow for a position this quarter
Over time
$10,000 trading the gap vs the S&P 500
Skill or luck?
In plain English: The gap has not been wide enough for a position in Citizens Community Bancorp Inc. since 2010, so there is no record to judge.
| Positions | Quarters | Beat the S&P 500 | Average vs S&P 500, a quarter | Typical (median), a quarter | A year | Confidence (t) | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longs | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shorts | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All positions | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Every quarter (15)
| From | Price paid | Return on equity the price implies | Return on equity delivered | Position | CZWI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2026 (open) | $21.11 | 8.9% | 6.8% | No position | +12.7% | −0.8% |
| June 30, 2026 | $23.39 | 9.6% | 8.1% | No position | −9.3% | +2.4% |
| March 31, 2026 | $19.80 | 8.6% | 7.9% | No position | +18.7% | +15.1% |
| December 31, 2025 | $17.82 | 8.2% | 7.0% | No position | +11.7% | −4.4% |
| September 30, 2025 | $16.07 | 7.8% | 6.9% | No position | +10.9% | +2.7% |
| June 30, 2025 | $13.80 | 7.1% | 7.3% | No position | +16.4% | +8.1% |
| March 31, 2025 | $14.38 | 7.3% | 7.8% | No position | −4.0% | +10.8% |
| December 31, 2024 | $16.29 | 8.0% | 8.5% | No position | −9.7% | −4.3% |
| September 30, 2024 | $14.17 | 7.5% | 8.2% | No position | +15.0% | +2.5% |
| June 30, 2024 | $11.57 | 6.7% | 8.0% | No position | +22.5% | +5.8% |
| March 31, 2024 | $12.15 | 6.9% | 7.7% | No position | −4.8% | +4.4% |
| December 31, 2023 | $11.71 | 7.0% | 8.6% | No position | +6.6% | +10.4% |
| September 30, 2023 | $9.60 | 6.2% | 9.4% | No position | +22.0% | +11.6% |
| June 30, 2023 | $8.85 | 5.9% | 10.1% | No position | +8.5% | −3.2% |
| March 31, 2023 | $10.61 | 6.5% | 10.5% | No position | −16.6% | +8.7% |
How the test works
At each quarter end since March 2010 we rebuild the models from Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.'s quarters ending at least 90 days earlier (and no more than 200 days before that), using the figures as later filed, including any restatement, and value them at that day's close, adjusted for later share splits and spin-offs so that price and share count are on the same basis. A wide enough gap is a long or a short for one quarter (growth 10 points; margin and return on equity 5 points; a PEG under 0.75 or over 3), measured on total return against the S&P 500. The rules were set before the test. No trading or borrowing costs; today's list of companies. Not investment advice. All companies and the results across them.
Compare with peers
- Virginia National Bankshares Corp priced in
- Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc priced in
- CF Bankshares Inc. priced in
- QNB Corp. priced in
- Mainstreet Bancshares, Inc. priced in
Head to head: CZWI vs VABKCBNA vs CZWICFBK vs CZWI
More: Regional Banks stocks compared, Financials sector, rankings of US companies