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Imperial OIL LTD (IMO) stock

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NYSE: IMO NYSE Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Next results ~January 29, 2027

Imperial OIL LTD is a US-listed company in the oil & gas refining & marketing industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Stock price today

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

Model estimate per share

~$80

Valuation models combined (2)

Base case. Range ~$31–$100. Weighted average of 2 models (forward price-to-earnings vs peers, forward price-to-sales vs peers).

Price vs value

No Buy/Hold/Sell rating is issued: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Imperial OIL LTD valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds180 adding, 196 cuttingOf 41 active managers that changed their stake, 25 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~January 29, 2027 (estimated)

Current signal Share count shrinking (buybacks): Diluted shares outstanding fell 5.0% year over year.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Highlights

How we pick these

Strengths

  • Shrinking share count. Diluted shares fell 5.0% in a year, so each share owns more of the business.
  • Estimates rising. Analysts' consensus for next year's earnings per share has risen 24.3% over 90 days.

Things to watch

  • Heavily shorted. 20.8% of the shares available to trade are sold short (28.5 days of average volume to cover).
  • Earnings expected to fall. The consensus expects earnings per share to fall 13% next year.

Latest results

Earnings per share
$5.11 against an average estimate of $4.82: beat by 6.0%
Share reaction
+2.0% in the first session after the results on October 30, 2026, against -2.2% for the S&P 500
Next report
January 29, 2027; average EPS estimate $4.90

Imperial OIL's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day-3.3%
  • 1 week-0.7%
  • 1 month+6.3%
  • This year+57.1%
  • 1 year+54.6%
  • 5 years+348.7%
  • S&P 500 this year+11.2%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

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Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Growth

Share count change
−5.0%

Earnings

Last results
October 30, 2026
Next results (est.)
January 29, 2027

News & updates

Updated October 31, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

  1. Results
  2. Announcement
  3. Announcement
  4. Leadership
  5. Results
  6. Announcement
  7. Announcement

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

Valuation

Imperial OIL LTD valuation models and calculator

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: limited reported history: available models are shown without a Buy/Hold/Sell rating.

Valuation models

We value Imperial OIL LTD as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 7.9%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.66 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Growth cash-flow model Revenue for this year and next from analysts' consensus, then growth fading to 2.5%; the operating margin moving to profitable peers'; investment needed per dollar of growth from peers; reduced by a failure probability. For young or fast-growing companies. The starting margin is normalized to between -100% and 60%; net margin is a proxy when operating income is not tagged. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. — Does not apply: no revenue, margin or share count to start from
Forward price-to-earnings vs peers Next year's consensus earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) forward price-to-earnings. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$100 ~$97–$120 Included
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: no twelve-month earnings or share count in the filings yet
Forward price-to-sales vs peers Next year's consensus sales per share times peers' typical forward price-to-sales; only when earnings are negative. Uses analysts' consensus estimates (third-party data), not our forecasts. ~$31 ~$44–$97 Included, half weight
Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. — Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (growth cash-flow model) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. ~$80 ~$31–$100 2 models

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Imperial OIL LTD with Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Low.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: January 29, 2027, before the open. Analysts expect revenue of $16.2bn and EPS of $4.90 (range $3.21 to $5.74) for the quarter.

Analysts' consensus

Fiscal yearEPSGrowthRevenueGrowth
Current $15.75 +85% $61.5bn +31%
Next $13.66 −13% $63.5bn +3%

Next year's EPS estimate has moved +24.3% in 90 days, across 9 analysts.

How the EPS forecast has moved

The consensus EPS forecast for the current fiscal year is +18.9% on 90 days ago. In the last 30 days, 3 analysts raised Imperial OIL LTD's forecast and 0 cut it.

Consensus EPS forecast Imperial OIL LTD, last 90 days
$10.00 $12.00 $14.00 $16.00 90 days ago 60 days ago 30 days ago 7 days ago Now Current fiscal year, 90 days ago: $13.25 Current fiscal year, 60 days ago: $14.52 Current fiscal year, 30 days ago: $14.70 Current fiscal year, 7 days ago: $15.65 Current fiscal year, Now: $15.75 $15.75 Next fiscal year, 90 days ago: $10.99 Next fiscal year, 60 days ago: $11.21 Next fiscal year, 30 days ago: $12.31 Next fiscal year, 7 days ago: $13.62 Next fiscal year, Now: $13.66 $13.66

Average of analysts' published estimates (third-party data).

View chart data
Period Current fiscal yearNext fiscal year
90 days ago $13.25$10.99
60 days ago $14.52$11.21
30 days ago $14.70$12.31
7 days ago $15.65$13.62
Now $15.75$13.66

Earnings against estimates

Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Sept 2026 $4.82 $5.11 +6.0%
Jun 2026 $4.17 $4.52 +8.4%
Mar 2026 $2.40 $1.94 −19.3%
Dec 2025 $1.89 $1.97 +4.1%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Analyst recommendations

18 analysts, Oct 2026
Buy16%
Hold844%
Sell950%

Monthly trend

  1. Oct 202686318
  2. Sep 202686318
  3. Aug 202686318
  4. Jul 202686318

Counts of recommendations published by analysts covering Imperial OIL LTD, by month. Source: Aggregated broker recommendations (third-party data). Aggregated counts only: we do not reproduce any firm's recommendation or price target, and these are not Fundamentalytics ratings.

Positioning

Short interest
20.8%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
28.5
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
−13%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
30%
of shares
Held by insiders
71.3%
of shares
Employees
5,000
full time

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Return and risk by year

Calendar year 202120222023202420252026 to date
Return
IMO+95%+38%+21%+11%+44%+57%
Industry peers (median)+29%+50%+10%−18%+18%+105%
S&P 500+29%−18%+26%+25%+18%+11%
Months that ended higher
IMO58%75%67%58%75%64%
S&P 50075%42%67%75%75%46%
Largest fall from a high during the year
IMO−29%−30%−21%−22%−18%−19%
S&P 500−5%−25%−10%−8%−19%−9%

Worst fall since November 2, 2015: 77% from December 13, 2016 to March 18, 2020. Getting back needed a 339% gain, reached on May 27, 2021, 435 days after the low.

Price behaviour

52-week range
$82.46 – $138.10
From 52-week high
−3.3%
vs 50-day average
+3.3%
vs 200-day average
+8.3%
Volatility (1 year)
30%
Beta vs S&P 500
-0.18

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Share price after results

Next day
2 up, 10 down
typical move ±2.3%
After a week
6 up, 5 down
typical move ±3.8%
After a month
7 up, 4 down
typical move ±6.2%
Results releasedNext dayS&P 500 next day5 days21 days
October 30, 2026 +2.0% −2.2% — —
July 31, 2026 −1.9% +2.2% −3.0% +2.0%
May 1, 2026 −2.6% −0.1% −5.3% −7.2%
January 30, 2026 −2.7% +0.2% +6.6% +12.9%
October 31, 2025 −1.5% +0.5% +2.4% +4.0%
August 1, 2025 +1.1% −0.1% +2.2% +6.9%
May 2, 2025 −0.5% +0.9% +4.6% +8.1%
January 31, 2025 −6.5% −1.2% −5.5% −8.1%
November 1, 2024 −5.0% +0.2% −1.6% −1.7%
August 2, 2024 −2.0% −4.7% +4.7% +5.3%
April 26, 2024 −0.2% +1.3% −4.5% −0.7%
February 2, 2024 −1.4% +0.7% +1.9% +11.4%

From the close before the release date to the close 1, 5 and 21 trading days after it, so releases before the open and after the close are both captured. Past moves don't predict future ones.

Fundamentals

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 10-K, 10-Q, 10-Q/A. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

Diluted share count
−5.0%
year over year

Where the revenue comes from

Fiscal year to December 31, 2025
Segments
Line of business Revenue YoY
Downstream $52.1B ▼ 8.5%
Upstream $15.9B ▼ 11.5%
Chemical $1.4B ▼ 5.0%

These categories overlap or exclude eliminations, so shares aren't shown.

From Imperial OIL LTD's 10-K filed February 18, 2026, as tagged in the filing. View filing. Indented rows are part of the line above; their share is of that line. In the bars, the faint bar behind is the year before.

Who owns it

Funds buying and selling
Reported value
$16B
Institutions reporting
409
Shares held vs prior quarter
▲ 17.3%
Positions opened / closed
65 / 56

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 180 institutions bought and 196 sold ; the biggest buyer was First Eagle Investment Management, LLC (+13.2M shares) and the biggest seller FMR LLC (−2.9M). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
FMR LLC $5.9B 52.8M 36.9% ▼ 5.2%
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC $3B 27.2M 19.0% ▲ 94.5%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc $1.2B 10.6M 7.4% ▲ 398.9%
Fil Ltd $574M 5.1M 3.6% ▲ 38.8%
Royal Bank Of Canada $445M 4.0M 2.8% ▼ 22.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC $431M 3.8M 2.7% ▲ 0.8%
UBS Group AG $402M 3.6M 2.5% ▲ 258.0%
TD Asset Management Inc $344M 3.1M 2.1% ▼ 11.1%
Bank Of Montreal $315M 2.8M 2.0% ▲ 3.9%
Geode Capital Management, LLC $201M 1.7M 1.3% ▲ 0.3%
Morgan Stanley $176M 1.6M 1.1% ▼ 3.9%
Bank Of America Corp $153M 1.4M 1.0% ▼ 37.6%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Imperial OIL LTD's complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart
Insider purchases History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders, last 12 months Insider sales History → $0 0 trades by 0 insiders
Net ▲ $0 net buying

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Trades by members of Congress

All 2 trades and filings

No trades in Imperial OIL LTD disclosed in the last 12 months; 2 earlier trades on record.

  • Val T. Hoyle(D-OR 4):Sale (full), $1,001 - $15,000, traded September 23, 2025, filed October 10, 2025
  • Val T. Hoyle(D-OR 4):Purchase, $1,001 - $15,000, traded October 29, 2024, filed September 12, 2025

Value ranges as filed; reports can arrive up to 45 days after a trade.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Next expected around January 29, 2027 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced

  • October 30, 2026
  • July 31, 2026
  • May 1, 2026
  • January 30, 2026
  • October 31, 2025
  • August 1, 2025

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Imperial OIL LTD was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Imperial OIL LTD in brief

What does Imperial OIL LTD do?
Imperial OIL LTD is a US-listed company in the oil & gas refining & marketing industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Imperial OIL LTD's stock ticker?
Imperial OIL LTD trades under the ticker IMO on NYSE. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
Who are Imperial OIL LTD's largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are FMR LLC, First Eagle Investment Management, LLC and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
When is Imperial OIL LTD's next earnings date?
Around January 29, 2027, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Imperial OIL LTD announces its own schedule.