undamentalytics Newsletter

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) stock

Add holding +

NASDAQ: ORIO Nasdaq Systems Software Next results ~November 5, 2026

C Fundamentals grade

Orion Digital Corp. is a US-listed company in the systems software industry. Its financial year ends in December.

Who’s trading

What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.

  • Funds7 adding, 12 cuttingOf 3 active managers that changed their stake, 1 added; quarter to June 30, 2026Fund buyers and sellers

Value diary

Our note on each quarter Orion Digital files

Where Orion Digital stands after its latest Filing

Revenue for the twelve months was $49m, down 5.5% on a year earlier, against growth of 7.6% a quarter earlier. That puts it 33 of 37 for growth among the systems software companies we cover.

Our models give no value for Orion Digital at present, so past values are not shown.

Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.

The Fundamentalytics view

Next results ~November 5, 2026 (estimated)

Orion Digital Corp.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue fell 5.5% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of -1.5%. Where it lags: change in growth rate of -13.1pp ranks 34 of 37 systems software companies we cover.

Current signal Results well ahead of expectations: Reported earnings per share beat the analysts' consensus estimate by 66% in the quarter to 2026-03-31, the 3rd beat in the last four quarters.

Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.

Strengths

  • Shrinking share count. Diluted shares fell 1.3% in a year, so each share owns more of the business.
  • Net cash. Cash exceeds long-term debt by $0.0bn.

Things to watch

  • Revenue shrinking. Revenue fell 5.5% over the last 12 months.
  • Growth slowing. The growth rate is 13.1 points lower than a quarter earlier.
  • Loss-making. Operating margin is -3.9%: costs exceed revenue.
  • Burning cash. Free cash flow was -1.5% of revenue over the last 12 months.

Latest results

Earnings per share
-$0.03 against an average estimate of -$0.09: beat by 66.4%
Next report
November 5, 2026

Orion Digital's figures from its SEC filings and results release; estimates are the analysts' average. Not a recommendation.

Price chart

  • 1 day+6.4%
  • 1 week+5.4%

Closing prices to 2026-11-02. Price change only, dividends excluded.

Loading chart…

Third-party market data · may be delayed

At a glance

Trailing twelve months, from SEC filings

Profitability

Revenue (TTM)
$49.1M
Operating margin
-3.9%
Net margin
-12.4%
EPS (TTM, diluted)
$-0.25

Growth

Revenue growth
−5.5%
Change in growth rate
−13.1 pts
Share count change
−1.3%

News & updates

Updated November 2, 2026

Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.

No recent updates are available for ORIO from the sources we follow. See filings →

Refreshed hourly when new source data is available. Summaries are checked against company releases and SEC filings. Company announcement headlines are labelled when a checked summary is unavailable.

No model value for Orion Digital Corp. at the moment. Current status: no valuation model gives a value we can rate yet. Available reported financials are shown below.

Fundamentalytics rating

model v1.6 · 2026-11-03

Not rated: no valuation model gives a value we can rate yet.

Valuation models

We value Orion Digital Corp. as an operating company, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 10.4%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 1.2 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.

Value per share by model
Model Value per share In the combined value?
Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. — Does not apply: no positive earnings in the latest twelve months
Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. — Does not apply: the model gives no positive value
Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. — Does not apply: return on equity is not positive
Revenue-to-maturity model Revenue grown to maturity with the cash margin moving to the industry's; for companies not yet profitable. — Does not apply: revenue and margins don't support a positive value
Price-to-sales vs peers Sales per share times peers' typical price-to-sales; used only when earnings are negative. — 0 Does not apply: no positive value
Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (price-to-earnings vs peers) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. — No model applies: the filings don’t yet support a value.

Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Orion Digital Corp. with Systems Software in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.

Moat

Not assessed: fewer than five years of comparable figures in the filings. AI disruption exposure for this industry: Medium.

A rules-based reading of reported figures, not a forecast and not investment advice. How the score is built: methodology.

Forecasts and guidance

Next results: November 5, 2026, before the open.

Analysts' consensus

No analyst estimates are published for Orion Digital Corp.: too few analysts cover it.

Earnings against estimates

Orion Digital Corp.: reported EPS against the consensus estimate
Quarter toEstimateActualSurprise
Mar 2026 −$0.09 −$0.03 +66.4%
Dec 2025 −$0.10 −$0.01 +94.5%
Sept 2025 −$0.07 −$0.14 −102.4%
Jun 2025 −$0.10 $0.55 +645.5%

Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.

Positioning

Short interest
1.2%
of tradable shares
Days to cover
3.27
at average volume
Short interest, 1 month
+5%
to October 15, 2026
Held by institutions
4%
of shares
Held by insiders
20.8%
of shares

Consensus figures average analysts' published estimates (third-party data); guidance is the company's own. Neither is our forecast. Short interest is reported twice a month and lags. Market data may be delayed.

This section is general information, not investment advice or a personal recommendation, and it does not take account of your objectives or circumstances. Forecasts and guidance are estimates, not promises: companies miss their own guidance and analysts' figures are often revised. Prices can fall as well as rise, and you can lose money. See our disclaimer.

Share-price performance

Market data may be delayed

Recent prices are available. Older price history and the statistics that need it are being loaded in the background.

Price behaviour

52-week range
Not enough history
From 52-week high
—
vs 50-day average
—
vs 200-day average
—
Volatility (1 year)
—
Beta vs S&P 500
—

Volatility is the annualised standard deviation of daily returns. Beta 1.5 means the shares typically moved 1.5% for each 1% move in the S&P 500 over the past year. Prices to November 2, 2026.

Orion Digital Corp. in five measures

Fundamentals grade C
Growth Profitability Cash Balance sheet

Growth, profitability, cash generation and balance sheet are percentiles against the companies we cover in the same industry, from SEC filings (100 = best). Value compares the share price with our modelled value range (50 = at our base value; higher = cheaper). A description of reported data and our model — not a quality score or advice.

Fundamentals

Revenue (TTM) Orion Digital Corp.
$30M $40M $50M $60M FY16 Q4 FY18 Q4 FY20 Q4 FY22 Q4 FY25 Q4 Revenue (TTM), FY16 Q4: $37.7M Revenue (TTM), FY17 Q4: $35.1M Revenue (TTM), FY18 Q4: $43.7M Revenue (TTM), FY19 Q4: $45.1M Revenue (TTM), FY20 Q4: $33M Revenue (TTM), FY21 Q4: $45.9M Revenue (TTM), FY22 Q4: $53M Revenue (TTM), FY23 Q4: $48.3M Revenue (TTM), FY24 Q4: $52M Revenue (TTM), FY25 Q4: $49.1M $49.1M

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved November 1, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue (TTM)
FY16 Q4 $37.7M
FY17 Q4 $35.1M
FY18 Q4 $43.7M
FY19 Q4 $45.1M
FY20 Q4 $33M
FY21 Q4 $45.9M
FY22 Q4 $53M
FY23 Q4 $48.3M
FY24 Q4 $52M
FY25 Q4 $49.1M
Revenue growth, TTM YoY Orion Digital Corp.
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% FY17 Q4 FY19 Q4 FY21 Q4 FY23 Q4 FY25 Q4 Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY17 Q4: -6.8% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY18 Q4: 24.3% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY19 Q4: 3.2% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY20 Q4: -26.8% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY21 Q4: 39.1% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY22 Q4: 15.5% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY23 Q4: -8.8% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY24 Q4: 7.6% Revenue growth, TTM YoY, FY25 Q4: -5.5% -5.5%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved November 1, 2026.

View chart data
Period Revenue growth, TTM YoY
FY17 Q4 -6.8%
FY18 Q4 24.3%
FY19 Q4 3.2%
FY20 Q4 -26.8%
FY21 Q4 39.1%
FY22 Q4 15.5%
FY23 Q4 -8.8%
FY24 Q4 7.6%
FY25 Q4 -5.5%
Operating margin (TTM) Orion Digital Corp.
-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% FY19 Q4 FY21 Q4 FY23 Q4 FY25 Q4 Operating margin (TTM), FY19 Q4: -6.1% Operating margin (TTM), FY20 Q4: 2.6% Operating margin (TTM), FY21 Q4: -61.8% Operating margin (TTM), FY22 Q4: -48.7% Operating margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: -5.9% Operating margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: -5.2% Operating margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: -3.9% -3.9%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved November 1, 2026.

View chart data
Period Operating margin (TTM)
FY19 Q4 -6.1%
FY20 Q4 2.6%
FY21 Q4 -61.8%
FY22 Q4 -48.7%
FY23 Q4 -5.9%
FY24 Q4 -5.2%
FY25 Q4 -3.9%
FCF margin (TTM) Orion Digital Corp.
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100% FY16 Q4 FY18 Q4 FY20 Q4 FY22 Q4 FY25 Q4 FCF margin (TTM), FY16 Q4: -27.4% FCF margin (TTM), FY17 Q4: -47.8% FCF margin (TTM), FY18 Q4: -57.7% FCF margin (TTM), FY19 Q4: -26.5% FCF margin (TTM), FY20 Q4: 99.0% FCF margin (TTM), FY21 Q4: -54.9% FCF margin (TTM), FY22 Q4: -39.8% FCF margin (TTM), FY23 Q4: -14.4% FCF margin (TTM), FY24 Q4: -1.9% FCF margin (TTM), FY25 Q4: -1.5% -1.5%

Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved November 1, 2026.

View chart data
Period FCF margin (TTM)
FY16 Q4 -27.4%
FY17 Q4 -47.8%
FY18 Q4 -57.7%
FY19 Q4 -26.5%
FY20 Q4 99.0%
FY21 Q4 -54.9%
FY22 Q4 -39.8%
FY23 Q4 -14.4%
FY24 Q4 -1.9%
FY25 Q4 -1.5%

Data: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (as filed in 10-K/10-Q); forms 20-F, 40-F. Generated November 3, 2026. Definitions in our methodology.

Financial statements

US$ millions unless shown otherwise. Fiscal years, plus the last twelve months (LTM) when newer.

Orion Digital Corp.: annual financial statements
Fiscal year 2016 Dec 2016 2017 Dec 2017 2018 Dec 2018 2019 Dec 2019 2020 Dec 2020 2021 Dec 2021 2022 Dec 2022 2023 Dec 2023 2024 Dec 2024 2025 Dec 2025
Income
Revenue 38 35 44 45 33 46 53 48 52 49
Gross profit 23 26 31 31 26 37 36 35 34 34
EBITDA — — — 3 7 −18 −16 4 3 4
Operating income — — — −3 1 −28 −26 −3 −3 −2
Net income — — — −8 −10 −27 −127 −13 −10 −6
Diluted EPS — — — — −$0.35 −$0.42 −$1.67 −$0.53 −$0.41 −$0.25
Growth (year on year)
Revenue — −6.8% +24.3% +3.2% −26.8% +39.1% +15.5% −8.8% +7.6% −5.5%
EBITDA — — — — +115.1% −355.4% — — −10.6% +11.3%
Operating income — — — — — <−999% — — — —
Margins
Gross margin 61.6% 73.8% 70.1% 68.6% 80.2% 80.0% 67.1% 71.5% 65.6% 69.6%
EBITDA margin — — — 7.3% 21.6% −39.6% −30.4% 8.0% 6.6% 7.8%
Operating margin — — — −6.1% 2.6% −61.8% −48.7% −5.9% −5.2% −3.9%
Net margin — — — −18.1% −30.4% −57.7% −240.3% −27.4% −19.2% −12.4%
Free-cash-flow margin −27.4% −47.8% −57.7% −26.5% 99.0% −54.9% −39.8% −14.4% −1.9% −1.5%
Cash flow
Cash from operations −10 −16 −23 −11 33 −25 −21 −7 −1 −1
Capital spending 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Free cash flow −10 −17 −25 −12 33 −25 −21 −7 −1 −1
Stock-based pay 1 1 1 1 2 9 7 2 1 1
Free cash flow after stock pay −11 −18 −26 −13 31 −35 −28 −9 −2 −2
Balance sheet
Cash 14 32 15 8 10 53 22 12 6 13
Total debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net debt (negative = net cash) −14 −32 −15 −8 −10 −53 −22 −12 −6 −13
Diluted shares 18m 18m 23m 26m 28,873m 21m 25m 25m 24m 24m

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts (US and foreign periodic filings); column headings link to the filing. EBITDA is operating income plus depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow is cash from operations minus capital spending. Growth is left blank when last year's figure was a loss or under 2% of revenue. Share counts and EPS are restated for stock splits. A dash means the company didn't report the figure.

Dividends, buybacks and capital spending

Diluted share count
−1.3%
year over year

Competitors: side by side with peers

Closest by revenue in systems software
Growth, margins and cash generation against peers
Last 12 months unless stated ORIO ALAR SVCO CHOW HUBC GRRR Median
Revenue, last 12 months $49m $41m $72m $32m $32m $101m $1.1bn
Revenue growth, last 12 months −5.5% 28.1% 31.9% 38.3% 7.1% 35.7% 16.9%
Gross margin 69.6% 58.5% 83.1% 12.9% 16.7% 33.4% 69.6%
Operating margin −3.9% 0.5% −35.6% −9.4% −222.0% −13.5% 3.7%
Operating margin, 3-year average — −257.7% −53.2% — — — 4.0%
Net margin −12.4% 2.4% −30.4% −9.4% −378.3% −11.1% 2.4%
Cash from operations / revenue −1.4% −4.9% −46.7% −22.5% −99.2% −28.3% 16.6%
Free-cash-flow margin −1.5% −5.3% −47.2% −22.5% −99.3% −28.9% 15.0%
Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average −34.7% −200.0% −38.6% — — — 18.8%
Stock pay / revenue 2.6% 8.5% 16.9% — 10.1% 0.3% 8.2%
Change in share count −1.3% 6.6% 8.2% 2.7% 537.5% 110.6% 2.7%

Median of all 37 companies we cover in systems software. Shaded: best of the six on that line (lowest for stock pay and share-count growth). 3-year figures average the last three 12-month periods; 3-year growth is compound annual. Source: SEC filings.

Peer comparison

37 systems software companies
Measures ranked against peers
Measure Company Peer median Rank
Revenue growth Growth -5.5% 16.9% 33 of 37
Change in growth rate Growth -13.1pp -0.3pp 34 of 37
Operating margin Profitability -3.9% 3.8% 21 of 34
Net margin Profitability -12.4% 2.4% 27 of 37
Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation 2.6% 8.5% 11 of 36
Change in share count Balance sheet -1.3% 3.1% 10 of 34

Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).

Reported value
$852,833
Institutions reporting
20
Shares held vs prior quarter
▼ 1.1%
Positions opened / closed
4 / 4

Top buyers and sellers, Q2 2026: 7 institutions bought and 12 sold ; the biggest buyer was Citadel Advisors LLC (+61K shares) and the biggest seller First Manhattan Co. Llc (−26K). See which funds bought and sold →

Largest reported holders, June 30, 2026
Manager Value Shares Share of 13F value Shares QoQ
Tidal Investments LLC $476,179 560K 55.8% ▼ 0.3%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc $165,409 195K 19.4% ▼ 3.1%
Citadel Advisors LLC $51,745 61K 6.1% New
Mariner, LLC $47,009 55K 5.5% 0.0%
Susquehanna International Group, LLP $28,789 34K 3.4% ▲ 230.9%
Gts Securities LLC $22,273 26K 2.6% ▲ 8.5%
Xtx Topco Ltd $14,657 17K 1.7% ▼ 38.2%
Morgan Stanley $12,294 14K 1.4% ▼ 39.3%
Commonwealth Equity Services, LLC $9,380 11K 1.1% New
Rathbones Group PLC $8,989 10K 1.1% ▼ 50.0%
TD Waterhouse Canada Inc. $5,066 6K 0.6% ▲ 5.6%
Royal Bank Of Canada $5,000 6K 0.6% ▼ 32.9%

From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Orion Digital Corp.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers .

Insider trading activity

Full insider history and chart

No open-market insider trades reported in the last 12 months.

From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.

Earnings dates and SEC filings

Results announcements

Recent SEC filings

Data status

When each part of this page on Orion Digital Corp. was last updated.

DataLast updatedSource
Share priceExchange closing prices
News and updatesCompany releases and SEC 8-K filings
Analyst estimatesAggregated analyst estimates
Valuation and scoresOur models, from the filed figures

How we build and check these figures: methodology and data sources.

Orion Digital Corp. in brief

What does Orion Digital Corp. do?
Orion Digital Corp. is a US-listed company in the systems software industry. Its financial year ends in December.
What is Orion Digital Corp.'s stock ticker?
Orion Digital Corp. trades under the ticker ORIO on Nasdaq. This page brings together its financial statements, valuation models, ownership and recent company updates.
What is Orion Digital Corp.'s revenue, and how fast is it growing?
Over its most recent trailing twelve months, Orion Digital Corp. reported revenue of $49.1M, 5.5% lower than a year earlier, according to its SEC filings.
What is Orion Digital Corp.'s free cash flow?
Orion Digital Corp.'s free-cash-flow margin is -1.5% of revenue over the trailing twelve months.
Who are Orion Digital Corp.'s largest institutional shareholders?
By value reported in 13F filings for June 30, 2026, the largest reported holders are Tidal Investments LLC, Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Citadel Advisors LLC. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end.
Who are Orion Digital Corp.'s competitors?
In our Systems Software peer group, the companies closest to Orion Digital Corp. are Alarum Technologies Ltd., Silvaco Group, Inc., Chowchow Cloud International Holdings Ltd, Hub Cyber Security Ltd. and Gorilla Technology Group Inc. The side-by-side comparison below sets their revenue, margins and growth against Orion Digital Corp.'s.
When is Orion Digital Corp.'s next earnings date?
Around November 5, 2026, estimated from the spacing of its past results announcements (8-K filings). That is an estimate, not a confirmed date — Orion Digital Corp. announces its own schedule.