Waterstone Financial, Inc. is a US-listed company in the regional banks industry. Its financial year ends in December.
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~$16
Valuation models combined (6)
Base case. Range ~$14–$22. Weighted average of 6 models (residual income, justified price-to-book, price-to-book vs return on equity (peers), price-to-book vs peers, price-to-earnings vs peers, dividend discount (two-stage)), the residual income counting double.
Modestly overvalued
The price is inside our value range, 22% above our base value.
Price used: $19.96, November 2, 2026
Waterstone Financial, Inc. valuation: adjust assumptions and compare models →
What company insiders, investment funds and members of Congress have been doing with the stock, from their own filings.
Revenue for the twelve months to June 2026 was $150m, up 12.4% on a year earlier, faster than the 11.4% growth a quarter earlier. The diluted share count is down 4.4% on a year earlier, which lifts each remaining share. Our cash-flow model value is $18.34 a share, against a share price of $20.00.
Source: 10-Q filed August 6, 2026 on SEC EDGAR · Financials · Valuation
Written from the company's filings and our models when each quarter's report arrives. Figures in older notes are as published at the time. Not investment advice.
Waterstone Financial, Inc.'s trailing-twelve-month revenue grew 12.4% year on year, with a free-cash-flow margin of 28.5%. Where it stands out: stock pay as % of revenue of 0.3% ranks 6 of 206 regional banks companies we cover.
Current signal Free cash flow diverging from earnings: TTM free cash flow fell 49.6% while net income grew 45.4%: a 95pp divergence.
Assembled from SEC-filed figures — the full workings are on this page and in our methodology. Observations, not recommendations.
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Third-party market data · may be delayed
Company announcements, filed results and changes that matter to shareholders.
We value Waterstone Financial, Inc. as a bank or lender, with every model that fits that kind of business. Cost of equity 8.1%: the 10-year Treasury yield (4.9%) plus a beta of 0.71 times a 4.5% equity risk premium.
| Model | Value per share | In the combined value? |
|---|---|---|
| Residual income Book value plus the present value of returns above the cost of equity, fading over ten years. | ~$16 ~$12–$23 | Primary model, counts double |
| Justified price-to-book Book value times (return on equity - growth) / (cost of equity - growth): steady-state returns. | ~$14 ~$12–$17 | Included |
| Price-to-book vs return on equity (peers) The price-to-book that peers with this return on equity trade on, from a line fitted across peers. | ~$22 ~$12–$33 | Included |
| Price-to-book vs peers Book value per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-book. | ~$16 ~$21–$30 | Included |
| Price-to-earnings vs peers Earnings per share times peers' typical (harmonic-mean) price-to-earnings. | ~$16 ~$19–$25 | Included |
| Dividend discount (two-stage) Dividends for five years at the growth the business can fund, then a steady payout and growth. | ~$14 ~$11–$17 | Included |
| Combined value Weighted average of the models that apply: the primary model (residual income) counts double. Models more than 5x or less than 0.2x the share price, or more than 3x away from the other models' median, are left out. | ~$16 ~$14–$22 | 6 models |
Different models fail in different ways, so where several apply we average them rather than trust one. Peer-based models compare Waterstone Financial, Inc. with banks and lenders in our coverage, using third-party market data. Model values are estimates under stated assumptions, updated as new filings arrive; not price targets or investment advice. How each model works.
Strong moat
How hard Waterstone Financial's competitive advantage looks for rivals to wear away, judged from 10 years of its own filings: returns on capital, pricing power, profit durability, cash conversion and discipline.
Net income has been a median 1.5% of total assets over 10 years.
Net margin has been a median 17.0%; its worst year was 8.6%.
The diluted share count fell 27.5% over five years; stock-based pay has been a median 0.3% of revenue.
AI disruption exposure: Medium. In this industry, AI could change how the product is made or sold, without replacing the core asset. The score above includes a 5-point deduction for that exposure (86 before it).
No analyst estimates are published for Waterstone Financial, Inc.: too few analysts cover it.
| Quarter to | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2023 | $0.08 | $0.10 | +25.0% |
| Dec 2022 | $0.15 | $0.04 | −73.3% |
| Sept 2022 | $0.29 | $0.25 | −13.8% |
Adjusted EPS as companies report it, against the average analyst estimate.
Last 12 months +35.2%
| Part | Then | Now | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $134m | $150m | +12.4% |
| Net margin | 15.5% | 20.0% | +29.4% |
| P/E multiple | 13.0x | 11.6x | −11.1% |
| Share count | 18m | 17m | +4.6% |
Biggest factor: net margin.
Last 3 years +99.7%
| Part | Then | Now | Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $144m | $150m | +4.2% |
| Net margin | 8.6% | 20.0% | +133.5% |
| P/E multiple | 17.0x | 11.6x | −31.7% |
| Share count | 21m | 17m | +20.2% |
Biggest factor: net margin.
| Calendar year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 to date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return | ||||||
| WSBF | +24% | −16% | −13% | −1% | +29% | +25% |
| Industry peers (median) | +34% | −4% | −2% | +16% | +10% | +24% |
| S&P 500 | +29% | −18% | +26% | +25% | +18% | +11% |
| Months that ended higher | ||||||
| WSBF | 83% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 73% |
| S&P 500 | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 46% |
| Largest fall from a high during the year | ||||||
| WSBF | −7% | −26% | −42% | −24% | −19% | −9% |
| S&P 500 | −5% | −25% | −10% | −8% | −19% | −9% |
Worst fall since October 29, 2015: 51% from January 6, 2022 to October 23, 2023. Getting back needed a 104% gain, reached on January 21, 2026, 821 days after the low.
| Results released | Next day | S&P 500 next day | 5 days | 21 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | +2.7% | −1.1% | +4.8% | +8.0% |
| April 23, 2026 | −0.6% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| January 28, 2026 | +5.4% | −0.2% | +6.3% | +1.8% |
| October 23, 2025 | +2.1% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +3.9% |
| July 22, 2025 | +4.0% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +5.6% |
| April 22, 2025 | +0.9% | +4.2% | +0.7% | +4.5% |
| January 28, 2025 | +6.4% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| October 22, 2024 | +3.2% | −1.0% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| July 25, 2024 | +5.5% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +4.0% |
| April 30, 2024 | +2.5% | −1.9% | +5.3% | +3.8% |
| January 30, 2024 | −7.3% | −1.7% | −12.1% | −11.8% |
| October 24, 2023 | +0.7% | −0.7% | +9.8% | +22.3% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q3 | $135.5M |
| FY23 Q4 | $131.4M |
| FY24 Q1 | $131.4M |
| FY24 Q2 | $132.4M |
| FY24 Q3 | $132.3M |
| FY24 Q4 | $135.5M |
| FY25 Q1 | $132.8M |
| FY25 Q2 | $133.6M |
| FY25 Q3 | $136.6M |
| FY25 Q4 | $141.9M |
| FY26 Q1 | $147.9M |
| FY26 Q2 | $150.2M |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | Revenue growth, TTM YoY |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q3 | -26.8% |
| FY23 Q4 | -19.1% |
| FY24 Q1 | -14.2% |
| FY24 Q2 | -8.1% |
| FY24 Q3 | -2.4% |
| FY24 Q4 | 3.1% |
| FY25 Q1 | 1.0% |
| FY25 Q2 | 0.9% |
| FY25 Q3 | 3.3% |
| FY25 Q4 | 4.8% |
| FY26 Q1 | 11.4% |
| FY26 Q2 | 12.4% |
Source: SEC EDGAR filings. Retrieved October 29, 2026.
| Period | FCF margin (TTM) |
|---|---|
| FY23 Q3 | 32.9% |
| FY23 Q4 | -21.5% |
| FY24 Q1 | -2.8% |
| FY24 Q2 | -2.4% |
| FY24 Q3 | 17.0% |
| FY24 Q4 | 34.7% |
| FY25 Q1 | 63.1% |
| FY25 Q2 | 63.6% |
| FY25 Q3 | 31.8% |
| FY25 Q4 | 16.2% |
| FY26 Q1 | -3.4% |
| FY26 Q2 | 28.5% |
| Fiscal year | 2011 Dec 2011 | 2012 Dec 2012 | 2013 Dec 2013 | 2014 Dec 2014 | 2015 Dec 2015 | 2016 Dec 2016 | 2017 Dec 2017 | 2018 Dec 2018 | 2019 Dec 2019 | 2020 Dec 2020 | 2021 Dec 2021 | 2022 Dec 2022 | 2023 Dec 2023 | 2024 Dec 2024 | 2025 Dec 2025 | LTM Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||||||||||||
| Revenue | 90 | 133 | 127 | 126 | 143 | 170 | 175 | 172 | 183 | 298 | 259 | 163 | 131 | 135 | 142 | 150 |
| Net income | −7 | 35 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 31 | 36 | 81 | 71 | 19 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 30 |
| Diluted EPS | −$0.22 | $1.02 | $0.43 | $0.38 | $0.56 | $0.93 | $0.93 | $1.11 | $1.37 | $3.30 | $2.96 | $0.89 | $0.46 | $1.01 | $1.48 | $1.72 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||||||||||||
| Revenue | — | +48.4% | −4.6% | −0.9% | +13.9% | +18.5% | +3.1% | −1.6% | +6.1% | +62.6% | −13.0% | −37.2% | −19.1% | +3.1% | +4.8% | +12.4% |
| Net income | — | — | −57.9% | −13.4% | +30.1% | +54.1% | +1.7% | +18.4% | +16.7% | +126.0% | −12.8% | −72.5% | −51.9% | +99.3% | +41.3% | +45.4% |
| Diluted EPS | — | — | −57.8% | −11.6% | +47.4% | +66.1% | 0.0% | +19.4% | +23.4% | +140.9% | −10.3% | −69.9% | −48.3% | +119.6% | +46.5% | +52.1% |
| Margins | ||||||||||||||||
| Net margin | −8.3% | 26.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 27.3% | 27.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 20.0% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 38.0% | −7.4% | 36.9% | −3.3% | −11.1% | −14.8% | 60.2% | 21.8% | −23.7% | −31.9% | 54.6% | 126.7% | −21.5% | 34.7% | 16.2% | 28.5% |
| Cash flow | ||||||||||||||||
| Cash from operations | 35 | −8 | 52 | −2 | −13 | −24 | 107 | 42 | −40 | −94 | 142 | 207 | −28 | 48 | 24 | 45 |
| Capital spending | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Free cash flow | 34 | −10 | 47 | −4 | −16 | −25 | 106 | 38 | −43 | −95 | 141 | 206 | −28 | 47 | 23 | 43 |
| Stock-based pay | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | 32 | −10 | 47 | −4 | −19 | −27 | 104 | 36 | −44 | −96 | 140 | 205 | −29 | 47 | 23 | 42 |
| Balance sheet | ||||||||||||||||
| Cash | 80 | 71 | 429 | 173 | 100 | 47 | 49 | 86 | 74 | 95 | 377 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total debt | 0 | 455 | 455 | 434 | 448 | 395 | 386 | 435 | 484 | 537 | 477 | 388 | 758 | 447 | 412 | 412 |
| Net debt (negative = net cash) | −80 | 384 | 26 | 261 | 348 | 348 | 338 | 349 | 409 | 442 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diluted shares | 34m | 34m | 34m | 34m | 29m | 27m | 28m | 28m | 26m | 25m | 24m | 22m | 20m | 19m | 18m | 17m |
| Returned to shareholders | ||||||||||||||||
| Dividends | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Buybacks | — | — | — | 0 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 23 | 36 | 10 | 48 | 26 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| Total returned | — | — | — | 0 | 79 | 11 | 29 | 46 | 49 | 68 | 41 | 78 | 41 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
| Quarter | 2024 Q3 Sept 2024 | 2024 Q4 Dec 2024 | 2025 Q1 Mar 2025 | 2025 Q2 Jun 2025 | 2025 Q3 Sept 2025 | 2025 Q4 Dec 2025 | 2026 Q1 Mar 2026 | 2026 Q2 Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income | ||||||||
| Revenue | 34 | 32 | 30 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 40 |
| Net income | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| Diluted EPS | $0.26 | $0.29 | $0.17 | $0.43 | $0.45 | $0.44 | $0.34 | $0.49 |
| Growth (year on year) | ||||||||
| Revenue | −0.4% | +11.2% | −8.4% | +2.3% | +8.7% | +16.7% | +20.3% | +5.8% |
| Net income | +45.3% | — | −0.1% | +35.3% | +67.6% | +48.0% | +97.5% | +9.5% |
| Diluted EPS | +62.5% | — | +6.3% | +38.7% | +73.1% | +51.7% | +100.0% | +14.0% |
| Margins | ||||||||
| Net margin | 13.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 21.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 21.0% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 216.9% | 72.5% | 89.2% | −101.2% | 87.5% | 7.1% | −4.6% | 23.3% |
| Cash flow | ||||||||
| Cash from operations | 74 | 23 | 27 | −38 | 33 | 3 | −1 | 10 |
| Capital spending | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Free cash flow | 74 | 23 | 26 | −39 | 32 | 3 | −2 | 9 |
| Stock-based pay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −0 | 0 | 0 |
| Free cash flow after stock pay | 74 | 23 | 26 | −39 | 32 | 3 | −2 | 9 |
| Last 12 months unless stated | WSBF | CFFI | HBCP | FSBW | BSRR | CZNC | Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $150m | $149m | $154m | $156m | $157m | $143m | $255m |
| Revenue growth, last 12 months | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 27.7% | 12.5% |
| Revenue growth, 3-year average | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Revenue growth, latest quarter | 5.8% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.1% | 34.6% | 10.7% |
| Net margin | 20.0% | 19.5% | 30.4% | 21.4% | 32.3% | 17.8% | 28.7% |
| Cash from operations / revenue | 29.8% | 28.7% | 39.8% | 75.4% | 33.1% | 32.3% | 34.3% |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 28.5% | 25.9% | 33.5% | 62.9% | 32.3% | 31.4% | 31.4% |
| Free-cash-flow margin, 3-year average | 29.9% | 26.8% | 31.6% | 43.5% | 28.8% | 27.4% | 29.9% |
| Stock pay / revenue | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% |
| Change in share count | −4.4% | 0.1% | −1.6% | −4.4% | −5.4% | 12.0% | 0.4% |
| Measure | Company | Peer median | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth Growth | 12.4% | 12.5% | 128 of 245 |
| Change in growth rate Growth | +0.9pp | +0.0pp | 94 of 244 |
| Net margin Profitability | 20.0% | 28.7% | 196 of 245 |
| Stock pay as % of revenue Cash generation | 0.3% | 1.3% | 6 of 206 |
| Change in share count Balance sheet | -4.4% | 0.4% | 22 of 230 |
Rank 1 = best in the group (for spending, debt and dilution, lower ranks first).
| Manager | Value | Shares | Share of 13F value | Shares QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | $34M | 1.6M | 16.9% | ▲ 9.0% |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | $29.4M | 1.4M | 14.6% | ▲ 0.3% |
| Renaissance Technologies LLC | $21.8M | 1.1M | 10.8% | ▼ 3.9% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | $13.3M | 641K | 6.6% | ▼ 8.5% |
| State Street Corp | $8.3M | 398K | 4.1% | ▲ 1.0% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | $8.1M | 388K | 4.0% | ▲ 5.9% |
| American Century Companies Inc | $7.1M | 342K | 3.5% | ▲ 36.7% |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | $5.4M | 259K | 2.7% | ▲ 15.3% |
| Csm Advisors, LLC | $4.6M | 221K | 2.3% | ▲ 16.3% |
| Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC | $4.4M | 211K | 2.2% | ▲ 3.1% |
| Morgan Stanley | $4.1M | 198K | 2.0% | ▲ 28.8% |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | $4.1M | 197K | 2.0% | ▼ 22.7% |
From Form 13F filings with the SEC ( quarterly data sets), as reported by each manager for June 30, 2026 and filed up to 45 days later. 13F reports cover long US-listed positions of managers above $100M only, so this is not Waterstone Financial, Inc.'s complete shareholder register. Values are as reported by the filers ; 1 inconsistently scaled filing rows were excluded.
| Insider | Date | Trade | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Ryan J EVP/Chief Credit Officer | August 13, 2026 | Sell | 620 | $21.10 | $13,082 |
| Gordon Ryan J EVP/Chief Credit Officer | August 13, 2026 | Sell | 6,237 | $21.15 | $131,913 |
| Gordon Ryan J EVP/Chief Credit Officer | August 13, 2026 | Sell | 1,300 | $21.11 | $27,443 |
| Gerke Mark Raymond EVP/Chief Financial Officer | May 21, 2026 | Sell | 10,000 | $18.34 | $183,400 |
| Gordon Douglas S Director | February 18, 2026 | Sell | 2,880 | $18.11 | $52,157 |
| Gordon Douglas S Director | February 6, 2026 | Sell | 6,765 | $18.27 | $123,597 |
| Gordon Douglas S Director | February 5, 2026 | Sell | 18,716 | $18.25 | $341,567 |
| Lawton Patrick S Director | February 4, 2026 | Sell | 19,255 | $18.64 | $358,913 |
| Gordon Douglas S Director | February 4, 2026 | Sell | 15,000 | $18.55 | $278,250 |
| Lawton Patrick S Director | February 3, 2026 | Sell | 30,000 | $18.53 | $555,900 |
| Glynn Julie Ann EVP/Chief Retail Officer | February 2, 2026 | Sell | 929 | $18.69 | $17,363 |
| Glynn Julie Ann EVP/Chief Retail Officer | February 2, 2026 | Sell | 20,000 | $18.17 | $363,400 |
From insiders' Form 4 filings with the SEC. Excludes awards, option exercises and shares withheld for tax. "Pre-set plan" means the filing marks the trade as made under a Rule 10b5-1 plan. See every insider trade since five years ago, on a price chart.
Next expected around October 22, 2026 estimated from the company's past filing pattern, not announced
| Data | Last updated | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | Exchange closing prices | |
| Financial statements | SEC 10-K and 10-Q filings | |
| News and updates | Company releases and SEC 8-K filings | |
| Analyst estimates | Aggregated analyst estimates | |
| Valuation and scores | Our models, from the filed figures |
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