undamentalytics Newsletter

Congress: members

Donald S. Beyer, Jr.

Backtest from 18 Aug 2016 to 2 Nov 2026 · weekly · hypothetical

Watch this strategy
Return a year
+18.1%
S&P 500 +14.7%
Last 12 months
+48.7%
S&P 500 +12.1%
Sharpe ratio
0.75
S&P 500 0.75
Biggest drop
−32.3%
S&P 500 −31.8%
$10.0k$20.0k$40.0k 201620182020202220242026 $54.7k$40.7k
Donald S. Beyer, Jr.S&P 500 $10,000 in Donald S. Beyer, Jr. from 18 Aug 2016 against the S&P 500 (total return) over the same dates, marked weekly, log scale. Hypothetical: before taxes and trading costs.

About

Mirrors the disclosed stock holdings of Rep. Donald S. Beyer, Jr. (Democrat, VA) and family. It buys on the first trading day after each report is filed, sized by the middle of the value band reported, starts from the holdings listed in the member's annual disclosure report once that report is public, and holds each position until a sale is reported. Call options count as the stock until they expire. Members often report weeks or months late, so this is what a follower could actually have done.

Donald S. Beyer, Jr.'s trades →

Key statistics

MeasureStrategyS&P 500
Return a year (compound)+18.1%+14.7%
Total return+447%+307%
Last 12 months+48.7%+12.1%
Last 3 months+7.6%—
Last month+13.6%—
This year so far+37.3%—
Volatility a year21.8%16.9%
Sharpe ratio0.750.75
Biggest drop−32.3%−31.8%
Beta to the S&P 5000.791.00
Alpha a year (t-statistic)+6.5% (1.20)—
Share of weeks up57%—

Sharpe ratio uses returns above the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Alpha is the yearly return left after allowing for the strategy's exposure to the S&P 500 (CAPM); a t-statistic below about 2 means it cannot be told apart from luck. 526 reported trades were copied.

Insights

CompanyWeightHeld sinceReturn since
THG100.0%10 May 2018+168.1%
PeriodReturn a yearS&P 500SharpeS&P 500Biggest dropBetaAlpha (t)
Whole backtest18 Aug 2016 to 2 Nov 2026+18.1%+14.7%0.750.75−32.3%0.79+6.5% (1.20)
2018 onwards5 Jan 2018 to 2 Nov 2026+16.6%+13.9%0.670.66−32.3%0.77+6.0% (0.98)
Last three years3 Nov 2023 to 2 Nov 2026+31.7%+21.8%1.161.16−11.6%0.20+22.1% (1.75)
Last year7 Nov 2025 to 2 Nov 2026+42.2%+14.2%1.620.84−8.5%−0.05+33.5% (1.61)
DateCompanyAction
2 Feb 2022VZBought
2 Feb 2022PEPBought
3 Jan 2022CVSBought
3 Dec 2021TJXBought
7 Oct 2021TRNOBought
7 Oct 2021PIBought
4 Oct 2021COSTBought
6 Jul 2021REGNBought
6 Jul 2021GOOGLBought
6 Jul 2021BRK.BBought
8 Jun 2021MSBought
8 Jun 2021FNVBought
3 May 2021NDAQBought
5 Apr 2021SLBBought
5 Apr 2021CDNSBought
4 Jan 2021MSCIBought
4 Jan 2021KAIBought
4 Jan 2021GSBought
2 Dec 2020XYZBought
2 Dec 2020UNHBought
2 Dec 2020TDOCBought
2 Dec 2020ROPBought
2 Dec 2020NVDABought
2 Dec 2020NTLABought
2 Dec 2020NKEBought

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

DateCompanyAction
24 Apr 2023BRK.BSold
9 May 2022SLBSold
9 May 2022MSSold
4 Mar 2022VZSold
4 Mar 2022TRNOSold
4 Mar 2022TJXSold
4 Mar 2022TGTSold
4 Mar 2022REGNSold
4 Mar 2022PISold
4 Mar 2022PEPSold
4 Mar 2022NKESold
4 Mar 2022NDAQSold
4 Mar 2022KMXSold
4 Mar 2022KAISold
4 Mar 2022JPMSold
4 Mar 2022ISRGSold
4 Mar 2022GSSold
4 Mar 2022GOOGLSold
4 Mar 2022DISSold
4 Mar 2022CVSSold
4 Mar 2022COSTSold
4 Mar 2022CDNSSold
4 Mar 2022ASMLSold
4 Mar 2022ACNSold
2 Feb 2022PNCSold

Dated on the first trading day after the report was filed, when a follower could have acted.

Backtests are hypothetical and use today's listed companies only, which flatters results. Past performance does not predict future returns. This is research, not investment advice. How we backtest